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Daily Climate Change Data Generation and DisseminationMetaferia, Gohe Amhayesus January 2015 (has links)
The worldwide challenges to achieve cost effective protection against global warming impacts and to acquire reliable decision making tools continually force new developments in the area of climate change research. Climate change impacts projections involve several steps: emission scenarios generation, Global Circulation Models and Regional Climate Models (GCM/RCM) runs, downscaling, impact model running, analysis of results and decision making.
Unfortunately, GCM/RCMs outputs are often biased and need to be processed before being fed into impact models. This thesis describes the effort carried out to alleviate the burden of downscaling coarse hydro-climatology data outputs from GCM/RCM and making results readily available for climate change impact analysis for specific regions, particularly in the African continent. GCM/RCM outputs are highly unreliable at the sub-grid scale to be used for region specific
impact analysis (Wilby, Hay, & Leavesly, 1999). Furthermore, raw GCM/RCM outputs are often downscaled under the premises that the latter offer very coarse spatial resolution. The Internet is a common resource for users of climate change data to access relevant information. Web-based interfaces offer users the capability to retrieve such data. This thesis involves the development of a new web-portal, which addresses the demand for climate change data at the daily scale. It is a user-friendly interactive web-based interface with
multiple functionalities including: capacity to process information, capacity to search, sort, retrieve and filter data and download features. Six climate variables are considered in this project: precipitation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity and solar radiation. The aforementioned climate variables have been downscaled to specific geographical locations and results have been made available at a fine temporal
resolution – the daily scale. The data portal currently hosts climate change data for nine stations in western Africa: Agadez, Brini N’Konni, Gaya, Maine Soroa, Maradi Airport, Niamey Airport, Tahoua, Tillabery and Zinder Airport. The above mentioned climate stations are all located in Niger. Nonetheless, the project aims to expand and cover further ground in Africa. Quantile - Quantile downscaling, also known as Quantile-Quantile mapping, matching or
transformation is a statistical procedure used in this project to downscale raw GCM/RCM outputs. GCM/RCM outputs from the AMMA-Ensemble sets under the SRES A1B scenario were used as raw data.
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