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Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter modelsHuber, Florian 03 1900 (has links) (PDF)
In this note we develop a Taylor rule based empirical exchange rate model for eleven major currencies that endogenously determines the number of structural breaks in the coefficients. Using a constant parameter specification and a standard time-varying parametermodel as competitors reveals that our flexible modeling framework yields more precise density forecasts for all major currencies under scrutiny over the last 24 years. / Series: Department of Economics Working Paper Series
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