Made available in DSpace on 2015-04-14T14:27:09Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 458188.pdf: 1437843 bytes, checksum: e258fb99ba826b8fbd61376bd34d1a0a (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-03-11 / This research aims to analyze the impact that has the Cash Transfer Program with Conditionalities, popularly known as Bolsa Fam?lia Program in emigration flows of microregions of Brazil. The Bolsa Fam?lia program is the most important social policy with the broadest coverage that the Brazilian government has implemented lately. This program consists in a monthly cash transfer to the most vulnerable sectors of the population. Quantifying the effect of the program in emigration is performed using the average treatment effect on the beneficiaries in the condition of being a migrant or not. Two algorithms are used in the methodology of propensity score matching (PSM) using data from the 2010 Population Census. The results show that there is a negative and significant impact of the Bolsa Fam?lia Program in emigration flows. / O objetivo deste estudo ? analisar o impacto que tem o Programa de Transfer?ncia de Renda com Condicionalidades, popularmente conhecido como Programa Bolsa Fam?lia nos fluxos emigrat?rios das microrregi?es do Brasil. O programa Bolsa fam?lia ? a mais importante pol?tica social, e com maior abrang?ncia, do governo brasileiro que consiste em uma transfer?ncia de renda mensal para os setores mais vulner?veis da sociedade. A quantifica??o do efeito do programa na emigra??o ? realizada atrav?s do efeito m?dio do tratamento sobre os benefici?rios na condi??o de ser migrante ou n?o. Dois algoritmos de pareamento s?o utilizados na metodologia de Pareamento pelo Escore de Propens?o ou Propensity Score Matchig (PSM) empregando dados do Censo Demogr?fico 2010. Os resultados mostram que existe um impacto negativo e significativo do programa Bolsa Fam?lia nos fluxos emigrat?rios.