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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

A composite likelihood-based approach for multiple change-point detection in multivariate time series models / CUHK electronic theses & dissertations collection

January 2014 (has links)
This thesis develops a composite likelihood-based approach for multiple change-points estimation in general multivariate time series models. Specifically, we derive a criterion function based on pairwise likelihood and minimum description length principle for estimating the number and locations of change-points and performing model selection in each segment. By the virtue of pairwise likelihood, the number and location of change-points can be consistently estimated under mild conditions. The computation can be conducted efficiently with a pruned dynamic programming algorithm. Simulation studies and real data examples are presented to demonstrate the statistical and computational efficiency of the proposed method. / 本論文目的為開發一套以複合似然為基礎的多變點估計方法,該方法可應用於一般多變量時間序列模型。具體而言,我們在最小描述長度原理及成對似然的基礎上推導出一個準則函數,用於估計變化點的數量及位置,並在各段進行模型選擇。憑藉成對似然,在適當條件下變點的數量和位置可以一致地估計。透過使用修剪動態規劃算法,相關的運算能有效地進行。模擬研究及真實數據實例都演示出該方法在統計及運算效率。 / Ma, Ting Fung. / Thesis M.Phil. Chinese University of Hong Kong 2014. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 51-54). / Abstracts also in Chinese. / Title from PDF title page (viewed on 05, October, 2016). / Detailed summary in vernacular field only.

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