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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Expected Loss Costs in Hurricane Models

Hudson, Antonio R 18 June 2012 (has links)
The Public Hurricane Model developed at FIU by a team of scientists has to be certified by the Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology. The commission ensures that all hurricane loss models meet certain standards, as models are used extensively by regulators and insurance firms to produce inputs used in the homeowner insurance rate making process. The focus of this thesis is to conduct sensitivity and uncertainty analysis through the calculation of standardized regression coefficients and expected percentage reductions in expected loss costs in order to meet the commission standards. The commission approved the model after very extensive and rigorous review by a panel of experts. The results generated for sensitivity and uncertainty, form S-6, showed the importance of the Holland B parameter regardless of hurricane category, with the radius of maximum winds increasing in importance for stronger hurricanes.

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