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To date, the potential of on-line Dynamic Security Assessment (DSA) to monitor, alert, and enhance system security is constrained by the longer computational cycle time. Traditional techniques requiring extensive numerical computations make it challenging to complete the assessment within an acceptable time. Longer computational cycles produce obsolete security assessment results as the system operating point evolves continuously. This thesis presents a DSA algorithm, based on Transient Energy Function (TEF) method and machine learning, to enable frequent computational cycles in on-line DSA of power systems. The use of selected terms of the TEF as pre-processed input features for machine learning demonstrated the ability to successfully train a contingency-independent classifier that is capable of classifying stable and unstable operating points. The network is trained for current system topology and loading conditions. The classifier can be trained using a small dataset when the TEF terms are used as input features. The prediction accuracy of the proposed scheme was tested under the balanced and unbalanced faults with the presence of voltage sensitive and dynamic loads for different operating points. The test results demonstrate the potential of using the proposed technique for power system on-line DSA. Power system devices such as HVDC and FACTS can be included in the algorithm by incorporating the effective terms of a corresponding TEF. An on-line DSA system requires the integration of several functional components. The practicality of the proposed technique in terms of a) critical data communications aspects b) computational hardware requirements; and c) capabilities and limitations of the tools in use was tested using an implementation of an on-line DSA system. The test power system model was simulated using a real-time digital simulator. The other functional units were distributed over the Local Area Network (LAN). The implementation indicated that an acceptable computational cycle time can be achieved using the proposed method. In addition, the work carried out during this thesis has produced two tools that can be used for a) web-based automated data generation for power system studies; and b) testing of on-line DSA algorithms. / February 2017

This thesis proposes two novel algorithms to analyze whether the power system loses synchronism subsequent to credible contingencies. The two algorithms are based on the concept of Lyapunov exponents (LEs) and the Prony analysis respectively. The concept of LEs is a theoretically sound technique to study the system stability of nonlinear dynamic systems. The LEs measure the exponential rates of divergence or convergence of trajectories in the state space. Considering the higher computational burden associated with the convergence of the true LEs, a modified algorithm is proposed to study the transient stability of the post-fault power system. It is shown that the finite-time LEs calculated by the modified algorithm accurately predicts the said stability. If the power system is transient stable, the rotor angle trajectories of the post-fault system exponentially decay with time. The damping ratios of the dominant oscillatory modes present in these power swings provide the indication on the oscillatory stability. The improved Prony algorithm presented in the thesis can be used to identify the oscillatory stability of the power system subsequent to a contingency. It is shown that that these new algorithms can be used in two applications in power systems, online dynamic security assessment and online oscillations monitoring. The proposed algorithm for rotor angle security assessment first uses the LEs-based algorithm to identify the transient stability. The stable cases are then processed by the improved Prony algorithm. The proposed online oscillations monitoring algorithm uses an event-detection logic and a parallel filter bank before applying the improved Prony algorithm on the measured response to extract the dominant oscillatory modes and to determine their frequencies and damping ratios. The suitability of the two algorithms for the aforementioned applications is investigated using different case studies. It is shown that the computational burdens of the two algorithms are acceptable for the online applications. Furthermore, the oscillations monitoring algorithm, extracts only the dominant modes present in the input signal, extracts both low-frequency inter-area modes and sub-synchronous modes, and performs well under noisy conditions. These features make it more appropriate for wide-area monitoring of power system oscillations using synchronized measurements. / February 2016

The electric power grid is operated with exceptionally high levels of reliability, yet recent large-scale outages have highlighted areas for improvement in operation, control, and planning of power systems.  Synchrophasor technology may be able to address these concerns, and Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) are actively being deployed across the Western Interconnection and North America.  Initiatives such as the Western Interconnection Synchrophasor Program (WISP) are making significant investments PMUs with the expectation that wide-area, synchronized, high-resolution measurements will improve operator situational awareness, enable advanced control strategies, and aid in planning the grid. This research is multifaceted in that it focuses on improved operator awareness and alarming as well as innovative remedial controls utilizing synchrophasors.  It integrates existing tools, controls, and infrastructure with new technology to propose applications and schemes that can be implemented for any utility.  This work presents solutions to problems relevant to the industry today, emphasizing utility design and implementation.  The Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) and Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) transmission systems are used as the testing environment, and the work performed here is being explored for implementation at BPA.  However, this work is general in nature such that it can be implemented in myriad networks and control centers. A Phase Angle Alarming methodology is proposed for improving operator situational awareness.  The methodology is used for setting phase angle limits for a two-tiered angle alarming application.  PMUs are clustered using an adapted disturbance-based probabilistic rms-coherency analysis.  While the lower tier angle limits are determined using static security assessment between the PMU clusters, the higher tier limits are based on pre-contingency operating conditions that signify poorly damped post-contingency oscillation ringdown.  Data mining tools, specifically decision trees, are employed to determine critical indicators and their respective thresholds.  An application is presented as a prototype; however, the methodology may be implemented in online tools as well as offline studies. System response to disturbances is not only dependent on pre-contingency conditions but also highly dependent on post-contingency controls.  Pre-defined controls such as Special Protection Schemes (SPSs) or Remedial Action Schemes (RAS) have a substantial impact on the stability of the system.  However, existing RAS controls are generally event-driven, meaning they respond to predetermined events on the system.  This research expands an existing event-driven voltage stability RAS to a response-based scheme using synchrophasor measurements.  A rate-of-change algorithm is used to detect substantial events that may put the WECC system at risk of instability.  Pickup of this algorithm triggers a RAS that provides high-speed wide-area reactive support in the BPA area.  The controls have proved effective for varying system conditions and topologies, and maintain stability for low probability, high consequence contingencies generally dismissed in today's deterministic planning studies. With investments being made in synchrophasor technology, the path of innovation has been laid; it's a matter of where it goes.  The goal of this research is to present simple, yet highly effective solutions to problems.  Doing so, the momentum behind synchrophasors can continue to build upon itself as it matures industry-wide. / Ph. D.

Trading optimal wind power in energy and regulation market offers possibil-ities for increasing revenues as well as impacting security of the system in apositive way[33]. The bidding in both energy and regulation markets can bedone through stochastic optimization process of both markets.Stochastic optimization can be possible once the probabilistic forecst is avail-able through ensemble forecast methodology. For stochastic optimization, thepost-processing of the ensembles to generate quantiles that will be used in op-timization can be accomplished by employing different methodology. In thisstudy, we will concentrate on the impact of post-processing of ensembles onthe stochastic optimization.Generation of quantiles needed for stochastic optimization used herein formarket optimization will be the main focus of the investigation. The impactof price ratios between energy and reserve market will be also investigated toanalyse the impact of said ratios on the revenues. Furthermore this analysiswill be performed for both US and Swedish markets.

<p><p>In the operation, planning and design of the transmission system it is of greatest concern to quantify the reliability security margin to unwanted conditions. The deterministic N-1 criterion has traditionally provided this security margin to reduce the consequences of severe conditions such as widespread blackouts. However, a deterministic criterion does not include the likelihood of different outage events. Moreover, experience from blackouts shows, e.g. in Sweden-Denmark September 2003, that the outages were not captured by the N-1 criterion. The question addressed in this thesis is how this system security margin can be quantified with probabilistic methods. A quantitative measure provides one valuable input to the decision-making process of selecting e.g. system expansions alternatives and maintenance actions in the planning and design phases. It is also beneficial for the operators in the control room to assess the associated security margin of existing and future network conditions.</p><p>This thesis presents a method that assesses each component's risk to an insufficient transfer capability in the transmission system. This shows on each component's importance to the system security margin. It provides a systematic analysis and ranking of outage events' risk of overloading critical transfer sections (CTS) in the system. The severity of each critical event is quantified in a risk index based on the likelihood of the event and the consequence of the section's transmission capacity. This enables a comparison of the risk of a frequent outage event with small CTS consequences, with a rare event with large consequences.</p><p>The developed approach has been applied for the generally known Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS). The result shows that the ranking of the components is highly dependent on the substation modelling and the studied system load level.</p><p>With the restriction of only evaluating the risks to the transfer capability in a few CTSs, the method provides a quantitative ranking of the potential risks to the system security margin at different load levels. Consequently, the developed reliability based approach provides information which could improve the deterministic criterion for transmission system planning.</p></p>

The main function of the power grid is to transfer electric energy from generating facilities to consumers. To have a reliable and economical supply of electricity, large amounts of electric energy often have to be transferred over long distances. The transmission system has a limited capacity to transfer electric power, called the transfer capacity. Severe system failures may follow if the transfer capacity is reached during operation. Due to uncertainties, such as the random failure of system components, the transfer capacity for the near future is not readily determinable. Also, due to market principles, and reaction times and ramp rates of production facilities, power flow control is not fully flexible. Therefore, a transfer limit, which is below the transfer capacity, is decided and preventative actions are taken when the transfer reaches this limit. In this thesis an approach to deciding an optimal strategy for power flow control through activation of regulating bids on the regulating power market is outlined. This approach leads to an optimal definition of transfer limits as the boundary between the domain where no bid should be activated and the domains where bids should be activated. The approach is based on weighing the expected cost from system failures against the production cost. This leads to a stochastic impulse control problem for a Markov process in continuous time. The proposed method is a novel approach to decide transfer limits in power system operation. The method is tested in a case study on the IEEE 39 bus system, that shows promising results. In addition to deciding optimal transfer limits, it is also investigated how the transfer capacity can be enhanced by controlling components in the power system to increase stability. / QC 20111010

abstract: Electric power system security assessment is one of the most important requirements for operational and resource planning of the bulk power system ensuring safe operation of the power system for all credible contingencies. This deterministic approach usually provides a conservative criterion and can result in expensive bulk system expansion plans or conservative operating limits. Furthermore, with increased penetration of converter-based renewable generation in the electric grid, the dynamics of the grid are changing. In addition, the variability and intermittency associated with the renewable energy sources introduce uncertainty in the electricity grid. Since security margins have direct economic impact on the utilities; more clarity is required regarding the basis on which security decisions are made. The main objective of this work is to provide an approach for risk-based security assessment (RBSA) to define dynamic reliability standards in future electricity grids. RBSA provides a measure of the security of the power system that combines both the likelihood and the consequence of an event. A novel approach to estimate the impact of transient stability is presented by modeling several important protection systems within the transient stability analysis. A robust operational metric to quantify the impact of transient instability event is proposed that incorporates the effort required to stabilize any transiently unstable event. The effect of converter-interfaced renewable energy injection on system reliability is investigated us-ing RBSA. A robust RBSA diagnostics tool is developed which provides an interactive user interface where the RBSA results and contingency ranking reports can be explored and compared based on specific user inputs without executing time domain simulations or risk calculations, hence providing a fast and robust approach for handling large time domain simulation and risk assessment data. The results show that RBSA can be used effectively in system planning to select security limits. Comparison of RBSA with deterministic methods show that RBSA not only provides less conservative results, it also illustrates the bases on which such security decisions are made. RBSA helps in identifying critical aspects of system reliability that is not possible using the deterministic reliability techniques. / Dissertation/Thesis / Doctoral Dissertation Electrical Engineering 2017

More and more system operators are interested in calculating transfer capability in real-time using real-time power flow models generated from the Energy Management System (EMS). However, compared to off-line study models, EMS models usually cover only a limited portion of the interconnected system. In most situations, it is not practical to extend the EMS model to capture the impact of the external systems and therefore using an equivalent network becomes necessary. The development of equivalent circuits to represent external areas was a topic discussed over the last 50 years. Almost all of these methods require impedance information about the external area to develop the equivalent circuit. Unfortunately utilities do not have the external impedance information in the real-time. Therefore, normal industry practice is to use off-line studies to develop an equivalent circuit and use that circuit in the real-time operation without any validation. This can result in errors in the security assessment. Therefore, power industry need a method to develop or validate an equivalent circuit based on the available real-time information. This thesis work is focussed on meeting that industry need. The work on this thesis presents two new methods that can be used to generate an equivalent circuit based on the boundary conditions. This method involves calculating equivalent impedance between two areas based on the boundary stations voltages, voltage angles and power leaving the boundary stations into external areas. This thesis uses power system simulation between two areas to change the system condition to obtain different boundary bus voltages, voltage angles and power injections to generate necessary data. Regression analysis and least square method is then used to generate the equivalent circuit using these data. It is expected that system changes will provide necessary information in the real-time to generate the equivalent circuit. The proposed methodology is validated with modified three area 300 bus system as well as using Manitoba Hydro’s system. Contingency analysis, transfer level calcula-tion and PV curves analysis is used to validate the proposed method. Simulation results show that the proposed method produces adequate accuracy in comparison with detailed off-line system models. The main advantage of the proposed method as compared to other existing meth-ods such as Ward and REI is that the proposed method does not require external imped-ance information to generate the equivalent circuit. The ability to generate reasonably good equivalent circuit only using available boundary information will help utilities to generate or validate the equivalent circuit based on the current system conditions, which will intern help improve the accuracy of the security assessment / February 2017

Due to growth of wind power, system operators are being challenged by the integration of large wind farms into their electrical power systems. Large scale wind farm integration has adverse effects on the power system due to its variable characteristic. These effects include two main aspects: voltage stability and active line flow. In this thesis, a novel techniques to forecast active line flow and select pilot bus are introduced with wind power integration. First, this thesis introduces a methodology to forecast congestion in the transmission line with high wind penetration. Since most wind resources tend to be located far away form the load center, the active line flow is one of the most significant aspects when wind farm is connected to electrical grid. By providing the information about the line flow which can contribute to transmission line congestion, the system operators would be able to respond such as by requesting wind power or load reduction. The second objective of this thesis is to select the weakest bus, called pilot bus, among all load buses. System reliability, especially voltage stability, can be adversely affected by wind variability. In order to ensure reliable operation of power systems with wind power integration, the index to select the pilot bus is developed, and further prediction of voltage profile at the pilot bus is fulfilled. The objective function to select the pilot bus takes account of the N-1 contingency analysis, loading margin, and reactive power sensitivity. Through on the objective function, the pilot bus is representative of all load buses as well as controllable by reactive power regulation. Predicting the voltage profile at the pilot bus is also useful for system operators to determine wind power output. / text