Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Texas at Austin, 2002. / Supervisor: Lisa Kallet. Vita. Includes bibliographical references. Also available from UMI.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1981. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 139-142).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1981. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 319-323).

by Chik Wai-yin. / Abstract also in Chinese / Bibliography: p. leaf 93 / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1983

Call number: LD2668 .T4 1929 C62

Thesis (BPhil)--Open University.

No description available.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1980. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (p. 261-265).

This thesis examines the cross-sectional and time series variation between commodities futures prices and current prices. The 'Theory of Storage' states that the difference between the two prices will be a function of two factors: The first is the cost of storing the commodity over the term of the futures contract (carrying costs). The second factor is the value of the convenience yield. The convenience yield is a concept which evolved from the theory of storage and is explained as the benefit which accrues to the individual or firm that holds the commodity in storage but does not accrue to the holder of the futures contract. It is generally assumed that the value of a commodity's convenience yield is decreasing in the aggregate inventory available and some indirect empirical support has been generated for this assumption, however, an economic model has not been provided which derives the result. There are two objectives of this thesis: The first is to provide a model of the convenience yield which explains the relationship between the level of inventories and the value of the convenience yield. The second objective is to empirically test the predictions of the model. The model provided shows the convenience yield to be decreasing in the level of aggregate inventory. In addition, the value of the convenience is found to be related to the time-series process of shocks to demand. An analogy is drawn between the convenience yield and an option with a stochastic exercise price. Using futures price data and aggregate inventory data, the empirical implications of the model are tested. The results support the hypothesis that a commodity's convenience yield is decreasing in aggregate inventory. Some evidence is also provided that the convenience yield is decreasing in the correlation between shocks to demand. / Business, Sauder School of / Finance, Division of / Graduate

Commodity futures markets are often thought of as good examples of perfectly competitive markets. However, there are many commodities that are produced in concentrated industries and traded on large commodity exchanges. Nickel, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, oil, and coffee are some examples. This thesis examines the effects of concentrated production on output and prices in these markets. The analysis includes the possibility that firms can trade futures contracts for their output and also store their output. A dynamic model is developed that examines how a duopoly could use futures trading and storage strategically to affect outcomes in subsequent periods. I examine futures trading for a perishable good and storage with no futures trading separately in order to highlight the potential stategic use of these activities on their own. I also analyse a model in which both futures trading and storage are allowed. I show that both futures positions and storage would be used strategically by the duopolists, in contrast to the results of previous work that used two-period models only. By allowing for uncertainty in the form of demand and cost shocks, the solution to the model can be used to provide some implications for correlations among industry level variables. These correlations are examined for the world lead, zinc, and copper industries. Weak support for the model is found, however, estimation of the vector auotregression implied by the model suggests the model in its present form is unable to fit the data very well.