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The effects of serial correlation on the curve-of-factors growth modelMurphy, Daniel Lee 20 October 2009 (has links)
This simulation study examined the performance of the curve-of-factors growth
model when serial correlation and growth processes were present in the first-level factor
structure. As previous research has shown (Ferron, Dailey, & Yi, 2002; Kwok, West, &
Green, 2007; Murphy & Pituch, 2009) estimates of the fixed effects and their standard
errors were unbiased when serial correlation was present in the data but unmodeled.
However, variance components were estimated poorly across the examined serial
correlation conditions. Two new models were also examined: one curve-of-factors model
was fitted with a first-order autoregressive serial correlation parameter, and a second
curve-of-factors model was fitted with first-order autoregressive and moving average
serial correlation parameters. The models were developed in an effort to measure growth
and serial correlation processes within the same data set. Both models fitted with serial
correlation parameters were able to accurately reproduce the serial correlation parameter
and approximate the true growth trajectory. However, estimates of the variance
components and the standard errors of the fixed effects were problematic. The two models also produced inadmissible solutions across all conditions. Of the three models,
the curve-of-factors model had the best overall performance. / text
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