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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Bayesian Analysis of Binary Sales Data for Several Industries

Chen, Zhilin 30 April 2015 (has links)
The analysis of big data is now very popular. Big data may be very important for companies, societies or even human beings if we can take full advantage of them. Data scientists defined big data with four Vs: volume, velocity, variety and veracity. In a short, the data have large volume, grow with high velocity, represent with numerous varieties and must have high quality. Here we analyze data from many sources (varieties). In small area estimation, the term ``big data' refers to numerous areas. We want to analyze binary for a large number of small areas. Then standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) methods do not work because the time to do the computation is prohibitive. To solve this problem, we use numerical approximations. We set up four methods which are MCMC, method based on Beta-Binomial model, Integrated Nested Normal Approximation Model (INNA) and Empirical Logistic Transform (ELT) method. We compare the processing time and accuracies of these four methods in order to find the fastest and reasonable accurate one. Last but not the least, we combined the empirical logistic transform method, the fastest and accurate method, with time series to explore the sales data over time.
2

Bayesian Logistic Regression Model with Integrated Multivariate Normal Approximation for Big Data

Fu, Shuting 28 April 2016 (has links)
The analysis of big data is of great interest today, and this comes with challenges of improving precision and efficiency in estimation and prediction. We study binary data with covariates from numerous small areas, where direct estimation is not reliable, and there is a need to borrow strength from the ensemble. This is generally done using Bayesian logistic regression, but because there are numerous small areas, the exact computation for the logistic regression model becomes challenging. Therefore, we develop an integrated multivariate normal approximation (IMNA) method for binary data with covariates within the Bayesian paradigm, and this procedure is assisted by the empirical logistic transform. Our main goal is to provide the theory of IMNA and to show that it is many times faster than the exact logistic regression method with almost the same accuracy. We apply the IMNA method to the health status binary data (excellent health or otherwise) from the Nepal Living Standards Survey with more than 60,000 households (small areas). We estimate the proportion of Nepalese in excellent health condition for each household. For these data IMNA gives estimates of the household proportions as precise as those from the logistic regression model and it is more than fifty times faster (20 seconds versus 1,066 seconds), and clearly this gain is transferable to bigger data problems.

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