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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Impact of macroeconomic variables on value household of a portfolio construction sector civil / Impacto de variÃveis macroeconÃmicas sobre o valor agregado de um portfÃlio do setor de construÃÃo civil

Francisco de Assis Paulino 03 February 2012 (has links)
nÃo hà / This study analyzes and measures the potential impact of macroeconomic variables on the aggregate value of the portfolio consists of Brazilian companies in the civil construction sector. Was tested against the market value of the portfolio and on a monthly basis, the influence of the following macroeconomic variables: index of consumer confidence, cost savings, exchange rate and interest rate expressed in the Interbank Deposit Certificates. The portfolio is the sum of the market value of the seventeen most liquid companies traded on the BM&FBovespa. With this goal was diagnosed, the civil construction sector in the Brazilian market. It approaches the subject asset pricing the light of traditional patterns. To support the empirical analysis of econometric results resorted to making a VAR model with error corrector mechanism (VECM). Tests were conducted, analyzed the relationship of Granger causality, Impulse Response Function and Cholesky Variance Decomposition of. It was concluded that macroeconomic variables have had impacts on the portfolio value. / Este estudo analisa e mede os possÃveis impactos das variÃveis macroeconÃmicas sobre o valor agregado do portfÃlio formado por empresas brasileiras do setor de construÃÃo civil. Testou-se, contra o valor agregado de mercado da carteira e com periodicidade mensal, a influÃncia das seguintes variÃveis macroeconÃmicas: Ãndice de confianÃa do consumidor, rentabilidade da poupanÃa, taxa de cÃmbio e taxa de juros expressa nos Certificados de DepÃsitos InterbancÃrios. O portfÃlio representa o somatÃrio do valor de mercado das dezessete companhias mais lÃquidas do setor negociadas na BM&FBovespa. Com este objetivo diagnosticou-se o setor da construÃÃo civil no mercado brasileiro. Abordou-se o tema precificaÃÃo de ativos a luz das correntes tradicionais e a HipÃtese de Mercados Eficientes. Para subsidiar a anÃlise empÃrica dos resultados economÃtricos recorreu-se a confecÃÃo de um modelo VAR, com mecanismo corretor de erro (VECM). Foram realizados testes, analisadas as relaÃÃes de causalidade de Granger, a FunÃÃo de Impulsos Resposta e a DecomposiÃÃo de VariÃncia de Cholesky. Concluiu-se que as variÃveis macroeconÃmicas exerceram impactos sobre valor agregado do portfÃlio.

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