Spelling suggestions: "subject:"cumulative hazard"" "subject:"kumulative hazard""
1 |
Estimation of Hazard Function for Right Truncated DataJiang, Yong 27 April 2011 (has links)
This thesis centers on nonparametric inferences of the cumulative hazard function of a right truncated variable. We present three variance estimators for the Nelson-Aalen estimator of the cumulative hazard function and conduct a simulation study to investigate their performances. A close match between the sampling standard deviation and the estimated standard error is observed when an estimated survival probability is not close to 1. However, the problem of poor tail performance exists due to the limitation of the proposed variance estimators. We further analyze an AIDS blood transfusion sample for which the disease latent time is right truncated. We compute three variance estimators, yielding three sets of confidence intervals. This work provides insights of two-sample tests for right truncated data in the future research.
|
2 |
Empirical Likelihood Method for Ratio EstimationDong, Bin 22 February 2011 (has links)
Empirical likelihood, which was pioneered by Thomas and Grunkemeier (1975)
and Owen (1988), is a powerful nonparametric method of statistical inference that
has been widely used in the statistical literature. In this thesis, we investigate the
merits of empirical likelihood for various problems arising in ratio estimation. First,
motivated by the smooth empirical likelihood (SEL) approach proposed by Zhou &
Jing (2003), we develop empirical likelihood estimators for diagnostic test likelihood
ratios (DLRs), and derive the asymptotic distributions for suitable likelihood ratio
statistics under certain regularity conditions. To skirt the bandwidth selection problem
that arises in smooth estimation, we propose an empirical likelihood estimator
for the same DLRs that is based on non-smooth estimating equations (NEL). Via
simulation studies, we compare the statistical properties of these empirical likelihood
estimators (SEL, NEL) to certain natural competitors, and identify situations
in which SEL and NEL provide superior estimation capabilities.
Next, we focus on deriving an empirical likelihood estimator of a baseline cumulative
hazard ratio with respect to covariate adjustments under two nonproportional
hazard model assumptions. Under typical regularity conditions, we show
that suitable empirical likelihood ratio statistics each converge in distribution to a
2 random variable. Through simulation studies, we investigate the advantages of
this empirical likelihood approach compared to use of the usual normal approximation.
Two examples from previously published clinical studies illustrate the use of
the empirical likelihood methods we have described.
Empirical likelihood has obvious appeal in deriving point and interval estimators
for time-to-event data. However, when we use this method and its asymptotic
critical value to construct simultaneous confidence bands for survival or cumulative
hazard functions, it typically necessitates very large sample sizes to achieve reliable
coverage accuracy. We propose using a bootstrap method to recalibrate the critical
value of the sampling distribution of the sample log-likelihood ratios. Via simulation
studies, we compare our EL-based bootstrap estimator for the survival function
with EL-HW and EL-EP bands proposed by Hollander et al. (1997) and apply this
method to obtain a simultaneous confidence band for the cumulative hazard ratios
in the two clinical studies that we mentioned above.
While copulas have been a popular statistical tool for modeling dependent data
in recent years, selecting a parametric copula is a nontrivial task that may lead to
model misspecification because different copula families involve different correlation
structures. This observation motivates us to use empirical likelihood to estimate
a copula nonparametrically. With this EL-based estimator of a copula, we derive
a goodness-of-fit test for assessing a specific parametric copula model. By means
of simulations, we demonstrate the merits of our EL-based testing procedure. We
demonstrate this method using the data from Wieand et al. (1989).
In the final chapter of the thesis, we provide a brief introduction to several areas
for future research involving the empirical likelihood approach.
|
3 |
Empirical Likelihood Method for Ratio EstimationDong, Bin 22 February 2011 (has links)
Empirical likelihood, which was pioneered by Thomas and Grunkemeier (1975)
and Owen (1988), is a powerful nonparametric method of statistical inference that
has been widely used in the statistical literature. In this thesis, we investigate the
merits of empirical likelihood for various problems arising in ratio estimation. First,
motivated by the smooth empirical likelihood (SEL) approach proposed by Zhou &
Jing (2003), we develop empirical likelihood estimators for diagnostic test likelihood
ratios (DLRs), and derive the asymptotic distributions for suitable likelihood ratio
statistics under certain regularity conditions. To skirt the bandwidth selection problem
that arises in smooth estimation, we propose an empirical likelihood estimator
for the same DLRs that is based on non-smooth estimating equations (NEL). Via
simulation studies, we compare the statistical properties of these empirical likelihood
estimators (SEL, NEL) to certain natural competitors, and identify situations
in which SEL and NEL provide superior estimation capabilities.
Next, we focus on deriving an empirical likelihood estimator of a baseline cumulative
hazard ratio with respect to covariate adjustments under two nonproportional
hazard model assumptions. Under typical regularity conditions, we show
that suitable empirical likelihood ratio statistics each converge in distribution to a
2 random variable. Through simulation studies, we investigate the advantages of
this empirical likelihood approach compared to use of the usual normal approximation.
Two examples from previously published clinical studies illustrate the use of
the empirical likelihood methods we have described.
Empirical likelihood has obvious appeal in deriving point and interval estimators
for time-to-event data. However, when we use this method and its asymptotic
critical value to construct simultaneous confidence bands for survival or cumulative
hazard functions, it typically necessitates very large sample sizes to achieve reliable
coverage accuracy. We propose using a bootstrap method to recalibrate the critical
value of the sampling distribution of the sample log-likelihood ratios. Via simulation
studies, we compare our EL-based bootstrap estimator for the survival function
with EL-HW and EL-EP bands proposed by Hollander et al. (1997) and apply this
method to obtain a simultaneous confidence band for the cumulative hazard ratios
in the two clinical studies that we mentioned above.
While copulas have been a popular statistical tool for modeling dependent data
in recent years, selecting a parametric copula is a nontrivial task that may lead to
model misspecification because different copula families involve different correlation
structures. This observation motivates us to use empirical likelihood to estimate
a copula nonparametrically. With this EL-based estimator of a copula, we derive
a goodness-of-fit test for assessing a specific parametric copula model. By means
of simulations, we demonstrate the merits of our EL-based testing procedure. We
demonstrate this method using the data from Wieand et al. (1989).
In the final chapter of the thesis, we provide a brief introduction to several areas
for future research involving the empirical likelihood approach.
|
4 |
Inference for Birnbaum-Saunders, Laplace and Some Related Distributions under Censored DataZhu, Xiaojun 06 May 2015 (has links)
The Birnbaum-Saunders (BS) distribution is a positively skewed distribution and is a popular model for analyzing lifetime data. In this thesis, we first develop an improved method of estimation for the BS distribution and the corresponding inference. Compared to the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and the modified moment estimators (MMEs), the proposed method results in estimators with smaller bias, but having the same mean squared errors (MSEs) as these two estimators. Next, the existence and uniqueness of the MLEs of the parameters of BS distribution are discussed based on Type-I, Type-II and hybrid censored samples. In the case of five-parameter bivariate Birnbaum-Saunders (BVBS) distribution, we use the distributional relationship between the bivariate normal and BVBS distributions to propose a simple and efficient method of estimation based on Type-II censored samples. Regression analysis is commonly used in the analysis of life-test data when
some covariates are involved. For this reason, we consider the regression problem based on BS and BVBS distributions and develop the associated inferential methods.
One may generalize the BS distribution by using Laplace kernel in place of the normal kernel, referred to as the Laplace BS (LBS) distribution, and it is one of the generalized Birnbaum-Saunders (GBS) distributions. Since the LBS distribution has a close relationship with the Laplace distribution, it becomes necessary to first carry out a detailed study of inference for the Laplace distribution before studying the LBS distribution. Several inferential results have been developed in the literature for the Laplace distribution based on complete samples. However, research on Type-II censored samples is somewhat scarce and in fact there is no work on Type-I censoring. For this reason, we first start with MLEs of the location and scale parameters of Laplace distribution based on Type-II and Type-I censored samples. In the case of Type-II censoring, we derive the exact joint and marginal moment generating functions (MGF) of the MLEs. Then, using these expressions, we derive the exact conditional marginal and joint density functions of the MLEs and utilize them to develop exact confidence intervals (CIs) for some life parameters of interest. In the case of Type-I censoring, we first derive explicit expressions for the MLEs of the parameters, and then derive the exact conditional joint and marginal MGFs and use them to derive the exact conditional marginal and joint density functions of the MLEs. These densities are used in turn to develop marginal and joint CIs for some quantities of interest.
Finally, we consider the LBS distribution and formally show the different kinds of shapes of the probability density function (PDF) and the hazard function. We then derive the MLEs of the parameters and prove that they always exist and are unique. Next, we propose the MMEs, which can be used as initial values in the numerical computation of the MLEs. We also discuss the interval estimation of parameters. / Thesis / Doctor of Science (PhD)
|
Page generated in 0.0548 seconds