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Postcraniometric analysis of ancestry among modern South AfricansLiebenberg, Leandi January 2015 (has links)
The primary role of a physical anthropologist is to provide sufficient information to assist in
the individualisation of unknown skeletal remains. This is often achieved in establishing a
biological profile of the deceased, of which ancestry is an essential aspect. Several successful
osteometric and morphological approaches have been developed to facilitate the estimation of
ancestry from the cranium. However, the cranium is not always available for analysis,
emphasising a need for postcranial alternatives. The postcranial skeleton is frequently
labelled as too variable and unreliable to provide an accurate assessment of ancestry. Yet,
numerous studies utilise the postcrania for sex and stature estimation, where the a priori
knowledge of ancestry results in higher accuracy. Thus, the presence of postcranial
differences among populations when investigating other biological parameters inherently
demonstrates the potential for the estimation of ancestry. The purpose of this study was to
quantify postcranial variation among modern, peer-reported black, white and coloured South
Africans. A series of 39 standard measurements were taken from 11 postcranial bones,
namely the clavicle, scapula, humerus, radius, ulna, sacrum, pelvis, femur, tibia, fibula and
calcaneus. The sample consisted of 360 modern South African individuals (120 black, 120
white, 120 coloured) from the Pretoria Bone and Kirsten Collections housed at the University
of Pretoria and the University of Stellenbosch, respectively. Group differences were explored
with ANOVA and Tukey’s honestly significant difference test (HSD). Group means were
used to create univariate sectioning points for each variable indicated as significant with
ANOVA. Where two of the three groups had similar mean values, the groups were pooled for
the creation of the sectioning points. Multivariate classification models were employed using
linear and flexible discriminant analysis (LDA and FDA, respectively). Classification
accuracies were compared to evaluate which model yielded the best results.
The results demonstrated variable patterns of group overlap. Black and coloured South
Africans displayed similar means for breadth measurements, and black and white South
Africans showed similar means for the maximum length of distal limb elements. The majority
of group variation is attributed to differences in size and robusticity, where white South
Africans are overall larger and more robust than black and coloured South Africans.
Accuracies for the univariate sectioning points ranged from 43% to 87%, with iliac breadth
performing the best. However, the majority of the univariate sectioning points can only
classify individuals into two groups rather than three because of similar group means.
Multivariate bone models created using all measurements per bone resulted in accuracies ranging from 46% to 62% (LDA) and 41% to 66% (FDA). Multivariate subsets consisting of
numerous different measurement combinations from several skeletal elements achieved
accuracies as high as 85% (LDA) and 87% (FDA).
Ultimately the best results were achieved using combinations of different variables
from several skeletal elements. Overall, the multivariate models yielded better results than the
univariate approach, as the inclusion of more variables is generally better for maximising
group differences. Furthermore, FDA achieved higher accuracies than the more traditional
approach of LDA. Despite the significant overlap among the groups, the postcranial skeleton
has proven to be proficient in distinguishing the three groups. Thus, even in a heterogeneous
population, a multivariate postcraniometric approach can be used to estimate ancestry with
high accuracy. / Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2015. / Anatomy / Unrestricted
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