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Electoral Success in Swedish Municipal Councils: The Role of Occupation and Politicians’ CharacteristicsChakraborty, Liton January 2012 (has links)
This paper examines to what extent political candidates’ characteristics listed on the ballot affect election outcomes in municipal councils in Sweden. We exploit data on candidates’ name, age, sex, occupation, party affiliation, and candidates’ position listed on the ballots for 3757 elected candidates of 59 municipalities. The data on 19 September 2010 elections to municipal councils in Sweden has been considered in this paper. A probit regression approach has been employed for identifying occupational effects whereas the main outcome variable is binary, namely whether a candidate is elected by preference votes threshold or not. Candidates with occupations such as mayor, political official, parliament member, farmer, head, entrepreneur and teacher are found to have electoral advantage. In contrast, salesman, retired, student, pensioner, and assistant are found less likely to be person selected. The results remain robust in case of occupations related to political incumbency such as political officials, mayor and parliament member even if demographic effects (gender and age), ballot position effects, party effects and municipality effects are added into regression analysis. The same results also hold regarding the alternative outcome variable, personal vote share. Male candidates are found to have electoral advantage over female candidates. The findings also suggest that there are higher chances to be person selected if a candidate’s name is listed within top three ballot positions. Finally, statistically significant and negative effects are found for the left-wing candidates with occupations such as retired, student, ombudsman, graduate, and businessman. On the other hand, candidates with occupations such as salesman, engineer, graduate, administrator, manager, driver, economist, consultant, self-employed, and lawyer have electoral disadvantage being placed on right-wing party list. However, mayor and political officials from both groups of parties always have electoral advantage. To sum up, our findings support the hypothesis that occupations play a significant role in the elections to municipal councils in Sweden. The findings of the study have implications for our understanding of voting behavior in low-information elections in Sweden.
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De onde vem nossas leis? Origem e conteúdo da legislação em perspectiva comparada / De onde vem nossas leis? Origem e conteúdo da legislação em perspectiva comparadaRicci, Paolo 19 December 2006 (has links)
Este trabalho é um estudo comparado do impacto do sistema eleitoral e do poder de agenda sobre a produção legislativa sancionada de origem parlamentar in 22 democracias. Investiga-se a hipótese de que sistemas centrados no candidato incentivam os deputados a produzirem iniciativas legislativas paroquiais, isto é, normas que conferem benefícios locais. Alternativamente, considero a hipótese de que os parlamentares são influenciados mais pelas pressões vindas dos grupos organizados, independentemente do grau de personalização que o sistema eleitoral proporciona. Isso significa que, em termos de políticas públicas, prevalecerão normas de tipo distributivo a caráter difuso também em sistemas centrados no candidato. Como alternativa à idéia da conexão eleitoral, será considerada a hipótese de que a produção legislativa è função do tipo de organização dos trabalhos parlamentares. Os dados evidenciam que a tese do voto pessoal não é explicativa. Uma indicação empírica importante é que são os grupos a exercer uma influência significativa sobre a produção legislativa. O trabalho fornece também evidências de que é o tipo de controle da agenda que melhor elucida o formato da produção legislativa dos deputados. / This dissertation is a comparative study on the impact of electoral systems and agenda powers on the approved bills proposed by members of the Congress in 22 democracies. I examine the hypothesis that candidate centered systems bring incentives to MPs to adopt pork barrel politics, i.e. conferring special benefits to narrow constituencies. An alternative hypothesis considers that MPs are much more influenced by organized groups? lobbies, independently of personal vote. According to this perspective, even if the electoral system is candidate- centered, distributive laws that do not to concentrate benefits territorially will be predominant. As opposed to the electoral connection perspective, I consider the hypothesis that legislative results are a product of the legislature organization. Data confirm that the personal vote perspective is not exaustive. A relevant empirical indication is that the major impact on legislative output is provided by groups. This study also argues that procedural agenda control has a significant impact on the legislative output.
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De onde vem nossas leis? Origem e conteúdo da legislação em perspectiva comparada / De onde vem nossas leis? Origem e conteúdo da legislação em perspectiva comparadaPaolo Ricci 19 December 2006 (has links)
Este trabalho é um estudo comparado do impacto do sistema eleitoral e do poder de agenda sobre a produção legislativa sancionada de origem parlamentar in 22 democracias. Investiga-se a hipótese de que sistemas centrados no candidato incentivam os deputados a produzirem iniciativas legislativas paroquiais, isto é, normas que conferem benefícios locais. Alternativamente, considero a hipótese de que os parlamentares são influenciados mais pelas pressões vindas dos grupos organizados, independentemente do grau de personalização que o sistema eleitoral proporciona. Isso significa que, em termos de políticas públicas, prevalecerão normas de tipo distributivo a caráter difuso também em sistemas centrados no candidato. Como alternativa à idéia da conexão eleitoral, será considerada a hipótese de que a produção legislativa è função do tipo de organização dos trabalhos parlamentares. Os dados evidenciam que a tese do voto pessoal não é explicativa. Uma indicação empírica importante é que são os grupos a exercer uma influência significativa sobre a produção legislativa. O trabalho fornece também evidências de que é o tipo de controle da agenda que melhor elucida o formato da produção legislativa dos deputados. / This dissertation is a comparative study on the impact of electoral systems and agenda powers on the approved bills proposed by members of the Congress in 22 democracies. I examine the hypothesis that candidate centered systems bring incentives to MPs to adopt pork barrel politics, i.e. conferring special benefits to narrow constituencies. An alternative hypothesis considers that MPs are much more influenced by organized groups? lobbies, independently of personal vote. According to this perspective, even if the electoral system is candidate- centered, distributive laws that do not to concentrate benefits territorially will be predominant. As opposed to the electoral connection perspective, I consider the hypothesis that legislative results are a product of the legislature organization. Data confirm that the personal vote perspective is not exaustive. A relevant empirical indication is that the major impact on legislative output is provided by groups. This study also argues that procedural agenda control has a significant impact on the legislative output.
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Incumbency effects in English Local Elections 1974-2010 : assessing the advantage of electoral defenceTurner, Michael Thomas Eugeniusz January 2014 (has links)
The study of electoral defence and its stated advantages are an integral part of American political science. Post-war, much academic literature has emerged in an attempt to identify and explain rising re-election rates of congressional incumbents and the political consequences of such a phenomenon (Mayhew 1974; Fiorina 1977; Cain, Ferejohn & Fiorina 1987; Gelman & King 1990; King 1991). Conversely, the study of political incumbency in Britain can be attributed to a handful of scholars who tend to consider the repercussions at parliamentary level (Williams 1967, King 1981, Cain, Ferejohn and Fiorina 1984, Norton 1990 & 1994, Norris, Valance & Lovenduski 1992). Consequently, incumbency advantage at the local level remains a relatively under-researched topic in England, confined to the sub-chapters of Rallings & Thrasher (1997). The aim of this thesis is to research and present evidence in support of incumbency effects in English local elections and the extent to which they influence their outcome, in that, incumbent candidates fare better than less experienced candidates, to different degrees across the three major parties. It will do so using survey and electoral data collected by The Elections Centre at Plymouth University, drawing on established methods from the literature and demonstrating via a variety of data and methods, that incumbency advantage is indeed a real phenomenon effecting the outcomes of local elections in England. The research provides substantial evidence for Sophomore Surge and Retirement Slump effects throughout the period examined (1974-2010). These methods of estimation feature alongside a number of others, which are constructed to uncover the significance of defending, rather than challenging for a council seat. A number of influences on the advantage that defending councillors maintain are also presented, including district magnitude, ward size and rural/urban classification. Results reveal a modest advantage for Conservative and Labour incumbent candidates, whilst the effects are shown to be stronger for the Liberal Democrats, a finding that is in step with the existing literature on electoral trends and the local campaign strategy of the party (Dorling et al, 1998; McAllister et al, 2002; Russell & Fieldhouse, 2005; Cutts 2006).
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