Native oysters have been promoted as a means to improve water quality in Chesapeake Bay. This project added important insights into the potential of oyster aquaculture to process and remove nutrients from Bay waters. Results clarified that nutrient removal of nitrogen (N), phosphorous (P), and carbon (C) through harvest of cultivated oyster biomass can be quantified and modeled with high levels of statistical confidence. A simple, yet accurate, method is now available for estimating the amount of nutrients removed via harvesting aquacultured oysters. Based on model estimates, 106 harvest sized oysters (76 mm TL) remove 132 kg TN, 19 kg TP, and 3,823 kg TC. Previous work suggested that potentially substantial quantities of N may be removed through enhancement of the coupled nitrification-denitrification pathway in sediments as a result of oyster biodeposition. Using 15N and N2/Ar methods to measure N2 production in sediments, encompassing direct denitrification (DNF), coupled nitrification- denitrification, and anaerobic ammonium oxidation (anammox) pathways, at two oyster aquaculture sites and two reference sites (no aquaculture), we found that oyster biodeposition did not accelerate sediment N removal. We estimate sediment N removal rates via N2 production at an oyster cultivation site producing 5 x 105 oysters (1750 m2) to range from 0.49-12.60 kg N yr-1, compared to 2.27-16.72 kg N yr-1 at a reference site of the same area; making the contribution of oyster cultivation to N removal via sediment N2 production inconsequential as a policy initiative for Chesapeake Bay eutrophication mitigation. Molecular approaches and direct abundance measures have improved our understanding of the sediment microbial community response to oyster biodeposition. Overall, sediments impacted by oyster biodeposition had a significantly different denitrifying community composition than sediments a few meters away or at the non-aquaculture reference sites. Bacterial abundance in sediments was determined by site rather than by oyster biodeposition. No apparent effects of oyster biodeposition were evident in nitrifying bacterial abundance patterns at either site, indicating that oyster biodeposition does not enhance coupled nitrification-denitrification by increasing the abundance of nitrifiers in sediments.

The blue catfish, Ictalurus furcatus (Ictaluridae), is ranked among the most invasive, nonnative species of concern in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. This species, intentionally introduced to three major tributaries and a number of impoundments between 1974 and 1989 for sport fishing, has spread into three additional tributaries. Using samples from the introduced tributary populations as a baseline, we evaluated microsatellite genetic variation in light of demographic and ecological data to elucidate the potential sources of the invasive I. furcatus populations. In general, the populations surveyed in the Chesapeake Bay watershed were considerably more inbred (F ranged from 0.03 - 0.27) than four native populations (all F = 0.03) and they exhibited 12% lower allelic diversity than native populations, showing evidence consistent with a founder effect. Lack of evidence for significant bottlenecks combined with high effective migration rates suggested that there may be a great deal more movement of this species within the Bay than was previously thought. Two proposed scenarios for expansion (dispersal from introduced populations and intentional surreptitious introductions) were evaluated. Although not inconceivable, genetic evidence did not support the Bubba mechanism as the primary mode of expansion and dispersal was found to be the most probable mode underlying the recent range expansion. However, a number of characteristics of the population genetic and mixed stock analyses indicate that a separate scenario, escapement from impoundments, is worth investigating as a substantial source of the expansion. The study has important implications for ecosystem-based management because it is the first application of mixed stock analysis to an invasive species.

Few empirical studies exist that compare regulation (R) and fishing crime (VL). The lack of information about R and VL effects stakeholder decision-making. Crime weakens conservation efforts and creates false baseline data. This furthers R and the cycle repeats. The purpose of this correlational study was to determine the statistical association between the number and type of annual commercial blue crab R and VL of the same. The Pearson's R correlation was used to analyze the data because it demonstrated the strength of each relationship. This quantitative study was grounded in enforcement theory. The data was public record and consisted of the number of R and VL issued yearly from the General Assembly of a Mid Atlantic's State Department of Natural Resources (MD-DNR). The intent was to correlate multiple decades, but the earliest available VL data began in 2009. The analysis uncovered divergent patterns. The correlation coefficient of 0.79644 confirmed laws from 2009 correlated positively with 2010 violations. Further analysis revealed a negative correlation for 2010 and 2011 that was indicated by a negative correlation coefficient of -0.3588 and -0.166. The mean average of VL was 12.5%. As restrictions keep increasing, the economic impact on local communities is substantial. This research has the potential to effect positive changes in restrictive harvest practices, record keeping of VL by Natural Resources of this Mid Atlantic State, and harvest reporting practices by crabbers. Sharing the findings with industry stakeholders may stimulate dialogue among stakeholders that answers why one type of regulation was violated more than another, encourage compliance by industry users, and improve conservation efforts to proliferate blue crab. This research contributes to future investigation of often-neglected variables that compromise conservation of blue crab.

Thesis (M.S.)--Auburn University, 2008. / Abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 113-121).

The main purpose of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDL) is to achieve a water quality standard. The economic costs of reducing nutrient loadings are often not taken into account during development. In this study, sector targeting is used to minimize the total cost of nutrient reduction by targeting sectors with lower costs per unit of pollution reduction. This study focuses on targeting nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) loading reductions from three sectors: agricultural, point source, and urban non-point source, in the North Fork watershed. Linear programming optimization models were created to determine an optimal solution that minimized total compliance cost to implement BMPs subject to targeted loading reductions in N and P in the watershed. The optimal solution for each sector using uniform allocation and sector targeting were compared for N and P loading reductions separately and N and P reductions simultaneously. The difference between sector targeting and uniform allocation showed the sector targeting was the more cost effective approach to achieve the desired nutrient reduction compared to uniform allocation. From the agricultural sector, cropland and hayland buffers provided the best options for reducing both N and P. Urban BMPs are least efficient in term of nutrient reduction and cost. Similarly, for point source upgrade, Broadway has the lowest cost of upgrade per unit of N or P reduction. This study implies that both stakeholders and policymakers can use targeting to achieve nutrient reduction goals at lower costs. The policymakers can incorporate economic considerations in the TMDL planning process which can help in developing a cost-effective tributary strategy and cost-share program. / Master of Science

As land cover throughout the Chesapeake Bay watershed is modified and climate patterns alter, changes in runoff occur which can impact water quality. A study was conducted using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for the James River watershed in Virginia, the southernmost tributary of the Chesapeake Bay, for 1986 to 2018. A comparison of land cover changes throughout that time frame was included in the analysis. Land cover data was derived from satellite imagery with values extracted using Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis. The SWAT model was run within the web-based Hydrologic and Water Quality System (HAWQS). The research focuses on land use, precipitation, and water quality indicators. Findings suggest links between land cover modification, such as residential development, to degraded water quality indicators. Also denoted are direct improvements in water quality when forest land areas are preserved throughout the watershed terrain.

This dissertation presents three chapters of contemporary research in environmental and development economics. Each chapter echoes a common theme, in that achievement of regional goals constitute 'Wicked Problems' and that the approaches that parties may take to address these specific regional goals may have complex interactions with other regional goals. Decision-making, cost analysis, and multipurpose efficacy of the approaches that regional parties may take to achieve goals are evaluated in environmental and development contexts and implications for program analysis and policy design are discussed. The first chapter of this dissertation seeks to understand how regulated parties, i.e. Municipal Separate Storm Sewer Systems (MS4s), choose from the strategies at their disposal to achieve compliance with their Chesapeake Bay Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) obligations. To address declining Chesapeake Bay water quality, the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) set extensive nutrient and sediment reduction goals under the 2010 Chesapeake Bay TMDL. Virginia has responded by passing along explicit nutrient and sediment reduction requirements to its MS4s, which can choose from a variety of urban stormwater, land use change, source control, and restoration practices to achieve reductions toward these requirements. MS4s in Virginia have also been granted flexibility to achieve reduction requirements through purchase of nutrient and sediment credits toward requirements through trade. In spite of the cost-savings that these credits provide, MS4s' interest in trading for these credits has been low. MS4s instead generally engage in onsite nutrient and sediment reduction themselves, in spite of the high costs of doing so. In response to low interest in trade, case analysis of MS4s' Bay TMDL compliance behavior and semi-structured interviews are conducted to better understand the role of trade in compliance strategy and the reasons for its non-use. Findings reveal that the Virginia MS4s studied typically choose to implement onsite urban stormwater practices, source control practices, and restoration practices in order to generate long-lasting local benefits, like erosion control, flood risk reduction, and progress toward local TMDL obligations, alongside reductions toward the Bay TMDL. MS4s refrain from term credit purchases out of concern over future availability and refrain from perpetual credit purchases because they have been able to use funding sources to achieve reductions from long-lasting onsite practices at similar per-pound costs, while also receiving local benefits. Implications are that supply-side efforts to support trade markets may not generate the level of activity expected, given that would-be buyers have generally limited interest in trade as a compliance strategy. The second chapter studies the degree to which the practices used to meet local TMDL water quality obligations contribute to Bay TMDL compliance for the Loudoun County MS4. Linear programming is used to estimate the minimal cost of achieving Bay compliance in addition to local obligations through representative nutrient and sediment reduction strategies. The model estimates that Loudoun County MS4 faces substantial costs just to meet local water quality goals ($11 million/yr). Since many of the actions taken to meet local water quality goals also generate pollutant reductions to the Chesapeake Bay, adding Bay TMDL obligations adds 0.2%, 3%, and 32.9% to these costs, depending on the water quality trading used to reach Bay TMDL compliance. Findings shed additional light on Chapter 1's goal of investigating the role of trade by explaining low interest in trade as stemming from heavy local water quality needs. Implications are that the burden imposed by the Bay TMDL may not be as high as generally thought. The third chapter shifts focus to the Opioid Crisis to evaluate the efficacy of Syringe Exchange Programs, best known for their efforts to prevent bloodborne illness transmission, at achieving their secondary intervention goal of preventing opioid overdose. While research has established that Syringe Exchange Programs, or SEPs, are effective at preventing bloodborne illness, little focus has been given to their ability to prevent fatal overdose, which they aim to do by engaging in intervention practices like naloxone and fentanyl test strip distribution. In response for need for understanding of Syringe Exchange Programming's impact on overdose, fixed effects analysis is used to empirically study the impact of county-level SEP in North Carolina following the state's 2016 SEP legalization. Need-based programming complicates analysis and likely biases findings of the impact of SEP on overdose upward. Regardless, findings consistently fail to find that SEP has a significant effect on fatal overdose from four categories of opioids, which should reduce concerns in recent literature that they may increase overdose death. Implications are that, since SEPs have a richly documented history of saving lives through the prevention of bloodborne illness and do not appear to increase overdose, contrary to findings in other work, policy makers should continue to incorporate SEP into their portfolio of strategies used to address the Opioid Crisis. / Doctor of Philosophy / This dissertation presents three chapters of contemporary research in environmental and development economics. Each chapter echoes a common theme, in that achievement of regional goals constitute 'Wicked Problems' and that the approaches that parties may take to address these specific regional goals may have complex interactions with other regional goals. Decision-making, cost analysis, and multipurpose efficacy of the approaches that regional parties may take to achieve goals are evaluated in environmental and development contexts and implications for program analysis and policy design are discussed. The first chapter of this dissertation seeks to understand how regulated parties, i.e. Municipal Separate Storm Sewer Systems (MS4s), choose from the strategies at their disposal to achieve compliance with their Chesapeake Bay Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) obligations. To address declining Chesapeake Bay water quality, the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) set extensive nutrient and sediment reduction goals under the 2010 Chesapeake Bay TMDL. Virginia has responded by passing along explicit nutrient and sediment reduction requirements to its MS4s, which can choose from a variety of urban stormwater, land use change, source control, and restoration practices to achieve reductions toward these requirements. MS4s in Virginia have also been granted flexibility to achieve reduction requirements through purchase of nutrient and sediment credits toward requirements through trade. In spite of the cost-savings that these credits provide, MS4s' interest in trading for these credits has been low. MS4s instead generally engage in onsite nutrient and sediment reduction themselves, in spite of the high costs of doing so. In response to low interest in trade, case analysis of MS4s' Bay TMDL compliance behavior and semi-structured interviews are conducted to better understand the role of trade in compliance strategy and the reasons for its non-use. Findings reveal that the Virginia MS4s studied typically choose to implement onsite urban stormwater practices, source control practices, and restoration practices in order to generate long-lasting local benefits, like erosion control, flood risk reduction, and progress toward local TMDL obligations, alongside reductions toward the Bay TMDL. MS4s refrain from term credit purchases out of concern over future availability and refrain from perpetual credit purchases because they have been able to use funding sources to achieve reductions from long-lasting onsite practices at similar per-pound costs, while also receiving local benefits. Implications are that supply-side efforts to support trade markets may not generate the level of activity expected, given that would-be buyers have generally limited interest in trade as a compliance strategy. The second chapter studies the degree to which the practices used to meet local TMDL water quality obligations contribute to Bay TMDL compliance for the Loudoun County MS4. Linear programming is used to estimate the minimal cost of achieving Bay compliance in addition to local obligations through representative nutrient and sediment reduction strategies. The model estimates that Loudoun County MS4 faces substantial costs just to meet local water quality goals ($11 million/yr). Since many of the actions taken to meet local water quality goals also generate pollutant reductions to the Chesapeake Bay, adding Bay TMDL obligations adds 0.2%, 3%, and 32.9% to these costs, depending on the water quality trading used to reach Bay TMDL compliance. Findings shed additional light on Chapter 1's goal of investigating the role of trade by explaining low interest in trade as stemming from heavy local water quality needs. Implications are that the burden imposed by the Bay TMDL may not be as high as generally thought. The third chapter shifts focus to the Opioid Crisis to evaluate the efficacy of Syringe Exchange Programs, best known for their efforts to prevent bloodborne illness transmission, at achieving their secondary intervention goal of preventing opioid overdose. While research has established that Syringe Exchange Programs, or SEPs, are effective at preventing bloodborne illness, little focus has been given to their ability to prevent fatal overdose, which they aim to do by engaging in intervention practices like naloxone and fentanyl test strip distribution. In response for need for understanding of Syringe Exchange Programming's impact on overdose, fixed effects analysis is used to empirically study the impact of county-level SEP in North Carolina following the state's 2016 SEP legalization. Need-based programming complicates analysis and likely biases findings of the impact of SEP on overdose upward. Regardless, findings consistently fail to find that SEP has a significant effect on fatal overdose from four categories of opioids, which should reduce concerns in recent literature that they may increase overdose death. Implications are that, since SEPs have a richly documented history of saving lives through the prevention of bloodborne illness and do not appear to increase overdose, contrary to findings in other work, policy makers should continue to incorporate SEP into their portfolio of strategies used to address the Opioid Crisis.

No description available.

Blue Catfish were introduced in the tidal tributaries of the Chesapeake Bay in the 1970s and 1980s to establish new fisheries during a time period when many fisheries were in decline due to pollution, habitat alteration, disease, overfishing, and environmental catastrophes. Having expanded their range to most Bay tributaries, the species has drawn concern from many stakeholders and scientists for its effects on at-risk and economically important native and naturalized species. My study focused on understanding the dynamics of this species based on multiple long-term monitoring data and evaluating potential management strategies to meet stakeholder needs. I sought to understand how is growth variability was partitioned over time and space, how Blue Catfish populations changed from 1994 to 2016, and how predation on native species and fishery-based performance measures may respond to management intervention. As Blue Catfish length-at-age is exceptionally variable in Virginia tributaries of the Chesapeake Bay, I evaluated the variability in growth using candidate non-linear mixed effects models that described variability in growth over time and space. Linear trend tests supported declines in growth over time within river systems, but did not support the presence of synchronous growth responses among river systems. To better understand population dynamics of Blue Catfish in the Chesapeake Bay watershed, I developed a statistical catch-at-length model for the James River to estimate population size, instantaneous fishing mortality, and size structure over time. The statistical catch-at-length model estimated that Blue Catfish abundance increased slowly and peaked in the mid-2000s before undergoing a recent decline. The model estimated a large spike in abundance due to an estimated large recruitment event in 2011, but may be an artifact of missing data in 2012 in both relative abundance indices examined. The newly developed statistical catch-at-length model provides most detailed information on population dynamics of Blue Catfish in the James River and can be expanded and updated as new data become available. Based on results of the statistical catch-at-length model, I examined population responses to unregulated, maximum length limit (60 cm), and harvest slot limit regulations (harvest allowed 25 –60 cm) in a management strategy evaluation framework. The management strategy evaluation supported that the James River Blue Catfish population could be reduced with increased harvest, but trophy-size fish would decline. Consequently, fishery managers tasked with invasive species management must consider this tradeoff of fishery economic benefits and predation on native populations, especially those prey in which population sizes are unknown. / Doctor of Philosophy / Blue Catfish are non-native to the Chesapeake Bay watershed, but were stocked in the 1970s and 1980s to provide fishing opportunities to the region. Unknowingly, Blue Catfish expanded downstream and beyond the boundaries of the rivers to which they were originally stocked and now exist in extremely dense populations in places. This expansion in population size and distribution has generated concern for the health of the Chesapeake Bay and calls for population control. I wanted to learn more about Blue Catfish in Virginia, specifically Blue Catfish growth rates, population dynamics, and how they might respond to control efforts. I examined Blue Catfish growth rates and found growth rates differed over time and across river systems. Blue Catfish tended to grow more slowly over time as their populations matured. As growth rates declined, population size increased with maximum population sizes in the late 2000s in the James River with a subsequent decline in abundance. Many invasive species exhibit this sort of phenomenon, where population sizes increase and reach a maximum before declining. Finally, I looked at Blue Catfish responses to different fishing regulations and harvest levels, finding that increased harvest could help control Blue Catfish population sizes. However, Blue Catfish management objectives are in conflict as regulations that limit predation of native species of interest also reduce the proportion of large fish in populations. Blue Catfish management will require stakeholder-driven approaches to ensure buy-in and reduce user conflicts.

I studied bald eagle (Haliaeetus leucocephalus) distribution, abundance, roost use and response to human activity on the northern Chesapeake Bay from 1984-89. The eagle population consisted of Chesapeake breeding eagles, Chesapeake nonbreeding eagles, northern-origin eagles and southern-origin eagles; changes in overall eagle distribution and abundance reflected the net changes in these 4 groups. Breeding territories on the northern Chesapeake increased from 12 to 28 from 1984 to 1988. Breeding eagles were resident all year, always ~7 km from the nest. Chesapeake nonbreeding eagles moved throughout most of the bay, but rarely left it (~5% of the radio-tagged eagles were off the bay during any month). Northern eagles migrated into the bay in late fall (x = 21 December! n = 7! range = 61 days) and departed in early spring (x = 27 March, n = 14, range = 43 days). Southern eagles arrived on the northern bay throughout April-August (x = 6 June, n = 11, range = 94 days) and departed from June - October (x = 3 September, n = 22, range = 119 days). Northern Chesapeake eagle abundance peaked twice annually; in winter (261 eagles, December 1987), driven by the presence of northern eagles, and in summer (604 eagles, August 1988), driven by the presence of southern birds. Of 1,117 radio-tagged eagle locations, only 55 (4.90/0) occurred in human-developed habitat, which composed 27.7% of 1,442 km2 of potential eagle habitat on the northern Chesapeake Bay (P < 0.001). During 36 aerial shoreline surveys, eagles were observed on only 111 of 700 (15.9%) 250-m shoreline segments that had development within 100 m, whereas eagles were observed on 312 of 859 (36.30/0) segments when development was absent (P < 0.001). On average, eagles were observed on 1.0 segment/survey that had coincident pedestrian use within 500 m, compared to 3.6 segments/survey expected if eagles and pedestrians were distributed along the shoreline independently (n = 34 surveys, P < 0.001). / Ph. D.