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Decisions with Medium to Long-Term Consequences : Decision Processes and StructuresJakobsson, Marianne January 2013 (has links)
All of us make more or less important decisions during our entire lives, in private and professional arenas. Some decisions have consequences for an individual or organization in the short term, others have long lasting consequences. This thesis concerns studies of decision processes and structures involved indecision-making with medium to long-term consequences for an organization or individual. Study I and II focus decision-making theory and judgments in procurement. Study III concerns real-life, individual career decision-making. Study I used a laboratory context for an investigation of willingness to pay (WP) for the creation of a procurement offer. Study II investigated organizational decision processes and structures of procurement of large projects in a nuclear power plant organization. Study III investigated the decision process used to make a choice between two professional training programs leading to psychotherapist certification. Study I found, that participants used a multiplicative combination of probability and profit when judging WP for the creation of a bid. Scales of subjective probability had smaller ranges than objective probability. In this context, participants were more sensitive to variation in monetary value than to probability. In Study, II it was possible to describe the procurement process in a framework of information search and decision theory. A Multi Attribute Utility Theory-inspired model was used by the staff, in the evaluations of procurement alternatives. Both compensatory (e.g. negative aspects can be compensated by positive aspects) and non-compensatory (particular “pass” levels of attributes have to be exceeded for acceptance of a choice alternative) decision rules were used. In study III it was found that a development and extension of Differentiation and Consolidation theory described individual reasons pro and con alternatives before and after the choice of a professional training program. / <p>At the time of the doctoral defense, the following paper was unpublished and had a status as follows: Paper 1: Submitted. </p>
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Using mental practice to augment physical practice in a complex decision making environmentMarriott, William A. 05 1900 (has links)
No description available.
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Allocation behavior in a dynamic decision task, a laboratory studyRogoff, Ian Clifford 12 1900 (has links)
No description available.
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The impact of evaluative feedback on learning and performance in a multiple-cue decision problemRose, Donald Edward 05 1900 (has links)
No description available.
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The impact of ambiguous categorical feedback on learning and performance in a multiple-cue decision problemBryla, Edward Anthony 08 1900 (has links)
No description available.
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The effects of varying the number of cues in a multiple-cue inference taskDorris, Alan Leslie 12 1900 (has links)
No description available.
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Decision under uncertainty applied to a hydrologic problemDvoranchik, William Michael, January 1971 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (M.S. - Systems Engineering)--University of Arizona. / Includes bibliographical references.
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Tactical plan generation software for maritime interdiction using conceptual blending theoryTan, Kian Moh Terence. January 2007 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (M.S. in Modeling, Virtual Environments, and Simulation (MOVES))--Naval Postgraduate School, December 2007. / Thesis Advisor(s): Hiles, John. "December 2007." Description based on title screen as viewed on January 18, 2008. Includes bibliographical references (p. 87-91). Also available in print.
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Use of information in decision deliberation /Van Zee, Emily Hanke. January 1989 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 1989. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves [161]-163).
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Some alternative models of decision processes in human performance /Caudrey, David Joseph. January 1969 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (B.A. Hons. 1970) from the Department of Psychology, University of Adelaide.
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