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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Multivariate sequential procedures for testing means

Jackson, James Edward January 1959 (has links)
We consider a multivariate situation with means µ₁,...,µ<sub>p</sub> and covariance matrix Σ. We wish to derive sequential procedures for testing the hypothesis: H₀: (µ̲ - µ̲ₒ)Σ⁻¹(µ̲ - μ̲₀)’= λ₀²( usually zero) against the alternative: μ̲₀ H₁: (µ̲ - µ̲ₒ)Σ⁻¹µ̲ - μ̲₀)’=λ₁² both for the case where Σ is known (the sequential X²-test) and where Σ is unknown and must be estimated from the sample (the sequential T²-test). These sequential procedures should guarantee that the probability of accepting H₁ when H₀ is true is equal to a and the probability of accepting H₀ when H₁ is true is equal to β. For the case where Σ is known, λ₀² = 0 and λ₁² = λ², the test procedure is as follows: for a sample of n observations form the probability ratio: P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> = e<sup>-nλ²</sup><sub>0</sub>F₁(p/2;nλ²X<sub>n²</sub>/4) where p denotes the number of variables, <sub>n</sub>x[with horizontal bars above and below the x] denotes the vector of the sample means based on n observations, X²<sub>n</sub> = n(<sub>n</sub>x[with horizontal bars above and below the x] - μ̲₀) Σ⁻¹(<sub>n</sub>x[with horizontal bars above and below the x] - μ̲₀)’ and ₀F₁ (c;x) is a type of generalized hypergeometric function. a. If P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> ≤ β/(1-α), accept H₀; b. If P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> ≥ (1- β)/α, accept H₁; c. If β/(1-α) < P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> < (1-β)/α, continue sampling. For the case where Σ is unknown, the procedure is exactly the same except that the probability ratio is now: P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> = e⁻<sup>-nλ²/2</sup> ₁F₁[n/2,p/2;nλ²T<sub>n</sub>²/2(n-1+T<sub>n</sub>²)] where T<sub>n</sub>² = n(<sub>n</sub>x[with horizontal bars above and below the x] - μ̲₀)S<sub>n</n>⁻¹(<sub>n</sub>x[with horizontal bars above and below the x] - μ̲₀)' , S<sub>n</sub>denotes the sample covariance matrix based on n observations and ₁F₁(a,c;x) is a confluent hypergeometric function. Procedures are also given for the case λ²₀ ≠ 0. Similar procedures are given to test the hypothesis: H₀ = (μ̲₁ - μ̲₂- δ ̲)Σ⁻¹(μ̲₁ - μ̲₂ - δ̲)’ = λ₀² (usually zero) against the alternative: H₁ = (μ̲₁ - μ̲₂- δ ̲)Σ⁻¹(μ̲₁ - μ̲₂ - δ̲)’ = λ₁² It is shown that these sequential procedures all exist in the sense that the risks of accepting H₀ when H₁ is true and of accepting H₁ when H₀ is true are approximately α and β respectively and that these sequential procedures terminate with probability unity. Some of these situation have been generalized to give simultaneous tests and the means and covariance matrix of a sample. No expressions yet exist for the OC or ASN functions although some conjectured values have been determined for the latter and suggest, in comparison with their corresponding fixed-sample tests, substantial reductions in the sample sizes required when either H₀ or H₁ is true. The general problem of tolerances is discussed and then some of these procedures are demonstrated with a numerical example drawn from the field of ballistic missiles. The determination of P<sub>1n</sub>/P<sub>0n</sub> is quite laborious for both the sequential X² - and T²-tests since it requires the evaluation of a hypergeometric function each time an observation is made. It would be better for each value of n, given p, α, β and λ² under H₁, to compute the values of X²<sub>n</sub> or T²<sub>n</sub> which would correspond to the boundaries of the tests indicated by β/(1-α) and (1-β)/α. Tables to facilitate both the sequential X²- and T²-tests are given for p = 2,3,...,9; λ² = 0.5, l.0, 2.0; α = β = 0.05 for n ranging from the minimum value necessary to reach a decision to 30, 45 and 60 for λ² = 0.5, 1.0, 2.0 respectively. These tables were prepared on the IBM 650 computer using the Newton-Raphson iterative procedure. Finally, a discussion is given for the hypergeometric function ₀F₁ (c;x) and a table given of this function for c = .5(.5)5.0 and x = .1(.1)1(1) 10(10)100(50)1000. / Doctor of Philosophy

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