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Can the CCCTB alleviate tax discrimination against loss-making European multinational groups?Ortmann, Regina, Sureth-Sloane, Caren 13 January 2016 (has links) (PDF)
In March 2011, the European Commission submitted a proposal for a Council Directive on an optional common consolidated corporate tax base (CCCTB). If this proposed CCCTB system comes into force, taxes calculated under the currently existing system of separate accounting might be replaced by a system of group consolidation and formulary apportionment. Then, multinational groups (MNGs) would face the decision as to whether to opt for the CCCTB system. Prior research focuses mainly on the differences in economic behaviour under both systems in general. By contrast, we study the conditions under which one or the other tax system is preferable from the perspective of an MNG, with a particular focus on loss-offsets. We identify four effects that determine the decision of an MNG: the
tax-utilization of losses, the allocation of the tax base, the dividend and intragroup interest taxation. We find mixed results, e.g., that the CCCTB system proves advantageous for increasing loss/profit streams (e.g. from start-ups or R&D projects) of the individual group entities, whereas the system of separate accounting is beneficial for decreasing profit/loss streams (e.g. caused by a decrease in return from a mature product). The results of our analysis are helpful for MNGs facing the decision as to whether to opt for the CCCTB system and can also support legislators and politicians in the EU but also in other regions in their tax reform discussions. (authors' abstract)
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Does Capital Tax Uncertainty Delay Irreversible Risky Investment?Niemann, Rainer, Sureth-Sloane, Caren January 2016 (has links) (PDF)
Tax uncertainty is often claimed to be harmful for investments. Capital taxes, such as
property and wealth taxes, are particularly exposed to tax uncertainty. Capital tax un-
certainty emerges from expected tax reforms, the unclear outcome of future tax audits,
and simplified estimates of capital tax bases in investment models. Uncertain returns on
investment as well as stochastic taxation contribute to overall uncertainty and may significantly affect investment decisions. Hitherto, it is unknown how capital tax uncertainty
affects investment timing. However, it is well known that both uncertainty and capital tax
may be harmful for investment and decelerate investment activities. We are the first to
study the investment timing effects of stochastic capital taxes in a real options setting with
risky investment opportunities. Our results indicate that even risk neutral investors are
sensitive with respect to capital tax risk and may react in a surprising manner to a newly
introduced stochastic capital tax. As an apparently paradoxical investment e¤ect, we find
that increased capital tax uncertainty can accelerate risky investment if such uncertainty
is such ciently low compared to cash flow uncertainty. In contrast, high capital tax risk
delays high-risk innovative investment projects. To reduce unintended consequences of
uncertain tax policy, tax legislators and tax authorities should avoid high levels of cap-
ital tax uncertainty. Broadening the capital tax base or increasing the capital tax rate
induces ambiguous timing effects. Furthermore, high-growth investments are likely to
be postponed if they experience a capital tax cut. Since investment reactions upon tax
reforms are well-known to affect income and wealth distribution, reliable estimations of
the impact of taxes on economic decisions are necessary. (authors' abstract) / Series: WU International Taxation Research Paper Series
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Can the CCCTB Alleviate Tax Discrimination Against Loss-making European Multinational Groups?Ortmann, Regina, Sureth, Caren January 2014 (has links) (PDF)
In March 2011, the European Commission submitted a proposal for a Council Directive on an optional common consolidated corporate tax base (CCCTB). If this proposed CCCTB system comes into force, taxes calculated under the currently existing system of separate accounting might be replaced by a system of group consolidation and formulary apportionment. Then, multinational groups (MNGs) would face the decision as to whether to opt for the CCCTB system. Prior research focuses mainly on the differences in economic behaviour under both systems in general. By con-trast, we study the conditions under which one or the other tax system is preferable from the per-spective of an MNG, with a particular focus on loss-offsets. We identify four effects that determine the decision of an MNG: the tax-utilization of losses, the allocation of the tax base, the dividend and intragroup interest taxation. We find mixed results, e.g., that the CCCTB system proves ad-vantageous for increasing loss/profit streams (e.g. from start-ups or R&D projects) of the individual group entities, whereas the system of separate accounting is beneficial for decreasing profit/loss streams (e.g. caused by a decrease in return from a mature product). The results of our analysis are helpful for MNGs facing the decision as to whether to opt for the CCCTB system and can also support legislators and politicians in the EU but also in other regions in their tax reform discussions. (authors' abstract) / Series: WU International Taxation Research Paper Series
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Can Tax Rate Increases Foster Investment under Entry and Exit Flexibility? - Insights from an Economic ExperimentFahr, René, Janssen, Elmar A., Sureth, Caren January 2014 (has links) (PDF)
It is well-known that taxes affect risky investment decisions. Analytical studies
indicate that tax rate increases (decreases) can foster (hinder) investment if there is flexibility, in
particular when an exit option is available. We design an experiment based on an analytical
model with binomial random walk and entry and exit flexibility. Contrasting the underlying
model, we find accelerated investment, which is often considered as an increased willingness to
invest, on tax rate increases to be independent of the existence of an exit option. However, we
observe this investor reaction only for a tax increase, not for a tax decrease. This behavior is
driven possibly by tax salience and the mechanisms known from the theory of irreversible choice
under uncertainty. Our empirical evidence suggests that the at-first-sight unexpected tax reform
effects are more common than is predicted by the theoretical literature. Policy makers should
therefore carefully consider the behavioral aspects when anticipating taxpayer reactions. (authors' abstract) / Series: WU International Taxation Research Paper Series
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Investment Effects of Wealth Taxes under Uncertainty and IrreversibilityNiemann, Rainer, Sureth-Sloane, Caren January 2015 (has links) (PDF)
The growing dissatisfaction with perceived distributional inequality and budgetary constraints gave rise to a discussion on the (re-)introduction of wealth taxes. Wealth taxes are typically levied on private wealth, in some countries also on corporate wealth. To avoid
misleading statements concerning possible distributional consequences of wealth taxes, preceding analyses of the economic and particularly investment effects are necessary. As investments drive job creation, tax-induced changes in investment timing may significantly affect the income and wealth distribution. We analyze the impact of wealth taxes
on investment timing under uncertainty and irreversibility and the propensity to carry out risky projects. Using a Dixit/Pindyck type real options model we find that wealth
taxes have real effects. This means that higher wealth tax rates can either stimulate or depress the propensity to invest in risky projects. We find that apparently paradoxical wealth tax effects (accelerated investment due to higher wealth tax rates) are more likely
for low interest rates and for high-risk investments. Using either historical cost or fair value accounting may affect investment timing ambiguously. Thus, the design of wealth
taxes is crucial for the resulting delay or acceleration of investment. Although our model takes an individual perspective, our findings are also relevant for the current tax policy discussion on the introduction of wealth taxes. Our results indicate that wealth taxes are particularly harmful for specific classes of investments, for example low-risk investments. (authors' abstract) / Series: WU International Taxation Research Paper Series
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