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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Volatility Forecasting of an Optimal Portfolio

Saleemi, Asima January 2022 (has links)
This thesis aims to construct an optimal portfolio and model as well as forecast its volatility. The performance of the optimal portfolio is then compared to two benchmarks, namely, an equally weighted portfolio and the market index SP 500. The volatility is estimated by employing two GARCH-type models known as standard GARCH, and GJR-GARCH. The GJR-GARCH outperformed its counterpart in terms of Log-likelihood, AIC, and BIC. The forecast performance is compared based on two statistical errors, root mean squared error, and mean absolute error. The optimal portfolio outperformed its counterparts in both statistical errors. Moreover, standard GARCH gave lower statistics than GJR-GARCH. These empirical results are of important significance to portfolio management and risk management processes.

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