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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
51

Pricing and hedging S&P 500 index options : a comparison of affine jump diffusion models

Gleeson, Cameron, Banking & Finance, Australian School of Business, UNSW January 2005 (has links)
This thesis examines the empirical performance of four Affine Jump Diffusion models in pricing and hedging S&P 500 Index options: the Black Scholes (BS) model, Heston???s Stochastic Volatility (SV) model, a Stochastic Volatility Price Jump (SVJ) model and a Stochastic Volatility Price-Volatility Jump (SVJJ) model. The SVJJ model structure allows for simultaneous jumps in price and volatility processes, with correlated jump size distributions. To the best of our knowledge this is the first empirical study to test the hedging performance of the SVJJ model. As part of our research we derive the SVJJ model minimum variance hedge ratio. We find the SVJ model displays the best price prediction. The SV model lacks the structural complexity to eliminate Black Scholes pricing biases, whereas our results indicate the SVJJ model suffers from overfitting. Despite significant evidence from in and out-of-sample pricing that the SV and SVJ models were better specified than the BS model, this did not result in an improvement in dynamic hedging performance. Overall the BS delta hedge and SV minimum variance hedge produced the lowest errors, although their performance across moneyness-maturity categories differed greatly. The SVJ model???s results were surprisingly poor given its superior performance in out-of-sample pricing. We attribute the inadequate performance of the jump models to the lower hedging ratios these models provided, which may be a result of the negative expected jump sizes.
52

Hedging strategy for an option on commodity market

Tkachev, Ilya January 2010 (has links)
<p>In this work we consider the methods of pricing and hedging an option on the forward commodity market described by the multi-factor diffusion model. In the previous research there were presented explicit valuation formulas for standard European type options and simulation schemes for other types of options. However, hedging strategies were not developed in the available literature. Extending known results this work gives analytical formulas for the price of American, Asian and general European options. Moreover, for all these options hedging strategies are presented. Using these results the dynamics of the portfolio composed of options on futures with different maturities is studied on a commodity market.</p>
53

Changes in the creditability of the Black-Scholes option pricing model due to financial turbulences

Angeli, Andrea, Bonz, Cornelius January 2010 (has links)
<p>This study examines whether the performance of the Black-Scholes model to price stock index options is influenced by the general conditions of the financial markets. For this purpose we calculated the theoretical values of 5814 options (3366 put option price observations and 2448 call option price observations) under the Black-Scholes assumptions. We compared these theoretical values with the real market prices in order to put the degree of deviations in two different time windows built around the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers (September 15th 2008) to the test. We find clear evidences to state that the Black-Scholes model performed differently in the period after Lehman Brothers than in the period before; therefore we are able to blame this event for our findings.</p>
54

Option Pricing in the Presence of Liquidity Risk

Harr, Martin January 2010 (has links)
<p>The main objective of this paper is to prove that liquidity costs do exist in option pricingtheory. To achieve this goal, a martingale approach to option pricing theory is usedand, from a model by Jarrow and Protter [JP], a sound theoretical model is derived toshow that liquidity risk exists. This model, derived and tested in this extended theory,allows for liquidity costs to arise. The expression liquidity cost is used in this paper tomeasure liquidity risk relative to the option price.</p>
55

A Radial Basis Function Approach to Financial Time Series Analysis

Hutchinson, James M. 01 December 1993 (has links)
Nonlinear multivariate statistical techniques on fast computers offer the potential to capture more of the dynamics of the high dimensional, noisy systems underlying financial markets than traditional models, while making fewer restrictive assumptions. This thesis presents a collection of practical techniques to address important estimation and confidence issues for Radial Basis Function networks arising from such a data driven approach, including efficient methods for parameter estimation and pruning, a pointwise prediction error estimator, and a methodology for controlling the "data mining'' problem. Novel applications in the finance area are described, including customized, adaptive option pricing and stock price prediction.
56

Optimal Stopping and Model Robustness in Mathematical Finance

Wanntorp, Henrik January 2008 (has links)
Optimal stopping and mathematical finance are intimately connected since the value of an American option is given as the solution to an optimal stopping problem. Such a problem can be viewed as a game in which we are trying to maximize an expected reward. The solution involves finding the best possible strategy, or equivalently, an optimal stopping time for the game. Moreover, the reward corresponding to this optimal time should be determined. It is also of interest to know how the solution depends on the model parameters. For example, when pricing and hedging an American option, the volatility needs to be estimated and it is of great practical importance to know how the price and hedging portfolio are affected by a possible misspecification. The first paper of this thesis investigates the performance of the delta hedging strategy for a class of American options with non-convex payoffs. It turns out that an option writer who overestimates the volatility will obtain a superhedge for the option when using the misspecified hedging portfolio. In the second paper we consider the valuation of a so-called stock loan when the lender is allowed to issue a margin call. We show that the price of such an instrument is equivalent to that of an American down-and-out barrier option with a rebate. The value of this option is determined explicitly together with the optimal repayment strategy of the stock loan. The third paper considers the problem of how to optimally stop a Brownian bridge. A finite horizon optimal stopping problem like this can rarely be solved explicitly. However, one expects the value function and the optimal stopping boundary to satisfy a time-dependent free boundary problem. By assuming a special form of the boundary, we are able to transform this problem into one which does not depend on time and solving this we obtain candidates for the value function and the boundary. Using stochastic calculus we then verify that these indeed satisfy our original problem. In the fourth paper we consider an investor wanting to take advantage of a mispricing in the market by purchasing a bull spread, which is liquidated in case of a market downturn. We show that this can be formulated as an optimal stopping problem which we then, using similar techniques as in the third paper, solve explicitly. In the fifth and final paper we study convexity preservation of option prices in a model with jumps. This is done by finding a sufficient condition for the no-crossing property to hold in a jump-diffusion setting.
57

Changes in the creditability of the Black-Scholes option pricing model due to financial turbulences

Angeli, Andrea, Bonz, Cornelius January 2010 (has links)
This study examines whether the performance of the Black-Scholes model to price stock index options is influenced by the general conditions of the financial markets. For this purpose we calculated the theoretical values of 5814 options (3366 put option price observations and 2448 call option price observations) under the Black-Scholes assumptions. We compared these theoretical values with the real market prices in order to put the degree of deviations in two different time windows built around the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers (September 15th 2008) to the test. We find clear evidences to state that the Black-Scholes model performed differently in the period after Lehman Brothers than in the period before; therefore we are able to blame this event for our findings.
58

Option Pricing in the Presence of Liquidity Risk

Harr, Martin January 2010 (has links)
The main objective of this paper is to prove that liquidity costs do exist in option pricingtheory. To achieve this goal, a martingale approach to option pricing theory is usedand, from a model by Jarrow and Protter [JP], a sound theoretical model is derived toshow that liquidity risk exists. This model, derived and tested in this extended theory,allows for liquidity costs to arise. The expression liquidity cost is used in this paper tomeasure liquidity risk relative to the option price.
59

Hedging strategy for an option on commodity market

Tkachev, Ilya January 2010 (has links)
In this work we consider the methods of pricing and hedging an option on the forward commodity market described by the multi-factor diffusion model. In the previous research there were presented explicit valuation formulas for standard European type options and simulation schemes for other types of options. However, hedging strategies were not developed in the available literature. Extending known results this work gives analytical formulas for the price of American, Asian and general European options. Moreover, for all these options hedging strategies are presented. Using these results the dynamics of the portfolio composed of options on futures with different maturities is studied on a commodity market.
60

Exponential Fitting, Finite Volume and Box Methods in Option Pricing.

Shcherbakov, Dmitry, Szwaczkiewicz, Sylwia January 2010 (has links)
In this thesis we focus mainly on special finite differences and finite volume methods and apply them to the pricing of barrier options.The structure of this work is the following: in Chapter 1 we introduce the definitions of options and illustrate some properties of vanilla European options and exotic options.Chapter 2 describes a classical model used in the financial world, the  Black-Scholes model. We derive theBlack-Scholes formula and show how stochastic differential equations model financial instruments prices.The aim of this chapter is also to present the initial boundary value problem and the maximum principle.We discuss boundary conditions such as: the first boundary value problem, also called  Dirichlet problem that occur in pricing ofbarrier options and European options. Some kinds of put options lead to the study of a second boundary value problem (Neumann, Robin problem),while the Cauchy problem is associated with one-factor European and American options.Chapter 3 is about finite differences methods such as theta, explicit, implicit and Crank-Nicolson method, which are used forsolving partial differential equations.The exponentially fitted scheme is presented in Chapter 4. It is one of the new classesof a robust difference scheme that is stable, has good convergence and does not produce spurious oscillations.The stability is also advantage of the box method that is presented in Chapter 5.In the beginning of the Chapter 6 we illustrate barrier options and then we consider a novel finite volume discretization for apricing the above options.Chapter 7 describes discretization of the Black-Scholes equation by the fitted finite volume scheme. In  Chapter 8 we present and describe numerical results obtained by using  the finite difference methods illustrated in the previous chapters.

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