Spelling suggestions: "subject:"ariable speed limit (VSL)"" "subject:"ariable speed timit (VSL)""
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Safety Considerations for Setting Variable Speed Limits on FreewaysHasan, Md Tarek 01 January 2023 (has links) (PDF)
This thesis focuses on evaluating the appropriate speed at which vehicles should travel under different traffic conditions on freeways and its impact on crash frequency. The common belief is that the lower speed results in fewer crashes as reduced speed provides drivers with more time to react effectively and avoid collisions. However, this perspective overlooks the interplay among traffic speed, average spacing between consecutive vehicles, and the distance available for stopping a vehicle. Hence, we propose a safety parameter termed ‘Safety Correlate' (SCORE), which is defined as the proportion of average spacing relative to the stopping distance. To determine the relationship between SCORE and crash frequency, data from 366 4-lane urban freeway segments located in Virginia was analyzed and a Random-effects Poisson Lognormal model was developed. The obtained result indicated that the safety parameter SCORE is negatively associated with the annual hourly crash frequency, implying that the lesser the average spacing as a proportion of the stopping distance while traffic flow remains constant, the more frequent will be the crashes. Additionally, this research presents an application of SCORE in setting variable speed limits under various traffic flows. Overall, the study results provide valuable insights by investigating SCORE to improve traffic safety. Also, this research would help practitioners and policymakers to incorporate safety aspects while setting variable speed limits on freeways.
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Safety Evaluation of Active Traffic Management Strategies on Freeways by Short-Term Crash Prediction ModelsHasan, Md Tarek 01 January 2023 (has links) (PDF)
Traditional crash frequency prediction models cannot capture the temporal effects of traffic characteristics due to the high level of data aggregation. Also, this approach is less suitable to address the crash risk for active traffic management strategies that typically operate for short-time intervals. Hence, this research proposes short-term crash prediction models for traffic management strategies such as Variable Speed Limit (VSL)/Variable Advisory Speed (VAS), and Part-time Shoulder Use (PTSU). By using high-resolution traffic detectors and VSL/VAS operational data, short-term Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) are estimated at weekday hourly and peak period aggregation levels. The results indicate that the short-term SPFs could capture various crash contributing factors and safety aspects of VSL/VAS more effectively than the traditional highly aggregated Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT)-based approach. The study also investigates the safety effectiveness of VSL/VAS for different types and severity levels of traffic crashes. The results specify that the VSL/VAS system is effective in reducing rear-end crashes in the Multivariate Poisson Lognormal (MVPLN) crash type model as well as Property Damage Only (PDO) and C (non-incapacitating) crashes in the MVPLN crash severity model. Recommendations include deploying the VSL/VAS system combined with other traffic management strategies, strong enforcement policies, and drivers' compliance to increase the effectiveness of this strategy. Further, this research estimates the Random Parameters Negative Binomial-Lindley (RPNB-L) model for PTSU sections and provides valuable insights on potential crash contributing factors related to PTSU operation, design elements, and high-risk areas. Last, the study proposes a novel integrated crash prediction approach for freeway sections with combined traffic management strategies. By incorporating historical safety conditions from SPFs, real-time crash prediction performance could be improved as a part of proactive traffic management systems. The findings could assist transportation agencies, policymakers, and practitioners in taking appropriate countermeasures for preventing and reducing crash occurrence by incorporating safety aspects while implementing traffic management strategies on freeways.
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