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1	Predictive engineering in wind energy: a data-mining approach Li, Wenyan 01 December 2009 (has links) The large-scale wind energy industry is relatively new and is rapidly expanding. The ability of a wind turbine to extract power from the wind is a function of three main factors: the measured wind speed, the power curve of the turbine, and the ability of the machine to handle wind fluctuations. The key parameter determining wind turbine performance is wind speed and it is normally measured with an anemometer placed at the nacelle of a turbine. The dynamic nature of wind speed, however, is a barrier for applying predictive engineering in wind energy. Traditional approaches based on physical science and mathematical modelings have limitations on wind power prediction models. Conventional approach based on dynamic modeling has disadvantage of power generation process modeling due to time-shift nature of the process. Data mining is a promising approach for modeling wind energy, e.g., power prediction and optimization, wind speed forecasting, power curve monitoring and fault diagnosis. It involves a number of steps including data pre-processing, data sampling, feature selection, dimension reduction and, etc. This thesis focus on applying data mining to predictive engineering in wind industry, and ultimately builds wind speed prediction and wind farm power prediction models, develops turbine dynamic control and power optimization strategy, explores methodology for system level fault diagnosis. However the philosophy, methods and frameworks discussed in this research can also be applied to other industrial processes. This thesis proposes a series of predictive models under the framework of data mining. Chapter 2 introduces a methodology for short term wind speed prediction based on wind farm layout information. Chapter 3 and Chapter 4 present prediction models for wind turbine parameters. Chapter 5 proposes strategies for dynamic control of wind turbines. Chapter 6 explores the fault diagnosis and prediction using SCADA data. fault dagnosis power generation and optimization wind energy wind prediction Industrial Engineering
2	Correction and Optimization of 4D aircraft trajectories by sharing wind and temperature information / Correction et Optimisation de trajectoires d'avions 4D par partage des informations de vent et de température Legrand, Karim 28 June 2019 (has links) Cette thèse s'inscrit dans l'amélioration de la gestion du trafic aérien. Le vent et la température sont deux paramètres omniprésents, subis, et à l'origine de nombreux biais de prédiction qui altèrent le suivi des trajectoires. Nous proposons une méthode pour limiter ces biais. Le concept "Wind and Température Networking" améliore la prédiction de trajectoire en utilisant le vent et la température mesurés par les avions voisins. Nous détaillons les effets de la température sur l'avion, permettant sa prise en compte. L'évaluation du concept est faite sur 8000 vols. Nous traitons du calcul de trajectoires optimales en présence de vent prédit, pour remplacer les actuelles routes de l'Atlantique Nord, et aboutir à des groupes de trajectoires optimisées et robustes. Dans la conclusion, nous présentons d'autres champs d'applications du partage de vents, et abordons les besoins en nouvelles infrastructures et protocoles de communication, nécessaires à la prise en compte de ce nouveau concept. / This thesis is related to air traffic management systems current changes. On the ground and in flight, trajectory calculation methods and available data differ. Wind and temperature are two ubiquitous parameters that are subject to and cause prediction bias. We propose a concept to limit this bias. Our "Wind and Temperature Networking" concept improves trajectory prediction, using wind and temperature information from neighboring aircraft. We detail the effects of temperature on the aircraft performances, allowing for temperature to be taken into account. The concept evaluation is done on 8000 flights. We discuss the calculation of optimal trajectories in the presence of predicted winds, to replace the current North Atlantic Tracks, and to provide optimized and robust groups of trajectories. The conclusion of this thesis presents other fields of wind sharing applications, and addresses the need for new telecommunications infrastructures and protocols. Partage d'informations de vent Partage d'informations de température Trajectoires d'avion Navigation aérienne Algorithmes de classification Estimation de vent Prédiction de vent Estimation de température Prédiction de température Partage de vents Partage de températures Calcul de trajectoires d’urgence Estimation de champs de vents Estimation de champs de température Wind networking Temperature networking Flight trajectories Aircraft robust optimal trajectory Trajectory prediction (aerospace Trajectory optimisation (aerospace) Aircraft navigation Clustering algorithms Wind estimation Wind prediction Temperature estimation Temperature prediction Wind information sharing Temperature information sharing Flight trajectories wind profiles Flight trajectories temperature profiles Driftdown calculations Wind field estimations Temperature field estimations 629

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Predictive engineering in wind energy: a data-mining approach

Correction and Optimization of 4D aircraft trajectories by sharing wind and temperature information / Correction et Optimisation de trajectoires d'avions 4D par partage des informations de vent et de température