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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Uma curva de Philips ampliada com o sentimento de consumidores e empresÃrios / An extended Phillips curve with the sentiment of consumers and entrepreneurs

Jedidias Pereira Souza 04 March 2015 (has links)
nÃo hà / O trabalho incorpora as expectativas de consumidores e empresÃrios Ãs estimaÃÃes de Curvas de Philips para o Brasil. Os resultados demonstram que estas âvariÃveis de sentimentoâ podem ser relevantes para modelar a inflaÃÃo e estimular seu uso na previsÃo desta componente. Alguns modelos economÃtricos, em diferentes especificaÃÃes, apresentaram incrementos significativos em seu poder de explicaÃÃo apÃs a inclusÃo destas componentes. Ademais, a tempestividade com a qual sÃo obtidos os Ãndices que refletem o sentimento de consumidores e empresÃrios estimula o seu uso mais extenso nas modelagens economÃtricas tradicionais no Brasil. / This paper regards the consumersâ and entrepreneursâ expectations into estimations of a âmodified Phillips Curveâ for Brazil. The results show that these "sense variables" may be relevant to model inflation and encourage their use in a inflation forecasting process. Some econometric models, in different specifications, showed significant increases in their explanatory power after the inclusion of these components. Moreover, the timeliness with which the indexes that reflect the sentiment of consumers and entrepreneurs are obtained stimulates their more extensive use in traditional econometric modeling in Brazil.

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