A study of phosphorus loading and water quality implications was conducted for the Oregon coastal lakes. The study was based on existing data for lake total phosphorus concentrations and for watershed land uses. A phosphorus mass-balance model was developed to predict lake total phosphorus concentrations from estimated phosphorus loading from land uses within the lake's watershed. Uncertainty in total phosphorus concentration estimates are included in the model, and model predictions are considered to be moderately to highly reliable. The Oregon coastal lake phosphorus mass-balance model was calibrated from data for 12 Oregon coastal lakes. Land use phosphorus loading coefficients for forestry, the coastal dunal aquifer, and precipitation were derived from data specific to the Oregon coastal region, while other phosphorus loading coefficients were estimated based on correlations between literature values and Oregon coastal conditions. The model may be used as an aid for land use management decisions by estimating water quality effects of projected land use changes. A case study of Mercer Lake was used to illustrate the model application. / Graduation date: 1994