Spelling suggestions: "subject:"enterprise finance crisis forecast"" "subject:"interprise finance crisis forecast""
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Enterprise finance crisis forecast- Constructing industrial forcast model by Artificial Neural Network modelHuang, Chih-li 14 June 2007 (has links)
The enterprise finance crisis forecast could provide alarm to managers and investors of the enterprise, many scholars advised different alarm models to explain and predict the enterprise is facing finance crisis or not. These models can be classified into three categories by analysis method, the first is single-variate model, it¡¦s easy to implement. The second is multi-variate model which need to fit some statistical assumption, and the third is Artificial Neural Network model which doesn¡¦t need to fit any statistical assumption. However, these models do not consider the industrial effect, different industry could have different finance crisis pattern. This study uses the advantage of Artificial Neural Network to build the process of the enterprise finance crisis forecast model, because it doesn¡¦t need to fit any statistical assumption. Finally, the study use reality finance data to prove the process, and compare with the other models. The result shows the model issued by this study is suitable in Taiwan Electronic Industry, but the performance in Taiwan architecture industry is not better than other models.
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