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Entropic Considerations of Efficiency in the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Futures MarketUnknown Date (has links)
For the last fifty years, the efficient market hypothesis has been the central
pillar of economic thought and touted by all, despite Sanford Grossman’ and
Nobel prize winner Joseph Stiglitz’ objection in 1980. Andrew Lo updated the
efficient market hypothesis in 2004 to reconcile irrational human behavior and
cold, calculating automatons. This thesis utilizes 33 years of oil futures, GARCH
regressions, and the Jensen-Shannon informational criteria to provide extensive
empirical objections to informational efficiency. The results demonstrate
continuously inefficient oil future markets which exhibit decreased informational
efficiency during recessionary periods, advocating the adaptive market
hypothesis over the efficient market hypothesis. / Includes bibliography. / Thesis (M.S.)--Florida Atlantic University, 2016. / FAU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Collection
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