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High-resolution climate variable generation for the Western CapeJoubert, Sarah Joan 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MSc (Geography and Environmental Studies))--University of Stellenbosch, 2007. / Due to the relative scarcity of weather stations, the climate conditions of large areas are not
adequately represented by a weather station. This is especially true for regions with complex
topographies or low population densities. Various interpolation techniques and software packages
are available with which the climate of such areas can be calculated from surrounding weather
stations’ data. This study investigates the possibility of using the software package ANUSPLIN to
create accurate climate maps for the Western Cape, South Africa.
ANUSPLIN makes use of thin plate smoothing splines and a digital elevation model to convert
point data into grid format to represent an area’s climatic conditions. This software has been used
successfully throughout the world, therefore a large body of literature is available on the topic,
highlighting the limitations and successes of this interpolation method.
Various factors have an effect on a region’s climate, the most influential being location (distance
from the poles or equator), topography (height above sea level), distance from large water bodies,
and other topographical factors such as slope and aspect. Until now latitude, longitude and the
elevation of a weather station have most often been used as input variables to create climate grids,
but the new version of ANUSPLIN (4.3) makes provision for additional variables. This study
investigates the possibility of incorporating the effect of the surrounding oceans and topography
(slope and aspect) in the interpolation process in order to create climate grids with a resolution of
90m x 90m. This is done for monthly mean daily maximum and minimum temperature and the
mean monthly rainfall for the study area for each month of the year.
Not many projects where additional variables have been incorporated in the interpolation process
using ANUSPLIN are to be found in the literature, thus further investigation into the correct
transformation and the units of these variables had to be done before they could be successfully
incorporated. It was found that distance to oceans influences a region’s maximum and minimum
temperatures, and to a lesser extent rainfall, while aspect and slope has an influence on a region’s
rainfall.
In order to assess the accuracy of the interpolation process, two methods were employed, namely
statistical values produced during the spline function calculations by ANUSPLIN, and the removal
of a selected number of stations in order to compare the interpolated values with the actual measured values. The analysis showed that more accurate maps were obtained when additional
variables were incorporated into the interpolation process.
Once the best transformations and units were identified for the additional variables, climate maps
were produced in order to compare them with existing climate grids available for the study area. In
general the temperatures were higher than those of the existing grids. For the rainfall grids
ANUSPLIN’s produced higher rainfall values throughout the study region compared to the existing
grids, except for the Southwestern Cape where the rainfall values were lower on north-facing slopes
and high-lying area
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INFLUENCE OF SAMPLE DENSITY, MODEL SELECTION, DEPTH, SPATIAL RESOLUTION, AND LAND USE ON PREDICTION ACCURACY OF SOIL PROPERTIES IN INDIANA, USASamira Safaee (17549649) 09 December 2023 (has links)
<p dir="ltr">Digital soil mapping (DSM) combines field and laboratory data with environmental factors to predict soil properties. The accuracy of these predictions depends on factors such as model selection, data quality and quantity, and landscape characteristics. In our study, we investigated the impact of sample density and the use of various environmental covariates (ECs) including slope, topographic position index, topographic wetness index, multiresolution valley bottom flatness, and multiresolution ridge top flatness, as well as the spatial resolution of these ECs on the predictive accuracy of four predictive models; Cubist (CB), Random Forest (RF), Regression Kriging (RK), and Ordinary Kriging (OK). Our analysis was conducted at three sites in Indiana: the Purdue Agronomy Center for Research and Education (ACRE), Davis Purdue Agriculture Center (DPAC), and Southeast Purdue Agricultural Center (SEPAC). Each site had its unique soil data sampling designs, management practices, and topographic conditions. The primary focus of this study was to predict the spatial distribution of soil properties, including soil organic matter (SOM), cation exchange capacity (CEC), and clay content, at different depths (0-10cm, 0-15cm, and 10-30cm) by utilizing five environmental covariates and four spatial resolutions for the ECs (1-1.5 m, 5 m, 10 m, and 30 m).</p><p dir="ltr">Various evaluation metrics, including R<sup>2</sup>, root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), concordance coefficient (pc), and bias, were used to assess prediction accuracy. Notably, the accuracy of predictions was found to be significantly influenced by the site, sample density, model type, soil property, and their interactions. Sites exhibited the largest source of variation, followed by sampling density and model type for predicted SOM, CEC, and clay spatial distribution across the landscape.</p><p dir="ltr">The study revealed that the RF model consistently outperformed other models, while OK performed poorly across all sites and properties as it only relies on interpolating between the points without incorporating the landscape characteristics (ECs) in the algorithm. Increasing sample density improved predictions up to a certain threshold (e.g., 66 samples at ACRE for both SOM and CEC; 58 samples for SOM and 68 samples for CEC at SEPAC), beyond which the improvements were marginal. Additionally, the study highlighted the importance of spatial resolution, with finer resolutions resulting in better prediction accuracy, especially for SOM and clay content. Overall, comparing data from the two depths (0-10cm vs 10-30cm) for soil properties predications, deeper soil layer data (10-30cm) provided more accurate predictions for SOM and clay while shallower depth data (0-10cm) provided more accurate predictions for CEC. Finally, higher spatial resolution of ECs such as 1-1.5 m and 5 m contributed to more accurate soil properties predictions compared to the coarser data of 10 m and 30 m resolutions.</p><p dir="ltr">In summary, this research underscores the significance of informed decisions regarding sample density, model selection, and spatial resolution in digital soil mapping. It emphasizes that the choice of predictive model is critical, with RF consistently delivering superior performance. These findings have important implications for land management and sustainable land use practices, particularly in heterogeneous landscapes and areas with varying management intensities.</p>
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