Submitted by Biblioteca de Pós-Graduação em Geoquímica BGQ (bgq@ndc.uff.br) on 2017-11-01T15:59:40Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação _Anna Beatriz Jones Oaquim_Digital.pdf: 6278668 bytes, checksum: 60236079c59e16ffdb171fe240dd8a21 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-11-01T15:59:40Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Dissertação _Anna Beatriz Jones Oaquim_Digital.pdf: 6278668 bytes, checksum: 60236079c59e16ffdb171fe240dd8a21 (MD5) / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / Fundação de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro / Universidade Federal Fluminense. Instituto de Química. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Geoquímica, Niterói, RJ / The use of diatoms as micropaleontological indicators has been used in the last decades, since these organisms that are sensitive to environmental changes, having their frustules preserved in the sediments, allow paleoenvironmental and / or paleoclimatic reconstructions. In this context, the present study aims to reconstruct regional climatic variations in the South Shetland Islands, located on the west coast of the Antarctic Peninsula, using a corer with 50cm sampled at the Glubokoe Deepe Proglacial Lake (62 ° 11,066'S, 58 ° 54,413'O), Fildes Peninsula, King George Island, based on the fossil record of diatoms. In qualitatively analysis on the sedimentary layers from the period 2013 to 1737, 34 taxa were found and identified, of which only 19 were considered as frequent. Among these 19 taxa the most abundant species along all layers was the centric diatom Aulacoseira glubokoyensis, a new species discovered throughout this study, followed by penate diatoms, which present a high diversity. Aulacoseira glubokoyensis showed a decrease in relative abundance and cell size in the period of higher ozone variation, probably associated to the adaptation to this environmental condition associated to the increase of UV-B radiation. Based on the correlations obtained between the environmental variables and the relative abundance of the frequent taxa, it was possible to establish three reconstruction models, one for temperature, the other for the average energy of cyclones occurring between 50 ° and 70 ° S and other for the minimum ozone content in the atmosphere. The first model of reconstruction was based on the relative abundance of Brachysira minor and Pinnularia sp. And presented an associated error of only 13%, the second in the relative abundance of Nitzschia cf. Kleinteichiana, Pinnularia borealis, Gomphonema sp. with an average error of 2% and the last one, of minimum ozone, was based in the relative abundance of Planothidium australe, Pinnularia borealis, Gomphonema sp. and Humidophila tabellariaeformis, with mean associated error of 11%. Thereby, for this region diatom assemblies can be used as paleoclimatic reconstructors / The use of diatoms as micropaleontological indicators has been used in the last decades, since these organisms that are sensitive to environmental changes, having their frustules preserved in the sediments, allow paleoenvironmental and / or paleoclimatic reconstructions. In this context, the present study aims to reconstruct regional climatic variations in the South Shetland Islands, located on the west coast of the Antarctic Peninsula, using a corer with 50cm sampled at the Glubokoe Deepe Proglacial Lake (62 ° 11,066'S, 58 ° 54,413'O), Fildes Peninsula, King George Island, based on the fossil record of diatoms. In qualitatively analysis on the sedimentary layers from the period 2013 to 1737, 34 taxa were found and identified, of which only 19 were considered as frequent. Among these 19 taxa the most abundant species along all layers was the centric diatom Aulacoseira glubokoyensis, a new species discovered throughout this study, followed by penate diatoms, which present a high diversity. Aulacoseira glubokoyensis showed a decrease in relative abundance and cell size in the period of higher ozone variation, probably associated to the adaptation to this environmental condition associated to the increase of UV-B radiation. Based on the correlations obtained between the environmental variables and the relative abundance of the frequent taxa, it was possible to establish three reconstruction models, one for temperature, the other for the average energy of cyclones occurring between 50 ° and 70 ° S and other for the minimum ozone content in the atmosphere. The first model of reconstruction was based on the relative abundance of Brachysira minor and Pinnularia sp. And presented an associated error of only 13%, the second in the relative abundance of Nitzschia cf. Kleinteichiana, Pinnularia borealis, Gomphonema sp. with an average error of 2% and the last one, of minimum ozone, was based in the relative abundance of Planothidium australe, Pinnularia borealis, Gomphonema sp. and Humidophila tabellariaeformis, with mean associated error of 11%. Thereby, for this region diatom assemblies can be used as paleoclimatic reconstructors

Dans un contexte de variabilité climatique et de multiplication des usages de l'eau, la compréhension et la prévision de la variabilité des débits des cours d'eau est aujourd'hui un enjeu majeur pour améliorer la gestion des ressources en eau à l'échelle des bassins versants. En France, le bassin versant de la Durance (Alpes du Sud), lieu de multiples usages de l'eau (hydroélectricité, agriculture, alimentation en eau potable, loisirs), fait l'objet d'une attention particulière en ce qui concerne les impacts du changement climatique qui pourraient être importants du fait de sa situation géographique et de son régime partiellement nival, et remettre en question les équilibres en place permettant le partage de la ressource. Dans l'optique d'une meilleure anticipation de la variabilité hydrologique d'un bassin versant, bien connaître le passé est une étape fondamentale permettant à la fois une meilleure connaissance du fonctionnement hydrologique du bassin et une mise en perspective des projections hydro-climatiques futures. Cette thèse a pour objectif et résultat principal de faire progresser l'état des connaissances sur la variabilité hydrologique du bassin de la Durance à l'échelle du dernier siècle. Deux axes principaux ont été développés pour remplir cet objectif. Une première étape a été la recherche et la mise au jour d'un ensemble de longues séries hydrométriques concernant la Durance et ses affluents, permettant d'élever à 11 le nombre de séries centenaires de débits journaliers aujourd'hui disponibles sur ce bassin. Les nombreux documents accompagnant les données retrouvées nous ont par ailleurs permis de retracer, pour une partie de ces séries, l'évolution des méthodes utilisées pour les construire. Un processus de simulation des méthodes anciennes à partir de données horaires disponibles sur la période récente nous a permis de quantifier l'incertitude associée à ces méthodes et de mettre en évidence des biais importants causés par celles-ci sur certaines portions de séries. Une méthode de correction a été proposée et appliquée à plusieurs séries. Le deuxième axe de notre travail a consisté en la reconstitution de séries hydrologiques en différents points du bassin. À cette fin, nous avons présenté et appliqué une méthode originale appelée ANATEM de reconstitution de séries climatiques à l'échelle du bassin versant à partir de données climatiques de grande échelle (champs de pressions atmosphériques), combinées à des informations plus régionales (séries de précipitations ou de températures observées). Les séries climatiques ainsi reconstituées ont ensuite été utilisées en entrée d'un modèle hydrologique pour construire des séries de débits. Ce processus nous a permis d'obtenir une vingtaine de séries hydrologiques couvrant la période 1884-2010 sur le bassin de la Durance. La comparaison des reconstitutions hydro-climatiques avec les longues séries de débits observés aujourd'hui disponibles a permis de valider la chaîne de reconstitution sur une période de plus d'un siècle. Les séries observées et reconstituées illustrent finalement la variabilité hydrologique du bassin de la Durance qui se caractérise par une alternance de périodes sèches et humides à l'échelle de la décennie, ainsi que par une légère tendance à la baisse des débits. Ces longues séries de l'hydrologie du passé permettront de mettre en perspective les études prospectives sur les ressources en eau disponibles à l'échelle du siècle prochain. / Understanding and predicting hydrological variability is becoming a major issue to improve water resources management at the watershed scale, as climate variability and multipurpose use of water increase stress on the available resources. In France, the Durance watershed (South part of the Alps) is both characterised by numerous water-related activities such as hydropower, irrigation, water supply, tourism, and by a wide range of meteorological contexts ranging from mountainous to dry Mediterranean watersheds. As a consequence, this watershed appears as very sensitive to observed and projected climate variability, with an impact on water resources sufficient to question the current balance between users. In order to better forecast the Durance watershed hydrological variability, tracing back its past evolution is an essential step. Indeed, historical knowledge provides a better understanding of how the watershed works, and put into perspective hydro meteorological projections for the next century. The main goal of this Ph.D. thesis is then to improve our knowledge of the hydrological variability of the Durance watershed over the last century. Two main themes have been developed.The first step focused on historical research, bringing to light 11 centennial time-series of daily streamflow on the Durance watershed. Those data were quite well documented, allowing us to follow the evolution of the methods used to construct some of those time-series. Based on recent streamflow time-series, a simulation process allowed us to quantify the uncertainty associated to the methods used in the past, and to highlight the significant biases they carried on some periods of time. A correction process was then developed, leading to the partial revision of some of the time-series. A second step involved reconstructing hydrological time-series at different points of the watershed. An original method, called ANATEM, has been introduced and exhaustively applied to rebuild climatological time-series at the watershed scale. This method is based on the use of large scale climatological variables (atmospheric pressure fields) combined with regional scale observations (observed precipitation or air temperature). Those reconstructed climatological time-series were then prescribed in a rainfall-runoff model, allowing the computation of hydrological simulations on the 1884-2010 period. The comparison of the simulated data with our 11 centennial observed time series allowed us to validate our hydro-climatological reconstruction chain over more than a century. Finally, the observed and simulated time-series illustrate the climatological and hydrological variability of the Durance watershed. This variability is characterised by the succession of alternatively dry and humid periods lasting for ten to fifteen years, and by a slight trend to streamflow decrease. These long-term hydrological time-series will then put into perspective future investigations on water resources available over the next century.