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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Uncertainty Estimation in Models of Multivariate Trait Evolution on Given Phylogenies / Osäkerhetsuppskattning i modeller av multivariat dragevolution på givna fylogenier

Kiang, Woodrow Hao Chi January 2024 (has links)
Phylogenetic comparative methods are a set of statistical methods that model the evolutionary history of species, especially in the context where one has data on certain traits of related extant species that have evolved over a phylogenetic tree in accordance to an underlying stochastic process.  This thesis presents a Hessian-based closed-form asymptotic confidence region that covers a wide family of Gaussian continuous-trait evolution models; the result has been implemented in an R package. Also, some analyses have been done on the simpler Brownian Motion and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process cases; and this leads to novel exact confidence regions for the Brownian Motion’s parameters and a closed-form ’partial’ unbiased estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process’ varaince-covariance matrix when other parameters are given.  The thesis contains two papers. Paper I is an applied work that uses discrete-trait speciation and extinction model to investigate early spread of COVID-19; it shows that it is possible to detect statistical signals of inter-continental spread of the virus from a very noisy world-wide phylogeny. Paper II is a more mathematical work that derived the closed-form formulae for the Hessian matrix of a wide family of Gaussian-process-based multivariate continuous-trait PCM models; accompanying with the Paper I have developed an R package called glinvci, publicly available on The Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN), that can compute Hessian-based confidence regions for these models while at the same time allowing users to have missing data and multiple evolutionary regimes. / <p><strong>Funding:</strong> Vetenskapsrådet [Grant 2017-04951] and STIMA.</p><p>2024-04-05: Series have been corrected in the e-version</p><p></p>

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