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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Experimental Analysis of Crop Insurance - Cognitive Bias in Decision Making

Qian, Peng 15 August 2014 (has links)
This study is set out to explore how cognitive biases, gambler’s fallacy and hot hand effect, exert an effect on individual crop insurance purchase decision. A laboratory experiment comprised of two separate games was used to establish an insurance purchase environment to induce individual’s behavior. The gambler’s fallacy and hot hand effect failed to be found in the experiment. But the subjects’ perceived probability of loss plays a significant role in determine their purchase decisions—the higher probability they predicted, the more likely to buy insurance they were. It is also fascinating to find that the longer the exposure to random risks the subjects had, the more willing to engage in insurance protection they were.

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