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Can the Chinese Economy Affect the US Stock Market? The Case of the 2008 Chinese Stimulus PackageLee, Jacqueline M 01 January 2014 (has links)
The Chinese stimulus package of 2008 was a response by the government to rebound the second largest economy from the effects of the Global Financial Crisis. The package was one of the largest, and arguably one of the most successful, in boosting demand and spurring growth through targeting infrastructure projects and consumer spending. This paper investigates whether the package had any spillover effects on the US industrial and consumption companies with large markets in China through the time series multiple regression technique. This paper found that Chinese net exports had some explanatory power over the consumption companies, and the US industrial companies were hurt by the stimulus package. The findings also suggest that there are more macroeconomic variables that have more explanatory power over the returns of the companies than the ones included in the regressions.
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The Risk Behavior of China¡¦s Bank: an Empirical Investigation Based on Markov Regime-switching ModelYang, Zsung-Hsien 22 June 2012 (has links)
Since reformed of banking structure in China, banks have been gradually developed their operation system. Moreover, the restructure in commercial bank after joined WTO had established China¡¦s banks performance and international reputation. Since 2007, many large commercial banks have strength its risk management based on the commitments made by China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) to follow the New Basel Capital Accord. When the global banking industry is devastated by global financial crisis (GFC) during 2008, China¡¦s banks are less affected by GFC. In addition, the capital scale and revenues performance were thrived during GFC. Therefore, it shows that banks in China had improved the resilience ability during financial crisis. However, being originated in China¡¦s loose monetary policy and economic stimulus package after GFC, investors worried that domestic banks might bear high risks. Notably, the risk is specific risk from each bank instead of system risk. This study employs Markov regime-switching model to examine 14 China banks¡¦ stock prices. The empirical evidence supports our hypothesis that behavior of China banks¡¦ stock prices has confronted structural change after GFC. Furthermore, this research presents that unsystematic risks from each bank were significantly decreased after GFC. It indicates that investors are too pessimistic on the banks in China might suffer high risk after government interventions.
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