<p>Ninety-five percent of all roadway crashes are attributed fully or partially to human error, and a multitude of safety-related programs, policies, and initiatives have seen limited success in reducing roadway crashes and their accompanying fatalities, injuries, and property damage. For this reason, safety professionals have lauded the emergence of autonomous vehicles (AVs) as a promising palliative to the persistent problem of road crashes. Such optimism is reflected in recent literature that have argues from a conceptual standpoint, that road safety enhancement will be one of the prospective benefits of AV operations because automation removes humans from vehicle driving operations and therefore criminates or mitigates human error. It can be argued that the safety benefits of AVs will be manifest when AV market penetration reaches 100%. However, it seems clear from a practical standpoint that the transition from a system of exclusively human-driven vehicles (HDVs) to that of exclusively AVs will not only be necessary but also an arduous journey. This transition period will be characterized by heterogeneous traffic, where human-driven vehicles (HDVs) and AVs share the road space, and whence the prospective safety benefits of AVs may not be fully realized due to human error arising from the HDV operations in the mixed traffic space. These traffic conflicts, which may lead to collisions, could arise from any of several contexts of driving maneuvers, one of which is aggressive lane changes, the focus of this thesis. From the literature, it is clear that lane changing is inherently more collision-prone compared to most other maneuvers including car following, and therefore the consequences of errant human driving behavior such as inattention of misjudgment during lane changing, are more severe. To address this problem, this thesis developed a control framework to be used by AVs to help them avoid collision in a mixed traffic stream with human drivers who exhibit aggressive lane-changing behavior. The developed framework, which is based on a Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach, is designed to control the AV’s movements safely by duly accommodating potential human error from the HDVs that could otherwise lead to any of two common collision patterns: rear-end and side-impact. Further, the thesis investigated how connectivity between the HDVs, and AVs could facilitate joint operational decision-making and sharing of real-time information, thereby further enhancing the safety of the entire traffic stream. Finally, the thesis presents the results of driving simulations carried out to test and validate the performance of the control framework under different traffic conditions.</p>

京都大学 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(情報学) / 甲第24040号 / 情博第796号 / 新制||情||135(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院情報学研究科システム科学専攻 / (主査)教授 加納 学, 教授 大塚 敏之, 教授 下平 英寿 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Informatics / Kyoto University / DGAM

When multiple autonomous vehicles drive closelytogether behind each other, it is called a platoon. Platooningprovides several benefits, such as decreased congestion andreduced fuel consumption. In order for more vehicles to takeadvantage of these benefits, the platoon should be able to openup a space for other vehicles to merge into. Thus, our goal withthe project was to develop a system that can split a platoon.To achieve this, we are using model predictive control (MPC) tocontrol the system because it can handle constraints and controlsystems with multiple variables. To test the implemented system,we created a simulation environment in Python. We createdseveral plots to analyze and show the results of the simulations.To make the simulation more realistic, we introduced air drag tothe system. To counteract this effect, we added linearized air dragto the MPC. We showed that the constructed system could splitbetween any two adjacent vehicles in a platoon up to 50 meters.Another significant result was that the MPC could compensatefor the air drag without adding linearized air drag to the MPC. / När flera autonoma fordon kör nära varandra kallas det för en platoon. Det finns flera fördelar med platooning som minskad trafik samt minskad bränsleförbrukning. För att fler fordon ska kunna dra nytta av dessa fördelar bör nya fordon kunna sammansluta till en platoon och på grund av detta bör fordonen i platoonen kunna öppna ett utrymme för det nya fordonet. Därför är vårt mål med detta projekt att utveckla ett system som kan styra och dela på en platoon. För att åstadkomma detta använder vi model prediktiv reglering (MPC) eftersom den är bra på att hanterar bivilkor och styra system med många variabler. Vi implementerade systemet i Python, där en simuleringsmiljö skapades. För att se och analysera resultaten av simuleringen skapades grafer som visade hur fordonen hade färdats under simuleringen. Vi lade till luftmotstånd i simuleringen för att göra den mer realistisk. För att motverka luftmotståndet lade vi även till ett linjäriserat luftmotstånd till i MPC:n. I slutet av projektet kunde systemet dela platoonen mellan två fordon med ett avstånd upp till 50 meter. Vi observerade att MPC:n kunde kompensera motståndet utan implementationen av det linjäriserade luftmotståndet. / Kandidatexjobb i elektroteknik 2021, KTH, Stockholm

The goal of this dissertation is to evaluate the effectiveness of model predictive control (MPC) for a magnetically suspended flywheel energy storage uninterruptible power supply (FlyUPS). The reason this research topic was selected was to determine if an advanced control technique such as MPC could perform better than a classical control approach such as decentralised Proportional-plus-Differential (PD) control. Based on a literature study of the FlyUPS system and the MPC strategies available, two MPC strategies were used to design two possible MPC controllers were designed for the FlyUPS, namely a classical MPC algorithm that incorporates optimisation techniques and the MPC algorithm used in the MATLAB® MPC toolbox™. In order to take the restrictions of the system into consideration, the model used to derive the controllers was reduced to an order of ten according to the Hankel singular value decomposition of the model. Simulation results indicated that the first controller based on a classical MPC algorithm and optimisation techniques was not verified as a viable control strategy to be implemented on the physical FlyUPS system due to difficulties obtaining the desired response. The second controller derived using the MATLAB® MPC toolbox™ was verified to be a viable control strategy for the FlyUPS by delivering good performance in simulation. The verified MPC controller was then implemented on the FlyUPS. This implementation was then analysed in order to validate that the controller operates as expected through a comparison of the simulation and implementation results. Further analysis was then done by comparing the performance of MPC with decentralised PD control in order to determine the advantages and limitations of using MPC on the FlyUPS. The advantages indicated by the evaluation include the simplicity of the design of the controller that follows directly from the specifications of the system and the dynamics of the system, and the good performance of the controller within the parameters of the controller design. The limitations identified during this evaluation include the high computational load that requires a relatively long execution time, and the inability of the MPC controller to adapt to unmodelled system dynamics. Based on this evaluation MPC can be seen as a viable control strategy for the FlyUPS, however more research is needed to optimise the MPC approach to yield significant advantages over other control techniques such as decentralised PD control. / Thesis (MIng (Computer and Electronic Engineering))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

The goal of this dissertation is to evaluate the effectiveness of model predictive control (MPC) for a magnetically suspended flywheel energy storage uninterruptible power supply (FlyUPS). The reason this research topic was selected was to determine if an advanced control technique such as MPC could perform better than a classical control approach such as decentralised Proportional-plus-Differential (PD) control. Based on a literature study of the FlyUPS system and the MPC strategies available, two MPC strategies were used to design two possible MPC controllers were designed for the FlyUPS, namely a classical MPC algorithm that incorporates optimisation techniques and the MPC algorithm used in the MATLAB® MPC toolbox™. In order to take the restrictions of the system into consideration, the model used to derive the controllers was reduced to an order of ten according to the Hankel singular value decomposition of the model. Simulation results indicated that the first controller based on a classical MPC algorithm and optimisation techniques was not verified as a viable control strategy to be implemented on the physical FlyUPS system due to difficulties obtaining the desired response. The second controller derived using the MATLAB® MPC toolbox™ was verified to be a viable control strategy for the FlyUPS by delivering good performance in simulation. The verified MPC controller was then implemented on the FlyUPS. This implementation was then analysed in order to validate that the controller operates as expected through a comparison of the simulation and implementation results. Further analysis was then done by comparing the performance of MPC with decentralised PD control in order to determine the advantages and limitations of using MPC on the FlyUPS. The advantages indicated by the evaluation include the simplicity of the design of the controller that follows directly from the specifications of the system and the dynamics of the system, and the good performance of the controller within the parameters of the controller design. The limitations identified during this evaluation include the high computational load that requires a relatively long execution time, and the inability of the MPC controller to adapt to unmodelled system dynamics. Based on this evaluation MPC can be seen as a viable control strategy for the FlyUPS, however more research is needed to optimise the MPC approach to yield significant advantages over other control techniques such as decentralised PD control. / Thesis (MIng (Computer and Electronic Engineering))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

This research work provides the development of an Adaptive Flight Control System (AFCS) for autonomous hover of a Rotary-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (RUAV). Due to the complex, nonlinear and time-varying dynamics of the RUAV, indirect adaptive control using the Model Predictive Control (MPC) is utilised. The performance of the MPC mainly depends on the model of the RUAV used for predicting the future behaviour. Due to the complexities associated with the RUAV dynamics, a neural network based black box identification technique is used for modelling the behaviour of the RUAV. Auto-regressive neural network architecture is developed for offline and online modelling purposes. A hybrid modelling technique that exploits the advantages of both the offline and the online models is proposed. In the hybrid modelling technique, the predictions from the offline trained model are corrected by using the error predictions from the online model at every sample time. To reduce the computational time for training the neural networks, a principal component analysis based algorithm that reduces the dimension of the input training data is also proposed. This approach is shown to reduce the computational time significantly. These identification techniques are validated in numerical simulations before flight testing in the Eagle and RMAX helicopter platforms. Using the successfully validated models of the RUAVs, Neural Network based Model Predictive Controller (NN-MPC) is developed taking into account the non-linearity of the RUAVs and constraints into consideration. The parameters of the MPC are chosen to satisfy the performance requirements imposed on the flight controller. The optimisation problem is solved numerically using nonlinear optimisation techniques. The performance of the controller is extensively validated using numerical simulation models before flight testing. The effects of actuator and sensor delays and noises along with the wind gusts are taken into account during these numerical simulations. In addition, the robustness of the controller is validated numerically for possible parameter variations. The numerical simulation results are compared with a base-line PID controller. Finally, the NN-MPCs are flight tested for height control and autonomous hover. For these, SISO as well as multiple SISO controllers are used. The flight tests are conducted in varying weather conditions to validate the utility of the control technique. The NN-MPC in conjunction with the proposed hybrid modelling technique is shown to handle additional disturbances successfully. Extensive flight test results provide justification for the use of the NN-MPC technique as a reliable technique for control of non-linear complex dynamic systems such as RUAVs.

Conventionally, to support varying power demand, the utility company must prepare to supply more electricity than actually needed, which causes inefficiency and waste. With the increasing penetration of renewable energy which is intermittent and stochastic, how to balance the power generation and demand becomes even more challenging. Demand response, which reschedules part of the elastic load in users' side, is a promising technology to increase power generation efficiency and reduce costs. However, how to coordinate all the distributed heterogeneous elastic loads efficiently is a major challenge and sparks numerous research efforts. In this thesis, we investigate different methods to provide demand response and improve power grid efficiency. First, we consider how to schedule the charging process of all the Plugged-in Hybrid Electrical Vehicles (PHEVs) so that demand peaks caused by PHEV charging are flattened. Existing solutions are either centralized which may not be scalable, or decentralized based on real-time pricing (RTP) which may not be applicable immediately for many markets. Our proposed PHEV charging approach does not need complicated, centralized control and can be executed online in a distributed manner. In addition, we extend our approach and apply it to the distribution grid to solve the bus congestion and voltage drop problems by controlling the access probability of PHEVs. One of the advantages of our algorithm is that it does not need accurate predictions on base load and future users' behaviors. Furthermore, it is deployable even when the grid size is large. Different from PHEVs, whose future arrivals are hard to predict, there is another category of elastic load, such as Heating Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems, whose future status can be predicted based on the current status and control actions. How to minimize the power generation cost using this kind of elastic load is also an interesting topic to the power companies. Existing work usually used HVAC to do the load following or load shaping based on given control signals or objectives. However, optimal external control signals may not always be available. Without such control signals, how to make a tradeoff between the fluctuation of non-renewable power generation and the limited demand response potential of the elastic load, and to guarantee user comfort level, is still an open problem. To solve this problem, we first model the temperature evolution process of a room and propose an approach to estimate the key parameters of the model. Then, based on the model predictive control, a centralized and a distributed algorithm are proposed to minimize the fluctuation and maximize the user comfort level. In addition, we propose a dynamic water level adjustment algorithm to make the demand response always available in two directions. Extensive simulations based on practical data sets show that the proposed algorithms can effectively reduce the load fluctuation. Both randomized PHEV charging and HVAC control algorithms discussed above belong to direct or centralized load shaping, which has been heavily investigated. However, it is usually not clear how the users are compensated by providing load shaping services. In the last part of this thesis, we investigate indirect load shaping in a distributed manner. On one hand, we aim to reduce the users' energy cost by investigating how to fully utilize the battery pack and the water tank for the Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems. We first formulate the queueing models for the CHP systems, and then propose an algorithm based on the Lyapunov optimization technique which does not need any statistical information about the system dynamics. The optimal control actions can be obtained by solving a non-convex optimization problem. We then discuss when it can be converted into a convex optimization problem. On the other hand, based on the users' reaction model, we propose an algorithm, with a time complexity of O(log n), to determine the RTP for the power company to effectively coordinate all the CHP systems and provide distributed load shaping services. / Graduate

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / Monitoring of process control systems is extremely important for industries to ensure the quality of the product and the safety of the process. Predictive controllers, also known by MPC (Model Predictive Control), usually has a well performance initially. However, after a period, many factors contribute to the deterioration of its performance. This highlights the importance of monitoring the MPC control systems. In this work, tools based on multivariate statistical methods are discussed and applied to the problem of monitoring and Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The methods presented here are: PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and ICA (Independent Component Analysis). Both are techniques that use data collected directly from the process. The first is widely used in Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The second is a more recent technique that has arisen, mainly in order to be used in fault detection systems. The analyzes are made when applied in simulated processes characteristic of the petrochemical industry operating under MPC control. / O monitoramento de sistemas de controle de processos é extremamente importante no que diz respeito às indústrias, para garantir a qualidade do que é produzido e a segurança do processo. Os controladores preditivos, também conhecidos pela sigla em inglês MPC (Model Predictive Control), costumam ter um bom desempenho inicialmente. Entretanto, após um certo período, muitos fatores contribuem para a deterioração de seu desempenho. Isto evidencia a importância do monitoramento dos sistemas de controle MPC. Neste trabalho aborda-se ferramentas, baseada em métodos estatísticos multivariados, aplicados ao problema de monitoramento e avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Os métodos aqui apresentados são: o PCA (Análise por componentes principais) e o ICA (Análise por componentes independentes). Ambas são técnicas que utilizam dados coletados diretamente do processo. O primeiro é largamente utilizado na avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Já o segundo, é uma técnica mais recente que surgiu, principalmente, com o intuito de ser utilizado em sistemas de detecção de falhas. As análises são feitas quando aplicadas em processos simulados característicos da indústria petroquímica operando sob controle MPC.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / Monitoring of process control systems is extremely important for industries to ensure the quality of the product and the safety of the process. Predictive controllers, also known by MPC (Model Predictive Control), usually has a well performance initially. However, after a period, many factors contribute to the deterioration of its performance. This highlights the importance of monitoring the MPC control systems. In this work, tools based on multivariate statistical methods are discussed and applied to the problem of monitoring and Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The methods presented here are: PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and ICA (Independent Component Analysis). Both are techniques that use data collected directly from the process. The first is widely used in Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The second is a more recent technique that has arisen, mainly in order to be used in fault detection systems. The analyzes are made when applied in simulated processes characteristic of the petrochemical industry operating under MPC control. / O monitoramento de sistemas de controle de processos é extremamente importante no que diz respeito às indústrias, para garantir a qualidade do que é produzido e a segurança do processo. Os controladores preditivos, também conhecidos pela sigla em inglês MPC (Model Predictive Control), costumam ter um bom desempenho inicialmente. Entretanto, após um certo período, muitos fatores contribuem para a deterioração de seu desempenho. Isto evidencia a importância do monitoramento dos sistemas de controle MPC. Neste trabalho aborda-se ferramentas, baseada em métodos estatísticos multivariados, aplicados ao problema de monitoramento e avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Os métodos aqui apresentados são: o PCA (Análise por componentes principais) e o ICA (Análise por componentes independentes). Ambas são técnicas que utilizam dados coletados diretamente do processo. O primeiro é largamente utilizado na avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Já o segundo, é uma técnica mais recente que surgiu, principalmente, com o intuito de ser utilizado em sistemas de detecção de falhas. As análises são feitas quando aplicadas em processos simulados característicos da indústria petroquímica operando sob controle MPC.

This thesis proposes, validates, and compares low-complexity algorithms for the fast-and-safe charge and balance of Li-ion batteries both for the single cell case and for the case of a serially-connected string of battery cells. The proposed algorithms are based on a reduced-order electrochemical model (Equivalent Hydraulic Model, EHM), and make use of constrained-control strategies to limit the main electrochemical degradation phenomena that may accelerate aging, namely: Lithium plating in the anode and solvent oxidation inthe cathode. To avoid the computational intensiveness of solving an online optimization as in the Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework, this thesis proposes the use of Reference Governor schemes. Variants of both the Scalar Reference Governors (SRG) and the Explicit Reference Governors (ERG) are developed to deal with the non-convex admissible region for the charge of a battery cell, while keeping a low computational burden. To evaluate the performance of the proposed techniques for the single cell case, they are experimentallyvalidated on commercial Turnigy LCO cells of 160 mAh at four different constant temperatures (10, 20, 30 and 40 °C). In the second part of this thesis, the proposed charging strategies are extended to take into account the balance of a serially-connected string of cells. To equalize possible mismatches, a centralized policy based on a shunting grid (active balance) connects or disconnects the cells during the charge. After a preliminary analysis, a simple mixed-integer algorithm was proposed. Since this method is computationally inefficient due to the high number of scenarios to be evaluated, this thesis proposes a ratio-based algorithm based on a Pulse-Width Modulation (PWM) approach. This approach can be used within both MPC and RG schemes. The numerical validations of the proposed algorithms for the case of a string of four battery cells are carried out using a simulator based on a full-order electrochemical model. Numerical validations show that the PWM-like approach charges in parallel all the cells within the pack, whereas the mixed-integer approach charges the battery cells sequentially from the battery cell with the lowest state of charge to the ones with the highest states of charge. On the basis of the simulations, an algorithm based on a mixed logic that allows to charge in a “sequential parallel” approach is proposed. Some conclusions and future directions of research are proposed at the end of the thesis. / Doctorat en Sciences de l'ingénieur et technologie / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished