Pang Suet-Yee. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2002. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 85-87). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1 --- Overview --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1.1 --- Survival Analysis --- p.2 / Chapter 1.1.2 --- Tree、-structured Statistical Method --- p.2 / Chapter 1.1.3 --- Mortality Study --- p.3 / Chapter 1.2 --- Motivation --- p.3 / Chapter 1.3 --- Background Information --- p.4 / Chapter 1.4 --- Data Content --- p.7 / Chapter 1.5 --- Thesis Outline --- p.8 / Chapter 2 --- Imputation and File Splitting --- p.10 / Chapter 2.1 --- Imputation of Missing Values --- p.10 / Chapter 2.1.1 --- Purpose of Imputation --- p.10 / Chapter 2.1.2 --- Procedure of Hot Deck Imputation --- p.11 / Chapter 2.1.3 --- List of Variables for Imputation --- p.12 / Chapter 2.2 --- File Splitting --- p.14 / Chapter 2.2.1 --- Splitting by Gender --- p.14 / Chapter 2.3 --- Splitting for Validation Check --- p.1G / Chapter 3 --- Cox Hazard Model --- p.17 / Chapter 3.1 --- Basic Idea --- p.17 / Chapter 3.1.1 --- Survival Analysis --- p.17 / Chapter 3.1.2 --- Survivor Function --- p.18 / Chapter 3.1.3 --- Hazard Function --- p.18 / Chapter 3.2 --- The Cox Proportional Hazards Model --- p.19 / Chapter 3.2.1 --- Kaplan-Meier Estimate and Log-Rank Test --- p.20 / Chapter 3.2.2 --- Hazard Ratio --- p.23 / Chapter 3.2.3 --- Partial Likelihood --- p.24 / Chapter 3.3 --- Extension of the Cox Proportional Hazards Model for Time-dependent Variables --- p.25 / Chapter 3.3.1 --- Modification of the Cox's Model --- p.25 / Chapter 3.4 --- Results of Model Fitting --- p.26 / Chapter 3.4.1 --- Extract the Significant Covariates from the Models --- p.31 / Chapter 3.5 --- Model Interpretation --- p.32 / Chapter 4 --- CART --- p.37 / Chapter 4.1 --- CART Procedure --- p.38 / Chapter 4.2 --- Selection of the Splits --- p.39 / Chapter 4.2.1 --- Goodness of Split --- p.39 / Chapter 4.2.2 --- Type of Variables --- p.40 / Chapter 4.2.3 --- Estimation --- p.40 / Chapter 4.3 --- Pruning the Tree --- p.41 / Chapter 4.3.1 --- Misclassification Cost --- p.42 / Chapter 4.3.2 --- Class Assignment Rule --- p.44 / Chapter 4.3.3 --- Minimal Cost Complexity Pruning --- p.44 / Chapter 4.4 --- Cross Validation --- p.47 / Chapter 4.4.1 --- V-fold Cross-validation --- p.47 / Chapter 4.4.2 --- Selecting the right sized tree --- p.49 / Chapter 4.5 --- Missing Value --- p.49 / Chapter 4.6 --- Results of CART program --- p.51 / Chapter 4.7 --- Model Interpretation --- p.53 / Chapter 5 --- Model Prediction --- p.58 / Chapter 5.1 --- Application to Test Sample --- p.58 / Chapter 5.1.1 --- Fitting test sample to Cox's Model --- p.59 / Chapter 5.1.2 --- Fitting test sample to CART model --- p.61 / Chapter 5.2 --- Comparison of Model Prediction --- p.62 / Chapter 5.2.1 --- Misclassification Rate --- p.62 / Chapter 5.2.2 --- Misclassification Rate of Cox's model --- p.63 / Chapter 5.2.3 --- Misclassification Rate of CART model --- p.64 / Chapter 5.2.4 --- Prediction Result --- p.64 / Chapter 6 --- Conclusion --- p.67 / Chapter 6.1 --- Comparison of Results --- p.67 / Chapter 6.2 --- Comparison of the Two Statistical Techniques --- p.68 / Chapter 6.3 --- Limitation --- p.70 / Appendix A: Coding Description for the Health Factors --- p.72 / Appendix B: Log-rank Test --- p.75 / Appendix C: Longitudinal Plot of Time Dependent Variables --- p.76 / Appendix D: Hypothesis Testing of Suspected Covariates --- p.78 / Appendix E: Terminal node report for both gender --- p.81 / Appendix F: Calculation of Critical Values --- p.83 / Appendix G: Distribution of Missing Value in Learning sample and Test Sample --- p.84 / Bibliography --- p.85