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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

DiagnÃstico para a desindustrializaÃÃo do Brasil: doenÃa holandesa ou custo Brasil? / Diagnosis for the deindustrialization of Brazil: dutch disease or cost Brazil?

MoisÃs de Sousa Oliveira 27 March 2014 (has links)
nÃo hà / Considerando que a indÃstria brasileira perdeu de forma precoce participaÃÃo no agregado nacional nos Ãltimos anos, este estudo procurou identificar as principais causas desse processo de desindustrializaÃÃo ocorrido no Brasil. Hà duas fontes para tal processo: a primeira tem como base a chamada doenÃa holandesa, que sugere que a apreciaÃÃo da taxa de cÃmbio real, em funÃÃo do aumento das exportaÃÃes das commodities, seria capaz de gerar um efeito negativo sobre a indÃstria como um todo; e a segunda calcada na ideia do custo Brasil, que sugere que o efeito negativo sobre a indÃstria seria ocasionado pelo forte peso de variÃveis como impostos e salÃrios. Nossa proposta à a de investigar o efeito destas variÃveis no processo de desindustrializaÃÃo pÃs-real com base na metodologia de Vetores Autorregressivos â VAR. Nossos resultados sustentam que o custo Brasil à muito mais forte do que a hipÃtese da doenÃa holandesa para explicar o declÃnio da participaÃÃo da indÃstria no PIB. / Considering that the Brazilian industry lost precociously participation in national aggregate in recent years, this study sought to identify the main causes of this deindustrialization occurred in Brazil. There are two sources for such a process: the first is based on the so-called Dutch disease, which suggests that the appreciation of the real exchange rate, due to increased exports of commodities, could have a negative effect on the industry as a whole; and the second grounded in the idea of cost Brazil, which suggests that the negative effect on the industry would be caused by the strong weight of variables such as taxes and wages. Our proposal is to investigate the effect of these variables on the real post deindustrialization process based on the methodology of Vector Autoregressive - VAR. Our results argue that the cost Brazil is much stronger than the Dutch disease hypothesis to explain the decline in the share of industry in GDP.

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