Strains among the states of Central Asia caused by overuse of the region?s scarce water resources have been increasing in recent years. This is especially true for the relations between Tajikistan, upstream, and Uzbekistan, downstream, on the Amudarya River. Major controversy exists over constructing Rogun Dam on the Vakhsh River, a tributary of the Amudarya River. Construction of Rogun Dam, with a planned height of 335 m (1099 ft), began in 1976 but was stopped in 1991 with the breakup of the former Soviet Union. The intent of this dam is to supply Tajikistan with energy, but a side effect will be the changed flow regime of the Amudarya River to downstream states (especially Uzbekistan). The major impact will be on the agricultural sector of Uzbekistan. The objectives of this study are to estimate the monetary impacts of Rogun Dam and propose mitigation measures to minimize impacts. The study investigates the nature and extent of those impacts and indicates policy implications to mitigate negative consequences of the possible water shortage in summer by assessing the baseline situation and comparing that situation with future status-quo (no changes) level of water. Future water shortage could cost Uzbekistan annually over US $609 million economic loss in agriculture, reduce the country?s GDP by 2.2%, and result in 336,000 unemployed people. If Uzbekistan changes its present water use practice and increases water use efficiency, the future water shortage during irrigation periods will not as seriously affect the country?s economy, as adaptive management measures could cut the losses by 40%.

Submitted by Johnny Rodrigues (johnnyrodrigues@ufcg.edu.br) on 2018-11-06T00:47:32Z No. of bitstreams: 1 JOÃO AUGUSTO BARBOSA SOUSA - DISSERTAÇÃO PPGECA 1991..pdf: 20226382 bytes, checksum: eba1c136d21ab9224bc5d71dd5640c90 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-11-06T00:47:32Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 JOÃO AUGUSTO BARBOSA SOUSA - DISSERTAÇÃO PPGECA 1991..pdf: 20226382 bytes, checksum: eba1c136d21ab9224bc5d71dd5640c90 (MD5) Previous issue date: 1991-03-06 / Este trabalho consiste no desenvolvimento e apresentação de uma sistemática de cálculos que, utilizando elementos finitos e microcomputadores, permite dimensionar e posicionar fenômenos hidráulicos no interior dos sistemas, maciços, fundações e dispositivos de proteção das barragens de terra e rock-fill, quando esses se encontrarem em regime permanente e submetidos a variações de fluxo, nas fases de construção, operação e manutenção. Buscando-se atingir ao objetivo pretendido, elaborou-se um sistema de programas e arquivos que, integrados, possibilita a utilização do Programa FPM500 de modo prático. O FPM500 trata dos escoamentos nos meios porosos, confinados e não confinados, nos sistemas bidimensional e/ou tridimensional com simetria de revolução. Entretanto, apesar de flexível, para o seu emprego, era grande a quantidade de dados de entrada a serem informados, diretamente, pelos usuários e, por ser acoplado a um gerador de malhas, aumentava o número de informações, levando esse, na versão original, a ser processado somente em computadores de grande porte. Na sistemática apresentada, inicia-se com um arquivo contendo informações relativas aos blocos estruturais. Um programa acoplado a um renumerador processa essas e renumera todos os nós da malha de elementos, assim reduzindo as bandas das matrizes de fluxo e otimizando memórias em microcomputadores. Este recurso possibilita substancial ganho em velocidade, em busca das soluções dos sistemas com múltiplas equações lineares simultâneas. Os dados resultantes deste processamento permitem a confecção de malhas integradas por elementos triangulares e/ou quadrilaterais lineares, no sistema bidimensional simultâneas. Os dados resultantes deste processamento permitem a confecção de malhas integradas por elementos triangulares e/ou quadrilaterais lineares, no sistema bidimensional / This dissertation deals with the development and the presentation as well of a systematics of calculus that, by making use of finite elements and microcomputers alike, enables both to settle the dimension and the position of hydraulic phenomena in the interior of systems, massifs, foundations and protection organs for earth and rock-fill dams, when the latter are to be found at everlasting rate and suodued to flood variations in the construction, operation and maintenance phases. In the search for an intended purpose, a program and files system was carried out which, once integrated, makes feasible the utilization of Program FPM500 in a practical way. Such a program (viz., FPM500) is related to flows in porous enviroments, restrained or no restrained, in bidimensional and/or tridimensional systems with revolution symmetry. However, despite being flexible for its usage, the quantity of input data to be directly informed by users is huge and, on account of its being coupled to a network generator, it increased the number of informations so that it, at the long run, finished being processed only mainframe computers. In the presented systematics, one begins with a file encompassing informations related to structural blocks. A program coupled to a renumerator processes them and numbers again ali nodes of the elements network by so reducing the flow matrix bandwidth therefore de creasing storage requirements in the computer. Such resource enabls a substantial gain in speed in the systems with mutiple linear simultaneous equations. The data arising from that processing enable the making of integrated networks by triangular and/or four-sided linear elements in the bidimensional system. In another program, the data necessary to the studies of different hydric systems are completed. Therein the outputs of GETOP Program are resettled, the refomations dealing with the boundary conditions and with structural blocks. Such data are kept in files, appropriately shaped in a given format in order to feed Program FPM500. Program FPM500 processes ali elaborated informations as it calculates loads, pressures and flows by providing a report with informations likely to interest studies of hydraulic stability of earth and rock-fill dams. The presented methodology has the advantage to exclude the great amount of blunders committed on input data, in the usage of finite elements thrregh conventional processes. There is also the possibility of a future implementation of graphic programs for drawing element networks thrugh plotter or video. Thus, one is afforded to state that such a systematic, beyond facilitating the calculi, presents confidence and speed as it can be used in different practical equations, the aim of which is likely to be the previous knowledge of the conditions of hydraulic stability in those structures.

Seal of sand or gravel by chemical injection is known and used for a long time. Chemical grouting are however expensive and sometimes the use of cement does not lead to desire effects. So it is trying to find new materials and methodologies injection arrangement works. To achieve savings of chemical products are added to a mixture clay and cement. Clay-cement grouting mix are used not only in order that they are better quality, but also because in this way proposed mixtures have a tendency to penetrate better into incoherent sediments that need additional sealant of chemical injection. For further possible reductions of economic terms the mixture is trying to replace the classic clay. As a suitable substitute for classic clay is to a certain extent the use of secondary raw materials. Above all it is fly ash. As a part of my thesis I deal with the appropriateness use of these materials and examining their properties in the mixture. It was found that by using fly ash were improving consistency of the fresh mixture, reducing the amount of water-cement ratio and reduce shrinkage of the mixture. On the other hand, by using fly ash has been increasing decantation, permeability atc. In the next stage of my work was examined the influence of the quality of cement, lime and liquefaction in the mixture. The aim of thesis is to propose the optimal injection mixture for additional sealing earth dams.