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Factors affecting bird counts and their influence on density estimatesMcCracken, Marti L. 22 July 1993 (has links)
Variable area surveys are used in large geographic regions to estimate the
density of birds distributed over a region. If some birds go undetected, a
measure of the effective area surveyed, the amount of area occupied by the birds
detected, is needed. The effective area surveyed is determined by observational,
biological, and environmental factors relating to detectability. It has been
suggested that density estimates are inaccurate, and that it is risky to compare
bird populations intraspecifically over time and space, since factors influencing
bird counts will vary.
There have been several controversial studies where variable area survey
density estimates were evaluated using density estimates calculated from spot
mapping as the standard for comparison. Spot mapping itself is an unproven
estimator that the previously mentioned factors also influence. Without a known
population density, determining how the different density estimators perform is
difficult to access. Variable area surveys of inanimate objects whose densities
were known have been conducted under controlled circumstances with results
generally supporting the variable area survey method, but time and inability to
control for all factors limit the application of this type of study. A simulation
program that distributes over a region vegetation and a known density of birds,
and then simulates the process of gathering bird detection data is one tool
accessible to evaluate variable area density estimates. Within such a simulation
study various observational, biological, and environment factors could be
introduced.
This thesis introduces such a simulation program, VABS, that was written with the objectives of identifying factors that influence bird counts and determining the limitations of the variable area survey. Within this thesis are discussions concerning the several factors that have been identified as influencing bird counts and the effects that these factors had on the Fourier series, exponential power series, and Cum-D density estimates when these factors were simulated in VABS. Critical assumptions of the variable area survey are identified, and the ability of the variable area survey to estimate density for different detectability curve is examined. Also included are discussions on the topics of pooling data gathered under different detectabilities and monitoring population trends. / Graduation date: 1994
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