Thesis (doctoral)--Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität zu Berlin, 1926. / Includes vita. Includes bibliographical references (p. [5]-7).

This thesis is intended to consider whether the South American members of the trade bloc, the Pacific Alliance, namely Chile, Colombia, Peru, form an optimum currency area (OCA). An in-depth review into the progression of OCA theory is done to formulate a proper econometric analysis. An empirical investigation is conducted by using main macroeconomic indicators from the time period 2001 to the third quarter of 2014 to examine if the aforementioned countries are within the definition of an OCA. An ordinary least squares regression is done on three major economic indicators to test the causes of the deviation from one another. Evidence suggests the group is currently not an OCA and extensive integration efforts would be needed before the group is within the bounds of forming an OCA.

published_or_final_version / Economics and Finance / Master / Master of Economics

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We employ OLS analysis on a VAR Model to test the “commodity currency” hypothesis of the Rand (i.e. that the currency moves in sympathy with commodity prices) and examine the associated causality using nominal data between 1996 and 2010. We address the question of cointegration using the Engle-Granger test. We find that level series of both assets are difference stationary but not cointegrated. Further, we find the two variables negatively related with strong and significant causality running from commodity prices to the exchange rate and not vice versa, implying exogeneity to the determination of commodity prices with respect to the nominal exchange rate. The strength of the relationship is significantly weaker than other OECD commodity currencies. We surmise that the relationship is dynamic over time owing to the portfolio-rebalance argument and the Commodity Terms of Trade (CTT) effect and in the absence of an error correction mechanism, this disconnect may be prolonged. For commodity and currency market participants, this implies that while futures and forward commodity prices may be useful leading indicators of future currency movements, the price risk management strategies may need to be recalibrated over time. For monetary policy makers, to manage commodity price risk and concentration risk on the country’s exports, we suggest establishment of a selfinsurance scheme such as a Commodity Stabilisation Fund established in Chile in 1985.

<p>It is difficult for people to recognize currencies from different countries. Our aim is to help people solve this problem. However, currency recognition systems that are based on image analysis entirely are not sufficient. Our system is based on image processing and makes the process automatic and robust. We use SEK and Chinese RMB as examples to illustrate the technique. Color and shape information are used in our algorithm.</p>

No description available.

It is difficult for people to recognize currencies from different countries. Our aim is to help people solve this problem. However, currency recognition systems that are based on image analysis entirely are not sufficient. Our system is based on image processing and makes the process automatic and robust. We use SEK and Chinese RMB as examples to illustrate the technique. Color and shape information are used in our algorithm.

This paper analyzes the possibility of creating a single currency in East Asia. The level of interdependence in East Asia has almost matched the level in Europe, at least that in Europe in 1980-90 when Europe introduced a common currency. Therefore, this paper assesses if East Asia, especially ASEAN + 3 (China, Japan and South Korea) would be able to create a single currency. This is the central question to answer in this paper. In order to see if it is possible to introduce a single currency in East Asia, I use the optimum currency area theory, which defines the optimum geographical area for a single currency. This theory indentifies several conditions to be fulfilled, in order to form a currency area. Therefore, I first look at the Euro as an example of optimum currency area and then move on to an empirical analysis on a single currency in East Asia, by evaluating if East Asia fulfills the theoretical pre-conditions. Finally, the steps towards creating a single currency in East Asia will be discussed.