Dissertation (Ph.D. in Meteorology)--Naval Postgraduate School, September 2009. / Dissertation supervisor: Eckel, F. Anthony. "September 2009." Author(s) subject terms: Ensemble Forecast, Ambiguity, Uncertainty, Ensemble-of-Ensemble, Calibrated Error Sampling, Randomly Calibrated Resampling, Optimal Decision Making, Cost-Loss, Uncertainty-Folding, Secondary Criteria, Lorenz '96, Ensemble Prediction Systems Description based on title screen as viewed on November 03, 2009. DTIC Identifier(s): Ensemble forecast, ensemble-of-ensemble, calibrated error sampling, randomly calibrated resampling, optimal decision making, cost-loss, secondary criteria, Lorenz '96, ensemble prediction systems Includes bibliographical references (p. 203-208). Also available in print.