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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Determinants of Fuel Choice in New Electric Power Plants

Bergman, Andrew 01 January 2013 (has links)
Despite increasing fuel cost volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and imminent shifts to industry dynamics, utility managers are forced to make tough decisions in regards to installing long-life generation assets. This study seeks to identify and quantify determinants of fuel choice in new electric power plants given vast uncertainties in the electricity generation sector. Using a probit functional form to estimate marginal effects on the likelihood of choosing wind versus natural gas powered generation, I find positive effects of natural gas prices in the period three years prior to initial operation of the new facility, positive effects of static-level standard score of mix, and positive effects of wind-power density. Additional feedstock choice sets and parameters are considered. All models suggest that (a) feedstock costs are significant predictors of fuel choice, (b) state-level regulatory learning enhances likelihood of choosing relatively young technologies, (c) Renewable Portfolio Standards result in artificial substitution between wind and solar technologies, and (d) population density, more so than political influence, predicts choices to install wind-powered capacity. Public policy and managerial implications are discussed.

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