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The psychology of trading: the role of affect on trading decisions on the global currencies markets.January 1998 (has links)
by Chan Cheuk Tung. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1998. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 86-90). / Abstract also in Chinese. / ABSTRACT (IN ENGLISH) --- p.ii / ABSTRACT (IN CHINESE) --- p.iv / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.vi / LIST OF TABLES --- p.ix / LIST OF FIGURES --- p.x / CHAPTER / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Overview: Neglected Role of Investors' Emotion --- p.1 / Inadequacies in Existing Theory and Research --- p.3 / Significance of Present Study --- p.5 / Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.6 / Demographic Studies of Investors --- p.6 / Decision Research on Choice Behavior --- p.7 / Personality Trait / Cognitive Style Approach --- p.7 / Situationist Approach --- p.8 / Interactionist Approach --- p.9 / Summary --- p.10 / Findings in choice behavior research --- p.10 / "Notion of ""Bounded Rationality""" --- p.10 / Frameworks for task and context effects --- p.12 / Decision-making as a Conflict Resolution Process --- p.13 / Generalized Cost/Benefit Analysis - the Emotional Dimension --- p.14 / Summary --- p.16 / Chapter III. --- HYPOTHESES --- p.18 / Information Acquisition --- p.18 / Negative Information --- p.20 / Positive and Irrelevant Information --- p.23 / Evaluation and Judgment --- p.25 / Strategies Formulation --- p.28 / Trading Performance --- p.30 / Chapter VI. --- METHODS --- p.32 / Overview --- p.32 / Material and Apparatus Selection --- p.33 / Selection of Music --- p.33 / Selection of Currency Pair --- p.35 / System for Trading Simulation --- p.36 / Selection of News Items --- p.37 / Pretest of Treatments --- p.39 / Subjects --- p.40 / Procedure --- p.41 / Manipulation Check - Pretest --- p.42 / Likert scale Measure --- p.43 / Affect Grid Measure --- p.44 / Convergent Validity of Measures --- p.45 / Summary --- p.46 / Estimation of Power and Optimal Sample Size for the Main Experiment --- p.46 / Main Experiment --- p.46 / Subjects --- p.47 / Procedure --- p.47 / Measures of Studied Variables --- p.48 / Control Variables --- p.49 / Chapter V. --- RESULTS & DISCUSSIONS --- p.51 / Manipulation Checks --- p.51 / Reliability of Mood Measures --- p.51 / Effect of Manipulations --- p.52 / Effects of Control variables --- p.54 / Trading Performance --- p.55 / Information Acquisition --- p.59 / Negative Information --- p.59 / Positive and Irrelevant Information --- p.62 / Time Allocation --- p.64 / Summary --- p.66 / Evaluation and Judgment --- p.66 / Decision Time --- p.66 / Decision Complexity --- p.68 / Decision Accuracy --- p.70 / Summary --- p.71 / Strategy Formulation --- p.72 / Use of Cut-loss Order --- p.72 / Use of Limit-profit Order --- p.73 / Investment Size --- p.73 / Summary --- p.75 / Discussion --- p.75 / Chapter VI. --- CONCLUSION --- p.78 / Discussion --- p.78 / Limitations and Suggestions for Future Studies --- p.80 / Suggestions to Investors --- p.76 / Individual Investors --- p.82 / Institutional Investors --- p.84 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.86 / APPENDICES --- p.91 / Appendix 1 News Selection Phase One: Judges' Rating --- p.91 / Appendix 2 Screen Layouts of the Internet Trading System --- p.92 / Appendix 3 Coding Scheme -Complexity of Reasoning --- p.93 / Appendix 4 Questionnaire --- p.94
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