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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Likelihood inference for multiple step-stress models from a generalized Birnbaum-Saunders distribution under time constraint

Alam, Farouq 11 1900 (has links)
Researchers conduct life testing on objects of interest in an attempt to determine their life distribution as a means of studying their reliability (or survivability). Determining the life distribution of the objects under study helps manufacturers to identify potential faults, and to improve quality. Researchers sometimes conduct accelerated life tests (ALTs) to ensure that failure among the tested units is earlier than what could result under normal operating (or environmental) conditions. Moreover, such experiments allow the experimenters to examine the effects of high levels of one or more stress factors on the lifetimes of experimental units. Examples of stress factors include, but not limited to, cycling rate, dosage, humidity, load, pressure, temperature, vibration, voltage, etc. A special class of ALT is step-stress accelerated life testing. In this type of experiments, the study sample is tested at initial stresses for a given period of time. Afterwards, the levels of the stress factors are increased in agreement with prefixed points of time called stress-change times. In practice, time and resources are limited; thus, any experiment is expected to be constrained to a deadline which is called a termination time. Hence, the observed information may be subjected to Type-I censoring. This study discusses maximum likelihood inferential methods for the parameters of multiple step-stress models from a generalized Birnbaum-Saunders distribution under time constraint alongside other inference-related problems. A couple of general inference frameworks are studied; namely, the observed likelihood (OL) framework, and the expectation-maximization (EM) framework. The last-mentioned framework is considered since there is a possibility that Type-I censored data are obtained. In the first framework, the scoring algorithm is used to get the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the model parameters. In the second framework, EM-based algorithms are utilized to determine the required MLEs. Obtaining observed information matrices under both frameworks is also discussed. Accordingly, asymptotic and bootstrap-based interval estimators for the model parameters are derived. Model discrimination within the considered generalized Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is carried out by likelihood ratio test as well as by information-based criteria. The discussed step-stress models are illustrated by analyzing three real-life datasets. Accordingly, establishing optimal multiple step-stress test plans based on cost considerations and three optimality criteria is discussed. Since maximum likelihood estimators are obtained by numerical optimization that involves maximizing some objective functions, optimization methods used, and their software implementations in R are discussed. Because of the computational aspects are in focus in this study, the benefits of parallel computing in R, as a high-performance computational approach, are briefly addressed. Numerical examples and Monte Carlo simulations are used to illustrate and to evaluate the methods presented in this thesis. / Thesis / Doctor of Science (PhD)
2

Some Contributions to Inferential Issues of Censored Exponential Failure Data

Han, Donghoon 06 1900 (has links)
In this thesis, we investigate several inferential issues regarding the lifetime data from exponential distribution under different censoring schemes. For reasons of time constraint and cost reduction, censored sampling is commonly employed in practice, especially in reliability engineering. Among various censoring schemes, progressive Type-I censoring provides not only the practical advantage of known termination time but also greater flexibility to the experimenter in the design stage by allowing for the removal of test units at non-terminal time points. Hence, we first consider the inference for a progressively Type-I censored life-testing experiment with k uniformly spaced intervals. For small to moderate sample sizes, a practical modification is proposed to the censoring scheme in order to guarantee a feasible life-test under progressive Type-I censoring. Under this setup, we obtain the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the unknown mean parameter and derive the exact sampling distribution of the MLE through the use of conditional moment generating function under the condition that the existence of the MLE is ensured. Using the exact distribution of the MLE as well as its asymptotic distribution and the parametric bootstrap method, we discuss the construction of confidence intervals for the mean parameter and their performance is then assessed through Monte Carlo simulations. Next, we consider a special class of accelerated life tests, known as step-stress tests in reliability testing. In a step-stress test, the stress levels increase discretely at pre-fixed time points and this allows the experimenter to obtain information on the parameters of the lifetime distributions more quickly than under normal operating conditions. Here, we consider a k-step-stress accelerated life testing experiment with an equal step duration τ. In particular, the case of progressively Type-I censored data with a single stress variable is investigated. For small to moderate sample sizes, we introduce another practical modification to the model for a feasible k-step-stress test under progressive censoring, and the optimal τ is searched using the modified model. Next, we seek the optimal τ under the condition that the step-stress test proceeds to the k-th stress level, and the efficiency of this conditional inference is compared to the preceding models. In all cases, censoring is allowed at each change stress point iτ, i = 1, 2, ... , k, and the problem of selecting the optimal Tis discussed using C-optimality, D-optimality, and A-optimality criteria. Moreover, when a test unit fails, there are often more than one fatal cause for the failure, such as mechanical or electrical. Thus, we also consider the simple stepstress models under Type-I and Type-II censoring situations when the lifetime distributions corresponding to the different risk factors are independently exponentially distributed. Under this setup, we derive the MLEs of the unknown mean parameters of the different causes under the assumption of a cumulative exposure model. The exact distributions of the MLEs of the parameters are then derived through the use of conditional moment generating functions. Using these exact distributions as well as the asymptotic distributions and the parametric bootstrap method, we discuss the construction of confidence intervals for the parameters and then assess their performance through Monte Carlo simulations. / Thesis / Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

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