Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Central Florida, 2008. / Adviser: Wendell C. Lawther. Includes bibliographical references (p. 197-206).

Over the years, citizens' trust and confidence in their governments has continued to decline and digital government is expected to reverse this trend. An enormous amount of money has been spent, worldwide, on electronic government initiatives that are focused on improving performance, reducing costs and enhancing citizens' trust and confidence in their governments. Yet, of the many initiatives that have been implemented, very few have achieved real transformation of government (i.e. fundamental changes to the way core functions of government are performed to achieve noticeable gains in performance and efficiency). As such, there is a need to understand how transformation of government as a construct affects citizens' trust and confidence in government in the presence of factors such as, government performance and citizen satisfaction. This research empirically investigates the influence of digital transformation of government on citizens' trust and confidence in the context of the Kingdom of Bahrain. Bahrain is a top ranking country in terms of use of ICT in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. A conceptual model was developed and validated using an online survey targeting randomly citizens of the Kingdom of Bahrain. Based on 313 responses, the findings of this research suggest that citizens' trust and confidence in their government is positively influenced by transformation of government, mediated by government performance and citizens' satisfaction. The study found that e-government and technology are not enough for achieving a real transformation of government, and therefore, in tackling the decline in citizens' trust and confidence in government. Other factors were found to be important in this equation, including transparency and accountability of government functions and activities in meeting citizens' expectations. The research offers multiple policy implications and theoretical contributions, in addition to helping understand how digital transformation of government can enhance citizens' trust and confidence in government, improve government-to-citizen relationship, and increase the adoption of digital services offered by governments. From a policy perspective, this research offers a validated conceptual model that can be used as a frame of reference when planning ICT-enabled transformation projects in government. From a theoretical context, this study is the first to investigate the relationship between transformation of government and citizens' trust and confidence in government.

This dissertation includes three different topics concerning the political business cycles in developed countries. In the first section, we use annual data for 48 states from 1951 to 2004 by the method of instrumental variables estimation. We find that the partisan theory created in statewide via two channels including the partisanship effect which include the interactive relationships between president and governors or among governors, and the partisan ideology including the policy preferences are both potential shocks to a real business cycle. Next, we investigate the theory of partisan cycles using panel cointegration and fully modified OLS techniques based on the same data as earlier. We propose the long-run co-movement and the causal relationships between partisan target and cycle variables. Meanwhile, the panel error correction model shows evidence of long-run unidirectional causality running from partisan variables to target variables. This shows that, in the long run, statewide economic performance must be directly based on politicians¡¦ concerns for policies and outcomes, as well as on exhibiting strong ideological differences in those preferences across parties in the United States. Overall, we contribute an essential reference to the voters. Finally, a new government popularity index (GPI) is constructed and using variables that include real GDP, industrial production, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate as measures of bilateral activity correlation beginning in 1981Q1 and ending in 2005Q4 for 15 European countries. The estimation procedure is developed by rolling the correlation of bilateral activity every twenty quarters and running it on partisan variables, namely, as a kind of government popularity index and the difference between partisan ideologies combined with traditional bilateral trade intensity variables. Overall, a strong and striking empirical finding is uncovered: countries with closer popular governments, incumbent ideologies as well as trade links, tend to have more closely correlated business cycles.