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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Análise de risco em novos empreendimentos considerando o índice de custo benefício / Risk analysis on the new enterprises considering the cost-benefit index

Brandão, Lucas Guimarães Lins 11 December 2009 (has links)
Dissertação (mestrado)—Universidade de Brasília, Faculdade de Tecnologia, Departamento de Engenharia Elétrica, 2009. / Submitted by Jaqueline Ferreira de Souza (jaquefs.braz@gmail.com) on 2011-06-06T14:43:15Z No. of bitstreams: 1 2009_LucasGuimaraesLinsBrandao.pdf: 7285942 bytes, checksum: 25a31b338b76cff0c4491a2c7f9f70f8 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Jaqueline Ferreira de Souza(jaquefs.braz@gmail.com) on 2011-06-06T14:44:16Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 2009_LucasGuimaraesLinsBrandao.pdf: 7285942 bytes, checksum: 25a31b338b76cff0c4491a2c7f9f70f8 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2011-06-06T14:44:16Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 2009_LucasGuimaraesLinsBrandao.pdf: 7285942 bytes, checksum: 25a31b338b76cff0c4491a2c7f9f70f8 (MD5) / Em 2004, com o novo modelo institucional do Setor Elétrico Brasileiro, a contratação de energia de usinas termelétricas passou a ser realizada em leilões de energia nova. No resultado dos leilões é possível observar usinas de alto custo variável unitário movidas a óleo diesel e combustível. Este trabalho mostra o funcionamento e os resultados dos leilões de energia nova, além de definir e analisar o Índice de Custo Benefício (ICB), utilizado nos leilões para ordenação econômica dos empreendimentos termelétricos, bem como objetiva examinar o retorno esperado por um empreendedor que deseja participar deste leilão. Para obter retorno, o empreendimento deve alcançar um ICB competitivo e considerar os riscos envolvidos no cálculo do lucro. Este estudo avaliará os riscos envolvidos na variação do ICB e no preço da energia elétrica no mercado, no sentido de verificar se os empreendimentos de alto custo variável unitário levam vantagem sobre as demais soluções de geração. _______________________________________________________________________________ ABSTRACT / In 2004, with the appliance of the new institutional model of the Brazilian Electric Sector, the contracting of thermoelectric power plants started to be done through new energy auctions. The result of those auctions showed high-cost diesel or fuel power plants. This paper not only displays the results of those auctions but also defines and analyzes the Cost- Benefit Index (ICB) used in the auctions in order to organize the economy of the Thermoelectric Businesses. It is the goal of this paper to analyze the profit expected by Businessmen who wishes to take part on those auctions. That profit depends on a competitive ICB and evaluation of the risks involved in the calculation of the profit variation. This study will evaluate the risks involved in the variation of the ICB and in the price of electric power in the market, aiming to verify if the high-cost businesses are advantageous compared to other generation solutions.

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