Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / This study aims to analyze the performance of Brazilian exports, disaggregated by aggregate factor (Basic, Semi-manufactured and Manufactured), to Asia and Trade Partners NAFTA and the European Union, based on monthly data for the period January 1999 to June 2013. For this, were identified based on theoretical grounds, the main determinants and, through statistical tools, equations of short and long run for Brazilian sector exports were estimated, so that they could evaluate the elasticities quantum exported from the country. Still, were analyzed the performance and structure of Brazilian exports sector, their relationships with selected trade partners as well as their participation in world trade. For this, from an extension of the traditional theoretical model of imperfect substitutes, elaborated by Goldstein and Khan (1978), we use the method of Johansen cointegration and Error Correction Model (ECM) for determining the elasticities. Through the traditional literature of foreign trade, it was inferred that the determinants of exports are pegged to an index of income from trading partners, to index relative price of exports and the exchange rate. The results showed that the elasticities are greater than the long term to short term. Facing the sectorial impacts, the elasticities of trade with Asia and NAFTA show that the class of basic goods is more sensitive to income, while the other classes are more sensitive to exchange rate variations. On the other hand, exports to the European Union, income is the main determinant of the classes of manufactured and semimanufactured goods, while basics goods are more sensitive to exchange rates. In reference to average sectorial elasticities, one can say that income is the main determinant of basic products exports, while the classes of semi-manufactured and manufactured goods are more sensitive to changes in price levels. Finally, the negative effect of exchange rate volatility, verified is be a dynamic mainly short run. / O presente estudo tem como objetivo analisar o desempenho das exportações brasileiras, desagregadas por fator agregado (Básicos, Semimanufaturados e Manufaturados), para a Ásia e os Blocos Econômicos Nafta e União Europeia, a partir de dados mensais para o período de janeiro de 1999 a junho de 2013. Para isso, foram identificados, com base nos fundamentos teóricos, os principais determinantes e, através do ferramental estatístico, foram estimadas equações de curto e longo prazo para as exportações setoriais brasileiras, para que se pudesse avaliar as elasticidades do quantum exportado do país. Ainda, foram analisados o desempenho e a estrutura das exportações setoriais brasileiras, suas relações com os parceiros comerciais selecionados, bem como sua participação no comércio mundial. Para tanto, a partir de uma extensão do tradicional modelo teórico de substitutos imperfeitos, elaborado por Goldstein e Khan (1978), utiliza-se o método de cointegração de Johansen e o Modelo de Correção de Erros (ECM) para a determinação das elasticidades. Através da literatura tradicional de comércio exterior, inferiu-se que os determinantes das exportações estão atrelados a um índice de renda dos parceiros comerciais, ao índice de preço relativo das exportações e a taxa de câmbio. Os resultados mostraram que as elasticidades de longo prazo são superiores às de curto prazo. Frente aos impactos setoriais, as elasticidades do comércio com a Ásia e o Nafta mostram que a classe de produtos básicos é mais sensível à renda, enquanto que as demais classes são mais sensíveis às variações cambiais. Por outro lado, nas exportações para a União Europeia, a renda é o principal determinante das classes de manufaturados e semimanufaturados, enquanto que os produtos básicos são mais sensíveis ao câmbio. Em referência às elasticidades setoriais médias, pode-se dizer que a renda é o principal determinante das exportações de produtos básicos, enquanto que as classes de semimanufaturados e manufaturados são mais sensíveis às variações dos níveis de preços. Por fim, quanto ao impacto negativo da volatilidade cambial, verificou-se ser uma dinâmica, principalmente, de curto prazo.

This study is about the economic diplomacy of Namibia, as a small state, for the period 1990 – 2015. Liberalism, as a theory of International Relations (IR) studies, is the adopted analytical framework. Namibia’s economic diplomacy is anchored in the foreign policy principles enshrined in article 96 of her constitution, which advocate, inter alia, the maintenance of mutual beneficial relations. Namibia, further enacted laws and adopted policies that serve as domestic instruments of economic diplomacy. The stakeholders in Namibia’s economic diplomacy include both state and non-state actors. The study adopts a population of 8 million as the benchmark for small states, plus one of the following characteristics of small states: small size of the territory; low economy and the perception by the government leaders and nationals. Namibia’s bilateral economic diplomacy covers over one hundred countries. Her major trade partners, in terms of export trade and inward investments are Angola, Canada, China, Germany, The Netherlands, Spain, South Africa, Switzerland, The United Kingdom and the United States. Bilateral economic diplomacy is further pursued through the Export Processing Zone (EPZ) exports. The Namibian Government pursues multilateral economic diplomacy with the European Union, as part of the Africa Caribbean Pacific states and with regional and international economic and trade organisations such as the Southern Africa Customs Union, the Southern Africa Development Community, the United Nations Conference in Trade and Development and the World Trade Organisation. Namibia also adopts conference diplomacy as a form of multilateral economic diplomacy. The study makes an epistemological contribution to the study of IR, that the world is constructed under the hierarchical order that constrains power-based relations and minimises conflicts in international trade. A minimal trend of pursuing interests is, however, observed. The study further makes an ontological contribution to the study of IR, that the behaviour of state and non-state actors are inclined to cooperation on the continuum of conflict and cooperation. The study concludes that, contrary to the assumptions in small states literature, that small states have limitations of capacity and play an insignificant role in multilateralism, Namibia has skilled negotiators who have led negotiations in regional and international organisations. / Political Sciences / D. Litt. et Phil. (International Politics)

This study is about the economic diplomacy of Namibia, as a small state, for the period 1990 – 2015. Liberalism, as a theory of International Relations (IR) studies, is the adopted analytical framework. Namibia’s economic diplomacy is anchored in the foreign policy principles enshrined in article 96 of her constitution, which advocate, inter alia, the maintenance of mutual beneficial relations. Namibia, further enacted laws and adopted policies that serve as domestic instruments of economic diplomacy. The stakeholders in Namibia’s economic diplomacy include both state and non-state actors. The study adopts a population of 8 million as the benchmark for small states, plus one of the following characteristics of small states: small size of the territory; low economy and the perception by the government leaders and nationals. Namibia’s bilateral economic diplomacy covers over one hundred countries. Her major trade partners, in terms of export trade and inward investments are Angola, Canada, China, Germany, The Netherlands, Spain, South Africa, Switzerland, The United Kingdom and the United States. Bilateral economic diplomacy is further pursued through the Export Processing Zone (EPZ) exports. The Namibian Government pursues multilateral economic diplomacy with the European Union, as part of the Africa Caribbean Pacific states and with regional and international economic and trade organisations such as the Southern Africa Customs Union, the Southern Africa Development Community, the United Nations Conference in Trade and Development and the World Trade Organisation. Namibia also adopts conference diplomacy as a form of multilateral economic diplomacy. The study makes an epistemological contribution to the study of IR, that the world is constructed under the hierarchical order that constrains power-based relations and minimises conflicts in international trade. A minimal trend of pursuing interests is, however, observed. The study further makes an ontological contribution to the study of IR, that the behaviour of state and non-state actors are inclined to cooperation on the continuum of conflict and cooperation. The study concludes that, contrary to the assumptions in small states literature, that small states have limitations of capacity and play an insignificant role in multilateralism, Namibia has skilled negotiators who have led negotiations in regional and international organisations. / Political Sciences / D. Litt. et Phil. (International Politics)