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1	An Informational Theory of Midterm Elections: The Impact of Iraq War Deaths on the 2006 Election. Kahanek, Jared E. 08 1900 (has links) There has been much scholarly attention directed at the Iraq war's role in determining voter choice. I attempt to extend that research into voter turnout to determine what role the Iraq war played in 2006 voter turnout. This paper argues that turnout at the state level could be explained by the number of US deaths each state had sustained from the Iraq occupation at the time of the election. A theory of voter activation based on information availability is put forth to explain the relationship between national events and voter turnout wherein national events like the Iraq war will raise the amount of information voters have at their disposal, which will increase the likelihood of their voting on election day. Regression analysis comparing the turnout rates of the 50 states to their casualties in Iraq revealed no relationship between the two factors, indicating that something else is responsible for the high turnout of the midterm. Voter turnout 2006 midterm election Iraq war Elections -- United States -- States. Iraq War, 2003- -- Casualties. Voting -- United States -- States.
2	Regime fatigue : a cognitive-psychological model for identifying a socialized negativity effect in U.S. Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections from 1960-2008 Giles, Clark Andrew 11 July 2014 (has links) Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) / This research project proposes to try to isolate and measure the influence of “regime fatigue” on gubernatorial elections and senatorial elections in the United States where there is no incumbent running. The research begins with a review of the negativity effect and its potential influence on schema-based impression forming by voters. Applicable literature on the topics of social clustering and homophily is then highlighted as it provides the vehicle through which the negativity effect disseminates across collections of socially-clustered individuals and ultimately contributes to changing tides of public opinion despite the fact that the political party identification can remain relatively fixed in the aggregate. party fatigue regime fatigue homophily negativity effect incumbent candidates elections social networks impression forming schema model calculating voter converse stimson Voting -- Social networks Elections -- United States Negativism Schematism (Philosophy) Voting -- United States -- States Elections -- Research Political psychology -- United States Elections, Nonpartisan -- United States Emotions -- Social aspects Probabilities -- Research

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An Informational Theory of Midterm Elections: The Impact of Iraq War Deaths on the 2006 Election.

Regime fatigue : a cognitive-psychological model for identifying a socialized negativity effect in U.S. Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections from 1960-2008