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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

The statistical manipulation of Delphi statements

Nelson, Bradley William 01 January 1977 (has links)
Since its invention twenty years ago, the Delphi technique has been gaining wider and wider acceptance as a tool for forecasting technology; gathering expert opinion from a local to world wide "advice community" upon which government, industry, and other policy making bodies must so frequently rely; and providing judgmental input for studies (e. g., social sciences) where hard data are unavailable or too difficult to obtain. Accompanying this increased acceptance is an increased danger of manipulation of a Delphi to produce the results desired by one certain individual or group of individuals. Manipulation is increasingly being mentioned in the literature as a danger but little has been done to study the problem. Two groups of thirty United States Air Force Officers enrolled in a Masters of Business Administration program participated in a fact probing Delphi containing thirty statements. The participants of one group were given falsified statistical feedback on fifteen of the statements, while the participants of the other group were given falsified statistical feedback on the other fifteen statements. A similar study was done with another group of officers using a value probing Delphi. The results of these studies showed a high degree of success in obtaining a desired value through the use of manipulated statistical feedback. This success was enhanced by running additional rounds. It was also found that the statistical manipulation had a significant effect on the convergence and stability of the Delphi statements. The effects of statistical manipulation on confidence as measured by self-rating was also studied. It was found that there was a significant tendency for Delphi participants to shift their selfrating during later rounds toward the middle. The effect of the distance between a participant's original estimate and the median reported back to him on the amount the participant changed his self-rating was investigated. The results were inconsistent. Statistically manipulated participants showed an overall decrease in confidence, regardless of their original self-rating. Suggestions for extending the research in the area of manipulation of Delphi statements plus a taxonomy of the variables that comprise the problem of manipulation are discussed.
2

The planning of the Department of Resources in a technical teachers' college: an application of the Delphitechnique within a systems approach

顔顯華, Ngan, Hin-wah. January 1982 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Education / Master / Master of Education
3

An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West Virginia

Stead, Floyd Lorenzo, January 1975 (has links)
Thesis--West Virginia University. / Spine title: The Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West Virginia. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 126-129).
4

Financing Hong Kong education : a Delphi consensus on alternative models /

Chiu, Ping-kwan. January 1983 (has links)
Thesis (M. Ed.)--University of Hong Kong, 1982.
5

Development of criteria and indicators for evaluating forest-based ecotourism destinations a Delphi study /

Bender, Maureen Young. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.)--West Virginia University, 2008. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains ix, 142 p. : ill. (some col.), col. map. Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 116-120).
6

The future of logistics scenarios for 2025 /

Von der Gracht, Heiko A. Jahns, Christopher. Darkow, Inga-Lena. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D) -- European Business School Oestrich-Winkel, 2008. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 263-301)
7

An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to the future of public education in West Virginia

Friebel, Carl H., January 1999 (has links)
Thesis (Ed. D.)--West Virginia University, 1999. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains xi, 389 p. Vita. Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 327-336).
8

An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to the future of technology infrastructure in West Virginia high schools

Carman, William H. January 1999 (has links)
Thesis (Ed. D.)--West Virginia University, 1999. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains ix, 113 p. : ill. (some col.) Vita. Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 81-88
9

A study of financing higher education an analysis of alternatives utilizing the Delphi method /

Taylor, Daniel V. McGrath, J. H. January 1976 (has links)
Thesis (Ed. D.)--Illinois State University, 1976. / Title from title page screen, viewed Dec. 7, 2004. Dissertation Committee: J.H. McGrath (chair), G. Alan Hickrod, M.M. Chambers, Gene A. Budig, Douglas Poe. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 111-116) and abstract. Also available in print.
10

Basic needs index Delphi application /

Elmaghraby, Adel Said. January 1978 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.)--Wisconsin. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 26-27).

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