To understand the temporal dynamics of a forest, long-term direct observations are required. My study examined the long-term persistence of trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx) and white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) in the boreal mixed-wood forests of Riding Mountain National Park. A set of 266, disturbance-free, permanent sample plots were established in 1947 (stand age = 120 years) and followed through time for 55 years. My results indicate that although the density and basal areas of aspen do decline over the 55-year period, a successful regeneration and establishment occurs around 140 years. The long-term persistence of aspen is a result of clonal reproduction following the canopy breakup beginning around 130 years or earlier. This implies that the long-term persistence of both aspen and spruce occur and the expected succession to softwood dominance does not occur.

To understand the temporal dynamics of a forest, long-term direct observations are required. My study examined the long-term persistence of trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx) and white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) in the boreal mixed-wood forests of Riding Mountain National Park. A set of 266, disturbance-free, permanent sample plots were established in 1947 (stand age = 120 years) and followed through time for 55 years. My results indicate that although the density and basal areas of aspen do decline over the 55-year period, a successful regeneration and establishment occurs around 140 years. The long-term persistence of aspen is a result of clonal reproduction following the canopy breakup beginning around 130 years or earlier. This implies that the long-term persistence of both aspen and spruce occur and the expected succession to softwood dominance does not occur.