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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Decision making under compound uncertainty : experimental study of ambiguity attitudes and sequential choice behavior / Prise de décision en situation d'incertitude composée : étude expérimentale des attitudes face à l'ambiguïté et des comportements de choix séquentiels

Nebout, Antoine 02 December 2011 (has links)
Cette thèse appartient au domaine de la théorie de la décision en situation d'incertitude. Elle vise à comprendre, décrire, et représenter les choix individuels dans différents contextes de décision. Notre travail se concentre sur le fait que le comportement économique est souvent influencé par la structure et le déroulement de la résolution de l'incertitude. Dans une première expérience nous avons confronté nos sujets à différents types d'incertitude – à savoir du risque (probabilités connues), de l'incertain (probabilités inconnues), du risque composé et de l'incertain composé – en utilisant des mécanismes aléatoires particuliers. Le chapitre 1 analyse l'hétérogénéité des attitudes individuelles face à l'ambiguïté, au risque composé et à l'incertain composé alors que dans le chapitre 2, le modèle d'espérance d'utilité à dépendance du rang est utilisé comme outil de mesure afin d'étudier en détails ces attitudes au niveau individuel. Le chapitre 3 confronte à l'expérience l'interprétation de l'ambiguïté en terme de croyances de second ordre et propose une méthode d'élicitation de la fonction qui caractérise l'attitude face à l'ambiguïté dans les modèles « récursifs » de décision face à l'incertain. La seconde partie de la thèse s'intéresse aux comportements de décision individuelle dans un contexte dynamique et est composée de deux études expérimentales indépendantes. Néanmoins, elles reposent toutes deux sur la décomposition de l'axiome d'indépendance en trois axiomes dynamiques: conséquentialisme, cohérence dynamique et réduction des loteries composées. Le chapitre 4 rapporte les résultats d'une expérience de décision individuelle sur les facteurs de violations de chacun de ces axiomes. Le chapitre 5 présente une catégorisation conceptuelle des comportements individuels dans des problèmes de décision séquentiels face au risque. Le cas des agents ne se conformant pas à l'axiome d'indépendance y est étudié de façon systématique et les résultats d'une expérience spécialement conçue pour tester cette catégorisation sont présentés. / This thesis belongs to the domain of decision theory under uncertainty and aims to understand, describe and represent individual choices in various decision contexts. Our work focuses on the fact that economic behavior is often influenced by the structure and the timing of resolution of uncertainty. In a first experimental part, we confronted subjects with different types of uncertainty, namely risk (known probabilities), uncertainty (unknown probabilities), compound risk and compound uncertainty, which were generated using special random devices. In chapter 1 we analyze the heterogeneity of attitudes towards ambiguity, compound risk and compound uncertainty whereas in chapter 2, we use rank dependent expected utility as a measuring tool in order to individually investigate these attitudes. Chapter 3 confronts the interpretation of ambiguity in term of second order beliefs with the experimental data and proposes a method for eliciting the function that encapsulates attitudes toward ambiguity in the “recursive” or multistage models of decision under uncertainty. The second part of the thesis deals with individual decision making under risk in a dynamic context and is composed of two independent experimental studies. Both of them rely on the decomposition of the independence axiom into three dynamic axioms: consequentialism, dynamic consistency and reduction of compound lotteries. Chapter 4 reports experimental data about violations of each of the three axioms. Chapter 5 presents a conceptual categorization of individual behavior in sequential decision problems under risk, especially those which do not conform to the independence axiom. We propose an experiment specially designed to test the predictions of this categorization.
2

Is my musculoskeletal model complex enough? The implications of six degree of freedom lower limb joints for dynamic consistency and biomechanical relevance

Pearl, Owen Douglas January 2020 (has links)
Studies have shown that modeling errors due to unaccounted for soft-tissue deformations – known as soft-tissue artifact (STA) – can reduce the efficacy and usefulness of musculoskeletal simulations. Recent work has proven that adding degrees of freedom (DOF) to the joint definitions of a musculoskeletal model’s lower limbs can significantly change the prediction of an individual’s kinematics and dynamics while simultaneously improving estimates of their mechanical work. This indicates that additional modeling complexity may mitigate the effects of STA. However, it remains to be determined whether adding DOF to the lower limb joints can impact a model’s satisfaction of Newton’s Second Law of Motion, or whether a specific number of DOF must be incorporated in order to produce the most biomechanically accurate simulations. To investigate these unknowns, I recruited ten subjects of variable body-mass-indices (BMI) and recorded subject walking data at three speeds normalized by Froude number (Fr) using optical motion capture and an instrumented treadmill (eight male, two females; mean ± s.d.; age 21.6 ± 2.87 years; BMI 25.1 ± 5.1). Then, I added DOF to the lower limb joints of OpenSim’s 23 DOF lower body and torso model until it minimized the magnitude of the pelvis residual forces and moments for a single, representative subject trial (BMI = 24.0, Fr = 0.15). These artificial residual forces and moments are applied at the pelvis to maintain the model’s orientation in space by satisfying Newton’s Second Law. Finally, I simulated all 30 trials with both the original and the edited model and observed how the biomechanical predictions of the two models differed over the range of subject BMIs and walking speeds. After applying both the original and the edited model to the entire data set, I found that the edited model resulted in statistically lower (α = 0.05) residual forces and moments in four of the six directions. Then, after investigating the impact of changes in BMI and Froude number on these residual reductions, I found that two of the six directions exhibited statistically significant correlations with Froude number while none of the six possessed correlations with BMI. Therefore, adding DOF to the lower limb joints can improve a model’s dynamic consistency and combat the effects of STA, and simulations of higher speed behaviors may benefit more from additional DOF. For BMI, it remains to be determined if a higher BMI indicates greater potential for residual reduction, but it was shown that this method of tuning the model for one representative subject was agnostic to BMI. Overall, the method of tuning the model for one representative subject was found to be quite limited. There were multiple subject trials for which reduced residuals corresponded to drastic changes in kinematic and dynamic estimates until they were no longer representative of normal human walking. Therefore, it is possible to improve dynamic consistency by adding DOF to the lower limb joints. But, for biomechanically relevant estimates to be consistently preserved and soft-tissue artifact to be completely minimized, subject-specific model tuning is likely necessary. / Mechanical Engineering

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