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Game theoretic analysis of an inventory problem with substitution, random demand and yieldMartagan, Tugce Gizem 01 May 2010 (has links)
A game theoretic approach is used to analyze an inventory problem with two products, random demand, and random supply. The supply chain analyzed includes two retailers that sell two substitutable products and two suppliers. Each retailer faces a stochastic demand for the product she sells and replenishes her inventory from her supplier. The supplier provides a random fraction of the quantity requested. A given percentage of customers with unmet demand will substitute the product sold by the other retailer. We assume that the two retailers who make ordering decisions are rational players. Since each retailer's decision affects the single period expected profit of the other retailer, game theory is used to find the order quantities when the retailers use a Nash strategy.
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Risk Minimization in Power System Expansion and Power Pool Electricity MarketsAlvarez Lopez, Juan January 2007 (has links)
Centralized power system planning covers time windows that range
from ten to thirty years. Consequently, it is the longest and most
uncertain part of power system economics. One of the challenges that
power system planning faces is the inability to accurately predict
random events; these random events introduce risk in the planning
process. Another challenge stems from the fact that, despite having
a centralized planning scheme, generation plans are set first and
then transmission expansion plans are carried out. This thesis
addresses these problems. A joint model for generation and
transmission expansion for the vertically integrated industry is
proposed. Randomness is considered in demand, equivalent
availability factors of the generators, and transmission capacity
factors of the transmission lines. The system expansion model is
formulated as a two-stage stochastic program with fixed recourse and
probabilistic constraints. The transmission network is included via
a DC approximation. The mean variance Markowitz theory is used as a
risk minimization technique in order to minimize the variance of the
annualized estimated generating cost. This system expansion model is
capable of considering the locations of new generation and
transmission and also of choosing the right mixture of generating
technologies.
The global tendency is to move from regulated power systems to
deregulated power systems. Power pool electricity markets, assuming
that the independent system operator is concerned with the social
cost minimization, face great uncertainties from supply and demand
bids submitted by market participants. In power pool electricity
markets, randomness in the cost and benefit functions through random
demand and supply functions has never been considered before. This
thesis considers as random all the coefficients of the quadratic
cost and benefit functions and uses the mean variance Markowitz
theory to minimize the social cost variance. The impacts that this
risk minimization technique has on nodal prices and on the
elasticities of the supply and demand curves are studied.
All the mathematical models in this thesis are exemplified by the
six-node network proposed by Garver in 1970, by the 21-node network
proposed by the IEEE Reliability Test System Task Force in 1979, and
by the IEEE 57- and 118-node systems.
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Risk Minimization in Power System Expansion and Power Pool Electricity MarketsAlvarez Lopez, Juan January 2007 (has links)
Centralized power system planning covers time windows that range
from ten to thirty years. Consequently, it is the longest and most
uncertain part of power system economics. One of the challenges that
power system planning faces is the inability to accurately predict
random events; these random events introduce risk in the planning
process. Another challenge stems from the fact that, despite having
a centralized planning scheme, generation plans are set first and
then transmission expansion plans are carried out. This thesis
addresses these problems. A joint model for generation and
transmission expansion for the vertically integrated industry is
proposed. Randomness is considered in demand, equivalent
availability factors of the generators, and transmission capacity
factors of the transmission lines. The system expansion model is
formulated as a two-stage stochastic program with fixed recourse and
probabilistic constraints. The transmission network is included via
a DC approximation. The mean variance Markowitz theory is used as a
risk minimization technique in order to minimize the variance of the
annualized estimated generating cost. This system expansion model is
capable of considering the locations of new generation and
transmission and also of choosing the right mixture of generating
technologies.
The global tendency is to move from regulated power systems to
deregulated power systems. Power pool electricity markets, assuming
that the independent system operator is concerned with the social
cost minimization, face great uncertainties from supply and demand
bids submitted by market participants. In power pool electricity
markets, randomness in the cost and benefit functions through random
demand and supply functions has never been considered before. This
thesis considers as random all the coefficients of the quadratic
cost and benefit functions and uses the mean variance Markowitz
theory to minimize the social cost variance. The impacts that this
risk minimization technique has on nodal prices and on the
elasticities of the supply and demand curves are studied.
All the mathematical models in this thesis are exemplified by the
six-node network proposed by Garver in 1970, by the 21-node network
proposed by the IEEE Reliability Test System Task Force in 1979, and
by the IEEE 57- and 118-node systems.
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