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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Stochastic models for service systems and limit order books

Gao, Xuefeng 13 January 2014 (has links)
Stochastic fluctuations can have profound impacts on engineered systems. Nonetheless, we can achieve significant benefits such as cost reduction based upon expanding our fundamental knowledge of stochastic systems. The primary goal of this thesis is to contribute to our understanding by developing and analyzing stochastic models for specific types of engineered systems. The knowledge gained can help management to optimize decision making under uncertainty. This thesis has three parts. In Part I, we study many-server queues that model large-scale service systems such as call centers. We focus on the positive recurrence of piecewise Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes and the validity of using these processes to predict the steady-state performance of the corresponding many-server queues. In Part II, we investigate diffusion processes constrained to the positive orthant under infinitesimal changes in the drift. This sensitivity analysis on the drift helps us understand how changes in service capacities at individual stations in a stochastic network would affect the steady-state queue-length distributions. In Part III, we study the trading mechanism known as limit order book. We are motivated by a desire to better understand the interplay among order flow rates, liquidity fluctuation, and optimal executions. The goal is to characterize the temporal evolution of order book shape on the “macroscopic” time scale.
2

Order book models, signatures and numerical approximations of rough differential equations

Janssen, Arend January 2012 (has links)
We construct a mathematical model of an order driven market where traders can submit limit orders and market orders to buy and sell securities. We adapt the notion of no free lunch of Harrison and Kreps and Jouini and Kallal to our setting and we prove a no-arbitrage theorem for the model of the order driven market. Furthermore, we compute signatures of order books of different financial markets. Signatures, i.e. the full sequence of definite iterated integrals of a path, are one of the fundamental elements of the theory of rough paths. The theory of rough paths provides a framework to describe the evolution of dynamical systems that are driven by rough signals, including rough paths based on Brownian motion and fractional Brownian motion (see the work of Lyons). We show how we can obtain the solution of a polynomial differential equation and its (truncated) signature from the signature of the driving signal and the initial value. We also present and analyse an ODE method for the numerical solution of rough differential equations. We derive error estimates and we prove that it achieves the same rate of convergence as the corresponding higher order Euler schemes studied by Davie and Friz and Victoir. At the same time, it enhances stability. The method has been implemented for the case of polynomial vector fields as part of the CoRoPa software package which is available at http://coropa.sourceforge.net. We describe both the algorithm and the implementation and we show by giving examples how it can be used to compute the pathwise solution of stochastic rough differential equations driven by Brownian rough paths and fractional Brownian rough paths.

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