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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Previs?o de analistas e as estrat?gias de gerenciamento de resultados utilizadas para evitar surpresa nos lucros

Medeiros, Jislene Trindade 17 April 2017 (has links)
Submitted by Automa??o e Estat?stica (sst@bczm.ufrn.br) on 2017-07-04T15:00:56Z No. of bitstreams: 1 JisleneTrindadeMedeiros_DISSERT.pdf: 1038203 bytes, checksum: 05572eddaeca26de6c070ab2f41399b2 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Arlan Eloi Leite Silva (eloihistoriador@yahoo.com.br) on 2017-07-14T14:57:18Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 JisleneTrindadeMedeiros_DISSERT.pdf: 1038203 bytes, checksum: 05572eddaeca26de6c070ab2f41399b2 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-14T14:57:18Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 JisleneTrindadeMedeiros_DISSERT.pdf: 1038203 bytes, checksum: 05572eddaeca26de6c070ab2f41399b2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-04-17 / Este estudo teve como objetivo identificar se as empresas brasileiras listadas na BM&FBovespa, no per?odo de 2010 a 2015, que atingiram as metas de resultados estabelecidas nas previs?es dos analistas financeiros gerenciaram seus resultados por meio de atividades reais e/ou atrav?s de accruals discricion?rios. Para tanto, foram estimados os n?veis de gerenciamento de resultados atrav?s de decis?es operacionais e de accruals discricion?rios; enquanto que a surpresa na previs?o dos analistas foi identificada pelo erro de previs?o. Buscando atingir o objetivo desta pesquisa, foi utilizado o m?todo de m?nimos quadrados ordin?rios (MQO) com dummies para o ano e setor. Os resultados mostraram, primeiramente, que mais de 50% das empresas listadas na BM&FBovespa, no per?odo de 2010 a 2015, de forma geral, adotaram pr?ticas de gerenciamento de resultados por meio de atividade reais para aumentar o resultado cont?bil do per?odo corrente. No tocante ao gerenciamento de resultados atrav?s dos accruals discricion?rios, os resultados apontaram que os gestores possuem incentivos para gerenciar seus resultados para atingir o lucro previsto pelos analistas financeiros. No que se refere ? utiliza??o das estrat?gias de gerenciamento de resultados, para evitar divulgar surpresa nos lucros em rela??o a previs?o dos lucros dos analistas financeiros, os resultados apontaram um relacionamento negativo entre os accruals discricion?rios e o erro de previs?o, sugerindo que quanto maior o n?vel dos accruals das empresas da amostra, menor ? o erro da previs?o, ou seja, que possivelmente os gestores gerenciam os resultados por escolhas cont?beis de modo oportunista, com a finalidade de alcan?ar a previs?o dos lucros dos analistas. Entretanto, o mesmo n?o se observou em rela??o ao gerenciamento de resultados por meio de atividades reais. Assim, n?o foram encontrados ind?cios de que os gestores adotam, conjuntamente, o gerenciamento de resultados por meio das atividades reais e atrav?s de accruals discricion?rios, para atingir as metas de lucros previstas pelos analistas. / This study aimed to identify whether Brazilian companies listed on the BM&FBovespa in the period from 2010 to 2015 that achieved the results targets established in the financial analysts? forecasts managed their results through real activities and/or discretionary accruals. For that, the levels of results management were estimated through discretionary operational and accrual decisions; While the surprise in the analysts? prediction was identified by the forecast error. In order to reach the objective of this research, we used the ordinary least squares (OLS) method with dummies for the year and sector. The results showed, first of all, that more than 50% of the companies listed on the BM&FBovespa, from 2010 to 2015, generally adopted practices of results management through real activity to increase the accounting result of the current period. Regarding the management of results through discretionary accruals, the results pointed out that managers have incentives to manage their results to achieve the profit predicted by financial analysts. With regard to the use of results management strategies, in order to avoid surprising profits in relation to the prediction of financial analysts? profits, the results pointed to a negative relationship between discretionary accruals and forecast error, suggesting that the greater the Level of the accruals of the sample companies, the smaller the error of the forecast, that is, that the managers possibly manage the results by accounting choices opportunistically, in order to reach the forecast of the profits of the analysts. However, the same has not been observed in relation to the management of results through real activities. Thus, no evidence has been found that managers jointly manage results management through real activities an

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